10322 137th Street Ct E #55 · South Hill, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Very Affordable 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Golden West Model Home. Brand New Interior Paint and Installed Doorknobs and Hinges thru Out the Home. Clean Updated and Move in Ready. Open Bright Kitchen with Wood Cabinets, Pantry, Newer Counter Tops, All Stainless Appliances Including Glass Top Range Oven. All Newer Blinds, Vinyl Plank Flooring Through Out the Whole Home. Huge Living Room and Dining Room. Second Living Area with Wood Burning Fireplace. Cathedral Ceilings Throughout. Large Master Bedroom with Walk In Closet. Large 5 Piece Master Bath with Soaking Tub, Separate Shower, Newer Double Vanity Sinks, Toilet, Counter Tops and Faucets. The Second and Third Bedrooms are Good Sized Also. Nice Main
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1999
- Listed 36 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $918 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 3.0% in South Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#84 in WA, #1,620 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living F.
- Puyallup School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #52 of 291 in WA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Warren Hunt Elem (717 students, 46% FRL); Glacier View Junior High (832 students, 40% FRL); Emerald Ridge High School (1,537 students, 37% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 452 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.49%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $109,858
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- 59.30%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13712 105th Avenue Ct E #44 | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,782 (+13%) | 16mo | $204,000 | $114 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $26,777
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $85,242
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98374
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 452
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,643 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$555
- Net cashflow
- $918
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,017 | -5% $968 | +0% $918 | +5% $869 | +10% $819 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $709 | -5% $814 | +0% $918 | +5% $1,023 | +10% $1,127 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,006 | -0.5pp $963 | base $918 | +0.5pp $873 | +1.0pp $827 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10414 140th St Ct E Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $2,595 | $1.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 10414 140th Street Ct E #55 Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $2,595 | $1.84 | 0d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 10511 140th Street Ct E #27 Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1311 | $2,650 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 13523 106th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,650 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 13404 106th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,650 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 13507 99th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 994 | $2,237 | $2.25 | 0d | 14 | 0.33mi |
| 13011 Meridian E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $2,350 | $2.49 | 3d | 19 | 0.43mi |
| 13405 97th Ave E #308 Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,095 | $1.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 13404 97th Ave E South Hill, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $2,155 | $2.25 | 45d | 3 | 0.51mi |
| 11013 144th Street Ct E Unit O24-6-B Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,450 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 12724 104th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $2,345 | $2.58 | 6d | 8 | 0.71mi |
| 97th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1452 | $2,495 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10614 123rd Street Ct E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1584 | $2,500 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 9425 150th Stct E South Hill, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2114 | $1,700 | $0.80 | 0d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 12202 107th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $3,000 | $2.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 12202 107th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $2,850 | $2.28 | 5d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 12111 104th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,867 | $2.07 | 6d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 502 43rd Ave SE Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,810 | $2.55 | 5d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 13011 122nd Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2176 | $3,100 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 9921 158th St E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,400 | $2.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 8723 125th Street Ct E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $2,600 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 15304 88th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2219 | $3,195 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 15623 90th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $3,065 | $2.38 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 15623 90th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $3,065 | $2.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8512 123rd Street Ct E Unit 8512 Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $2,300 | $2.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 9611 161st St E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 16d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 9530 160th Street Ct E Puyallup, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1284 | $2,550 | $1.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-17status Pending
-
2026-05-04status Active
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-06price $175,000
-
2026-04-06$185,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,150 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,150 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,717
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,150
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,537
- − Management
- −$2,537
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $8,723
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,094
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Puyallup School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306960
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,291
- Composite
- 54.01/100
- National rank
- #3006
- State rank
- #52 of 291 in WA
Livability — South Hill
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #1620
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Hill, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- City population
- 76,707
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,007
- Household income
- $112,662
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1171.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 7% Black 4% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -431.48%
- Current HPI
- 286.6617
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
-5.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $175,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Listed $185,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2026): $2,150 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…