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686 Perry St
C+ Composite 64.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$359,900

686 Perry St · Vermilion, OH 44089
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,724 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1905 4,791 sqft lot $209/sqft · 37% above area Est $263k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Live in the heart of Vermilion’s Harbor Town District in a home unlike anything else on the market. This historic gem dates back to the late 1800s and was originally built near Fisherman’s Bend before being relocated in the 1920s. Inside, you’ll find true maritime craftsmanship with peg-and-beam construction and solid oak ship-style materials you simply can’t replicate today. The interior offers a bright, open layout featuring a gas fireplace in great room, spacious kitchen (all appliances stay), first-floor laundry, and beautiful natural oak trim throughout. Upstairs, you’ll find a true owner’s suite, plus two additional large bedrooms with a shared full bath, along with an awesome open loft area—perfect for a reading area, office, or play space. Fully updated for modern living, this home features a long list of improvements including: Roof – 2025, Water Heater – 2023, New Carpet – 2022, New Driveway – 2022, Fence - 2022, Appliances - 2019, Furnace & AC - 2014, Windows & Exterior Doors – 2014, Luxury Vinyl Plank – 2014, Drywall – 2014, Vinyl Siding – 2014, Solid Oak Trim – 2014, Whole house insulation - 2014 Step outside and you’re just moments from everything—local shops, restaurants, the public beach, and Vermilion’s beloved summer events. Historic character. Modern updates. Unbeatable location. This is harbor town living at its finest.

Key facts

  • 4,791 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1905

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($53k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $360k).
  • Recommended offer: $338k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.0% vs local median 6.2% in Vermilion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#96 in OH, #1,481 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Vermilion Local (suburban): math 56% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #316 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 128 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $8,362/mo this rent would consume 139% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Erie County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($338k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $92k; list at $360k implies a 289% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $338,306 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.32%
Cap rate
20.99%
Cash-on-cash
52.50%
DSCR
3.34
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$263,105
List price
$359,900
Delta
36.79%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5572 South St 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,618 (-6%) 8mo $347,000 $214 71
5229 Devon Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,671 (-3%) 1mo $235,000 $141 63
5945 Cape Hatteras Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,764 (+2%) 7mo $399,990 $227 60
5164 Langfitt St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,756 (+2%) 7mo $240,000 $137 60
856 Tappan Cir 0.33mi 3/2.5 1,966 (+14%) 2mo $355,000 $181 58
6004 Conneaut Light Dr 0.55mi 3/3.0 1,771 (+3%) 19mo $322,500 $182 50
6012 Conneaut Light Dr 0.52mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,508 (-12%) 2mo $375,000 $249 44
5524 Hartford Ave 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,560 (-10%) 13mo $160,000 $103 44
914 York Ct 0.42mi 3/3.0 1,876 (+9%) 22mo $323,500 $172 43
1131 State St 0.57mi 3/2.5 1,927 (+12%) 14mo $292,000 $152 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.5%
Equity multiple
3.21×
Total profit
$222,443
Equity at exit
$53,662
10-year hold
IRR
55.9%
Equity multiple
6.51×
Total profit
$555,080
Equity at exit
$31,118

Cash invested: $100,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44089

Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$8,362 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,887
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,916/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,756
Net cashflow
$4,409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,781
Max offer price $359,900
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $4,613 -5% $4,511 +0% $4,409 +5% $4,307 +10% $4,205
Rent -10% $3,748 -5% $4,079 +0% $4,409 +5% $4,739 +10% $5,070
Rate -1.0pp $4,590 -0.5pp $4,501 base $4,409 +0.5pp $4,316 +1.0pp $4,221

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$89,975
Closing costs
$10,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5012 Hollyview Dr Unit 1496126P Vermilion, OH 4.0 1.5 1679 $8,362 $4.98 44d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $359,900 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $359,900 Active 60 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $369,900 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $369,900 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $369,900 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $369,900 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $369,900 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $369,900 Active 51 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $369,900 Active 50 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $369,900 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $369,900 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $369,900 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $369,900 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $369,900 Active 43 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $369,900 Active 42 DOM
  16. 2026-04-21
    status Active 1490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1490 chars)

    Live in the heart of Vermilion’s Harbor Town District in a home unlike anything else on the market. This historic gem dates back to the late 1800s and was originally built near Fisherman’s Bend before being relocated in the 1920s. Inside, you’ll find true maritime craftsmanship with peg-and-beam construction and solid oak ship-style materials you simply can’t replicate today. The interior offers a bright, open layout featuring a gas fireplace in great room, spacious kitchen (all appliances stay), first-floor laundry, and beautiful natural oak trim throughout. Upstairs, you’ll find a true owner’s suite, plus two additional large bedrooms with a shared full bath, along with an awesome open loft area—perfect for a reading area, office, or play space. Fully updated for modern living, this home features a long list of improvements including: Roof – 2025, Water Heater – 2023, New Carpet – 2022, New Driveway – 2022, Fence - 2022, Appliances - 2019, Furnace & AC - 2014, Windows & Exterior Doors – 2014, Luxury Vinyl Plank – 2014, Drywall – 2014, Vinyl Siding – 2014, Solid Oak Trim – 2014, Whole house insulation - 2014 Step outside and you’re just moments from everything—local shops, restaurants, the public beach, and Vermilion’s beloved summer events. Historic character. Modern updates. Unbeatable location. This is harbor town living at its finest.

  17. 2026-04-12
    status Pending 1490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1490 chars)

    Live in the heart of Vermilion’s Harbor Town District in a home unlike anything else on the market. This historic gem dates back to the late 1800s and was originally built near Fisherman’s Bend before being relocated in the 1920s. Inside, you’ll find true maritime craftsmanship with peg-and-beam construction and solid oak ship-style materials you simply can’t replicate today. The interior offers a bright, open layout featuring a gas fireplace in great room, spacious kitchen (all appliances stay), first-floor laundry, and beautiful natural oak trim throughout. Upstairs, you’ll find a true owner’s suite, plus two additional large bedrooms with a shared full bath, along with an awesome open loft area—perfect for a reading area, office, or play space. Fully updated for modern living, this home features a long list of improvements including: Roof – 2025, Water Heater – 2023, New Carpet – 2022, New Driveway – 2022, Fence - 2022, Appliances - 2019, Furnace & AC - 2014, Windows & Exterior Doors – 2014, Luxury Vinyl Plank – 2014, Drywall – 2014, Vinyl Siding – 2014, Solid Oak Trim – 2014, Whole house insulation - 2014 Step outside and you’re just moments from everything—local shops, restaurants, the public beach, and Vermilion’s beloved summer events. Historic character. Modern updates. Unbeatable location. This is harbor town living at its finest.

  18. 2026-04-10
    listed $369,900 Active 1490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1490 chars)

    Live in the heart of Vermilion’s Harbor Town District in a home unlike anything else on the market. This historic gem dates back to the late 1800s and was originally built near Fisherman’s Bend before being relocated in the 1920s. Inside, you’ll find true maritime craftsmanship with peg-and-beam construction and solid oak ship-style materials you simply can’t replicate today. The interior offers a bright, open layout featuring a gas fireplace in great room, spacious kitchen (all appliances stay), first-floor laundry, and beautiful natural oak trim throughout. Upstairs, you’ll find a true owner’s suite, plus two additional large bedrooms with a shared full bath, along with an awesome open loft area—perfect for a reading area, office, or play space. Fully updated for modern living, this home features a long list of improvements including: Roof – 2025, Water Heater – 2023, New Carpet – 2022, New Driveway – 2022, Fence - 2022, Appliances - 2019, Furnace & AC - 2014, Windows & Exterior Doors – 2014, Luxury Vinyl Plank – 2014, Drywall – 2014, Vinyl Siding – 2014, Solid Oak Trim – 2014, Whole house insulation - 2014 Step outside and you’re just moments from everything—local shops, restaurants, the public beach, and Vermilion’s beloved summer events. Historic character. Modern updates. Unbeatable location. This is harbor town living at its finest.

  19. 2007-11-08
    listed $47,840
  20. 2002-05-01
    soldstatus $92,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,916 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,765 · $314/mo
Expected delta
+$1,849/yr (+$154/mo · 96.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$100,344
− Mortgage interest
−$20,160
− Property taxes
−$1,916
− Insurance
−$1,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,028
− Management
−$8,028
− Depreciation
−$10,470
Taxable income
$49,944
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$11,987
After-tax cash flow
$40,922/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vermilion Local
NCES district ID
3904682
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$52,091
Composite
49.61/100
National rank
#1981
State rank
#316 of 656 in OH

Livability — Vermilion

Score
81/100
State rank
#96
US rank
#1481

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vermilion, OH
County
Erie · 78,232 people
Metro
Sandusky, OH
Population (ZIP)
15,873
Household income
$72,045
Rent vs Own
18.6% rent · 81.4% own
Severe rent burden
5.8

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,204 people
By 2030
71,341 · -2.5%
By 2040
66,771 · -8.8%
By 2050
62,512 · -14.6%
By 2075
56,154 · -23.3%
By 2100
49,045 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.5% · R 56.6%
2008→2024 swing
-28.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.76%
Current HPI
206.8223
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+299.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-12 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $369,900 MLSNOW
  • 2007-11-08 Listed $47,840 MLSNOW
  • 2002-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,916 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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