201 Alex St · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute cottage with a rear garage apartment in a quiet neighborhood, convenient location to Ambassador Caffery, Congress St, Cajun Field complex. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has a large eat-in kitchen that features a range oven and refrigerator and a small pantry. there are 3 heat/cool window units and a large wall heater. There is carpet in the living room, vinyl in the kitchen and bathroom, and wood floors in the bedrooms. The home and the apartment are both leased: the home is $800 and the garage apartment for $450. DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS. Write your offer, include the clause, ''Subject to visual inspection..'' When the offer becomes a contract, schedule your inspections. When you see the interior, if you are not satisfied, cancel the contract. But you will be satisfied, because this property is a great opportunity.
Key facts
- Vinyl in the kitchen
- 8,400 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 413 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 541 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 541 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.31%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,848
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -12.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Norine St | 0.11mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,525 (-2%) | 24mo | $190,000 | $125 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-12,000
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $4,845
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70506
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 413
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,549 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $392/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $153 | -5% $120 | +0% $86 | +5% $52 | +10% $18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-37 | -5% $24 | +0% $86 | +5% $147 | +10% $208 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $146 | -0.5pp $116 | base $86 | +0.5pp $55 | +1.0pp $23 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411 Dulles Dr Lafayette, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1107 | $1,462 | $1.32 | 14d | 23 | 1.03mi |
| 1140 Madeline Ave Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $850 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 111 Sternberg Dr Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 105 San Carlos Cir Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,600 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 111 Valencia Dr Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1678 | $1,750 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,900 Active 541 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 538 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 537 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 536 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 535 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 533 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 532 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 530 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 529 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 528 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 527 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 524 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 523 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 522 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 521 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 520 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 519 DOM
-
2025-12-12status Active 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Cute cottage with a rear garage apartment in a quiet neighborhood, convenient location to Ambassador Caffery, Congress St, Cajun Field complex. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has a large eat-in kitchen that features a range oven and refrigerator and a small pantry. there are 3 heat/cool window units and a large wall heater. There is carpet in the living room, vinyl in the kitchen and bathroom, and wood floors in the bedrooms. The home and the apartment are both leased: the home is $800 and the garage apartment for $450. DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS. Write your offer, include the clause, ''Subject to visual inspection..'' When the offer becomes a contract, schedule your inspections. When you see the interior, if you are not satisfied, cancel the contract. But you will be satisfied, because this property is a great opportunity.
-
2024-12-30status Active 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Cute cottage with a rear garage apartment in a quiet neighborhood, convenient location to Ambassador Caffery, Congress St, Cajun Field complex. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has a large eat-in kitchen that features a range oven and refrigerator and a small pantry. there are 3 heat/cool window units and a large wall heater. There is carpet in the living room, vinyl in the kitchen and bathroom, and wood floors in the bedrooms. The home and the apartment are both leased: the home is $800 and the garage apartment for $450. DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS. Write your offer, include the clause, ''Subject to visual inspection..'' When the offer becomes a contract, schedule your inspections. When you see the interior, if you are not satisfied, cancel the contract. But you will be satisfied, because this property is a great opportunity.
-
2024-12-16status Pending 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Cute cottage with a rear garage apartment in a quiet neighborhood, convenient location to Ambassador Caffery, Congress St, Cajun Field complex. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has a large eat-in kitchen that features a range oven and refrigerator and a small pantry. there are 3 heat/cool window units and a large wall heater. There is carpet in the living room, vinyl in the kitchen and bathroom, and wood floors in the bedrooms. The home and the apartment are both leased: the home is $800 and the garage apartment for $450. DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS. Write your offer, include the clause, ''Subject to visual inspection..'' When the offer becomes a contract, schedule your inspections. When you see the interior, if you are not satisfied, cancel the contract. But you will be satisfied, because this property is a great opportunity.
-
2024-11-22$119,900 Active 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
Cute cottage with a rear garage apartment in a quiet neighborhood, convenient location to Ambassador Caffery, Congress St, Cajun Field complex. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has a large eat-in kitchen that features a range oven and refrigerator and a small pantry. there are 3 heat/cool window units and a large wall heater. There is carpet in the living room, vinyl in the kitchen and bathroom, and wood floors in the bedrooms. The home and the apartment are both leased: the home is $800 and the garage apartment for $450. DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS. Write your offer, include the clause, ''Subject to visual inspection..'' When the offer becomes a contract, schedule your inspections. When you see the interior, if you are not satisfied, cancel the contract. But you will be satisfied, because this property is a great opportunity.
-
2024-10-21historical $800
-
2024-06-27$800
-
2024-01-12historical $800
-
2023-12-26$800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $392 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $659 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$268/yr (+$22/mo · 68.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,585
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$392
- − Insurance
- −$5,718
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,487
- − Management
- −$1,487
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$703
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$169
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,196/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,318
- Household income
- $57,379
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2095.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18% Armenian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.28%
- Current HPI
- 140.8445
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
8 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-12 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2024-12-30 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2024-12-16 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2024-11-22 Listed $119,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-10-21 Rental Removed $800 RAAMLS
- 2024-06-27 Listed for Rent $800 RAAMLS
- 2024-01-12 Rental Removed $800 RAAMLS
- 2023-12-26 Listed for Rent $800 RAAMLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $392 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…