CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4260 West Hencart Rd
D Composite 41.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,900

4260 West Hencart Rd · Glennville, GA 30427
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,520 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1941 0.52 ac lot $116/sqft · 25% below area Est $235k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Have the feeling of living in the country but close to town. This charming 4 bedroom 2 Bath home is a must see. Hardwood floors throughout home. Cozy family room. Open Kitchen and dining area. Master bedroom has master bath with jacuzzi tub and laundry room conveniently located right off of master bathroom. Window blinds are already installed. Nice backyard with above ground pool and storage building. Call to schedule a showing.

Key facts

  • Master bath
  • Laundry room
  • Cozy family room

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSCOZY FAMILY ROOMOPEN KITCHENMASTER BATHJACUZZI TUBLAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $176k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-81 ($-977/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (8.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (26.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (26.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#280 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Tattnall County (rural): math 29% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #103 of 174 in GA (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 46 units permitted in Tattnall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tattnall County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($171k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $68k; list at $176k implies a 159% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,808 (26.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.98%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$234,596
List price
$175,900
Delta
-25.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.6%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-33,740
Equity at exit
$26,227
10-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-36,269
Equity at exit
$15,209

Cash invested: $49,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30427

Home prices YoY
-7.3%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,288 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$922
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,239/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$-81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,391
Max offer price $161,519
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $18 -5% $-32 +0% $-81 +5% $-131 +10% $-181
Rent -10% $-183 -5% $-132 +0% $-81 +5% $-31 +10% $20
Rate -1.0pp $7 -0.5pp $-37 base $-81 +0.5pp $-127 +1.0pp $-173

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,975
Closing costs
$5,277
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
26 Lc Dr Glennville, GA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 44d 1 0.89mi
215 Gordon St Glennville, GA 4.0 1.0 1269 $1,400 $1.10 44d 1 1.02mi
402 Morris St Glennville, GA 3.0 2.0 1855 $1,400 $0.75 44d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    price $175,900 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Have the feeling of living in the country but close to town. This charming 4 bedroom 2 Bath home is a must see. Hardwood floors throughout home. Cozy family room. Open Kitchen and dining area. Master bedroom has master bath with jacuzzi tub and laundry room conveniently located right off of master bathroom. Window blinds are already installed. Nice backyard with above ground pool and storage building. Call to schedule a showing.

  2. 2026-04-16
    listed $179,900 Active 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Have the feeling of living in the country but close to town. This charming 4 bedroom 2 Bath home is a must see. Hardwood floors throughout home. Cozy family room. Open Kitchen and dining area. Master bedroom has master bath with jacuzzi tub and laundry room conveniently located right off of master bathroom. Window blinds are already installed. Nice backyard with above ground pool and storage building. Call to schedule a showing.

  3. 2018-06-19
    soldstatus $68,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,239 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,618 · $135/mo
Expected delta
+$379/yr (+$32/mo · 30.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,457
− Mortgage interest
−$9,853
− Property taxes
−$1,239
− Insurance
−$880
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,237
− Management
−$1,237
− Depreciation
−$5,117
Taxable loss
−$4,105
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$985
After-tax cash flow
$8/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tattnall County
NCES district ID
1304770
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,214
Composite
23.65/100
National rank
#7843
State rank
#103 of 174 in GA

Livability — Glennville

Score
63/100
State rank
#280
US rank
#15005

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Glennville, GA
Population (ZIP)
11,892

Population outlook (Tattnall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,831 people
By 2030
24,823 · +-0.0%
By 2040
25,225 · +1.6%
By 2050
25,678 · +3.4%
By 2075
24,210 · -2.5%
By 2100
21,404 · -13.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Tattnall

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.4) · D 23.1% · R 76.5%
2008→2024 swing
-11.8pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -53.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.4 2020: R+48.8 2016: R+49.6 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+41.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.04%
Current HPI
240.8632
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+158.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $175,900 HABR
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $179,900 HABR
  • 2018-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,239 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…