430 S Sandusky Ave · Upper Sandusky, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful Woodwork throughout the home. Stain glass windows in the Family room. Lots of room. Front and back stairs. Walk up attice. Attached 2 car garage. Case #412-475940. Being sold "AS IS".
Key facts
- 8,995 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-172/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (1.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (17.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $111k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.4% in Upper Sandusky — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#248 in OH, #3,965 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Upper Sandusky Exempted Village (town): math 60% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #268 of 656 in OH (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Wyandot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
- Wyandot County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 425 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $135k implies a 297% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 425 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.45%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $202,421
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -33.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 333 N 5th St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 2,224 (+2%) | 2mo | $159,900 | $72 | 63 |
| 201 E Johnson St | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 | 2,073 (-5%) | 23mo | $185,000 | $89 | 59 |
| 417 N 8th St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 2,072 (-5%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $68 | 50 |
| 214 S 4th St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,940 (-11%) | 20mo | $217,000 | $112 | 44 |
| 420 N 4th St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,278 (+4%) | 12mo | $80,000 | $35 | 43 |
| 222 E Bigelow St | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 | 1,892 (-14%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $74 | 37 |
| 436 N Sandusky Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,013 (-8%) | 20mo | $185,000 | $92 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $14,345
- Equity at exit
- $59,641
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $53,602
- Equity at exit
- $91,098
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43351
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,112 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,541/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $-14
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $62 | -5% $24 | +0% $-14 | +5% $-53 | +10% $-91 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-102 | -5% $-58 | +0% $-14 | +5% $30 | +10% $74 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $54 | -0.5pp $20 | base $-14 | +0.5pp $-49 | +1.0pp $-85 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 425 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 423 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 422 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 421 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 420 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 414 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 408 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 407 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 406 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 405 DOM
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2025-10-13price $34,000 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Beautiful Woodwork throughout the home. Stain glass windows in the Family room. Lots of room. Front and back stairs. Walk up attice. Attached 2 car garage. Case #412-475940. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2025-04-21$135,000 Active 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Finding the perfect home is a journey that combines excitement and careful consideration. If you're looking for a property near downtown that offers both immediate comfort and the potential for enhancement, you're in luck. Explore the benefits and possibilities of investing in a home with room to improve. A great home near downtown with room to improve offers the perfect blend of convenience, potential, and opportunity. Schedule your showing by calling you real estate professional.
-
2011-09-16soldstatus $34,000 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Beautiful Woodwork throughout the home. Stain glass windows in the Family room. Lots of room. Front and back stairs. Walk up attice. Attached 2 car garage. Case #412-475940. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2011-08-10$35,000 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Beautiful Woodwork throughout the home. Stain glass windows in the Family room. Lots of room. Front and back stairs. Walk up attice. Attached 2 car garage. Case #412-475940. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2002-02-20soldstatus $112,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,541 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,824 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$282/yr (+$24/mo · 18.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,342
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,541
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,067
- − Management
- −$1,067
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$2,499
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$600
- After-tax cash flow
- $428/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Upper Sandusky Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3910024
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,745
- Composite
- 52.22/100
- National rank
- #1603
- State rank
- #268 of 656 in OH
Livability — Upper Sandusky
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #248
- US rank
- #3965
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Upper Sandusky, OH
- County
- Wyandot · 23,050 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,568
- Household income
- $71,748
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3.6
Population outlook (Wyandot County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,485 people
- By 2030
- 20,883 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 19,425 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 17,815 · -17.1%
- By 2075
- 14,208 · -33.9%
- By 2100
- 10,744 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wyandot
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.2) · D 24.0% · R 75.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.5pp · 2024: -51.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.2 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+46.8 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+16.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.86%
- Current HPI
- 343.75
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-69.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $34,000 NORIS
- 2025-04-21 Listed $135,000 NORIS
- 2011-09-16 Sold (MLS) $34,000 NORIS
- 2011-08-10 Listed $35,000 NORIS
- 2002-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $112,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,541 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…