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1228 Twisted Crk
F Composite 29.65
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +6.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$282,000

1228 Twisted Crk · New Braunfels, TX 78130
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,210 sqft · Land · 219 Days on market
Built 2025 4,791 sqft lot $128/sqft · at area comps Est $278k · at est. $29/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Single-level home
  • Covered patio

Tags

SINGLE-LEVEL HOMEOPEN-CONCEPT LIVING AREACOVERED PATIOOWNER'S SUITEEN-SUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $282k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-475 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (29.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (32.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (32.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.3% in New Braunfels — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in TX, #925 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Comal ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #58 of 826 in TX (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Clear Spring El (math 52% / reading 50%, grade C-, #818 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 835 students, 55% FRL); Canyon Middle (math 48% / reading 44%, grade D+, #462 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 1,175 students, 47% FRL); Canyon H S (math 59% / reading 65%, grade B-, #237 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,348 students, 35% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 1931 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,064 units permitted in Guadalupe County in 2024 (133 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guadalupe County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($248k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $189,536 (32.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
4.27%
Cash-on-cash
-7.23%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
12.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$277,668
List price
$282,000
Delta
1.56%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.3%
Equity multiple
-0.03×
Total profit
$-81,489
Equity at exit
$42,047
10-year hold
IRR
-59.3%
Equity multiple
-0.66×
Total profit
$-131,243
Equity at exit
$24,382

Cash invested: $78,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78130

Rents YoY
-2.0%
Active inventory
1931
Price-to-rent
12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,895 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,479
Tax from tax record
$347 /mo · $4,169/yr
Insurance
$118
HOA
$29
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$398
Net cashflow
$-475

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,497
Max offer price $198,009
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-316 -5% $-396 +0% $-475 +5% $-555 +10% $-635
Rent -10% $-625 -5% $-550 +0% $-475 +5% $-401 +10% $-326
Rate -1.0pp $-333 -0.5pp $-404 base $-475 +0.5pp $-549 +1.0pp $-623

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,500
Closing costs
$8,460
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1236 Treehouse Ln New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1459 $1,795 $1.23 19d 1 0.07mi
1220 Treehouse Ln New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 2120 $1,896 $0.89 45d 1 0.08mi
1212 Treehouse Ln New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1687 $1,706 $1.01 23d 1 0.08mi
2540 Sweet Olive New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,650 $1.15 25d 1 0.14mi
2508 Sweet Olive New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,550 $1.08 0d 1 0.17mi
2439 Lake Hls New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.5 1950 $1,590 $0.82 6d 1 0.18mi
2439 Lake Hls New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.5 1950 $1,816 $0.93 23d 1 0.18mi
2505 Sweet Olive New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.0 1627 $1,590 $0.98 4d 1 0.19mi
2421 Sweet Olive New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.5 1950 $1,750 $0.90 22d 1 0.20mi
2421 Double Oak Dr New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.0 1627 $1,600 $0.98 6d 1 0.24mi
2436 Hunter Peak New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.5 1950 $1,800 $0.92 14d 1 0.25mi
1417 White Willow New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,550 $1.08 23d 1 0.31mi
2440 Lost Creek Rd New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1402 $1,500 $1.07 45d 1 0.33mi
2408 Shady Grv New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,913 $1.20 25d 1 0.45mi
2411 Shady Grv New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,595 $1.00 16d 1 0.47mi
2415 Shady Grv New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1402 $1,545 $1.10 45d 1 0.47mi
2407 Shady Grv New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1402 $1,575 $1.12 25d 1 0.48mi
758 Great Oaks Dr New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1553 $1,695 $1.09 45d 1 0.61mi
756 Guna Dr New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.5 1594 $1,980 $1.24 45d 1 0.65mi
2123 Dodge Dr New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.5 2243 $1,970 $0.88 0d 1 0.69mi
2126 Silver Maple New Braunfels, TX 4.0 3.0 2292 $2,100 $0.92 22d 1 0.74mi
2280 Hawk Dr New Braunfels, TX 5.0 3.5 2472 $2,400 $0.97 25d 1 0.77mi
603 Tom Kemp Dr New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.5 1754 $1,895 $1.08 23d 1 0.77mi
655 Tom Kemp Dr New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.5 1758 $1,850 $1.05 45d 1 0.81mi
146 Texas Thistle New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1494 $1,750 $1.17 45d 1 0.87mi
323 Mistflower New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.5 1822 $1,895 $1.04 0d 1 0.90mi
186 Texas Thistle New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.5 2307 $1,950 $0.85 45d 1 0.92mi
326 Mistflower New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1510 $1,695 $1.12 25d 1 0.92mi
208 Texas Thistle New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,750 $1.04 19d 1 0.94mi
342 Mistflower New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1510 $1,695 $1.12 25d 1 0.94mi
452 Holly Bush New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1497 $1,997 $1.33 0d 1 1.01mi
352 Blacktail Dr New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1548 $1,695 $1.09 25d 1 1.01mi
923 Avery Pkwy Unit 2 New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 2305 $2,125 $0.92 6d 1 1.03mi
323 Deer Crest Dr New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.0 1604 $2,700 $1.68 25d 1 1.06mi
121 Flora St New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.0 1696 $2,000 $1.18 45d 1 1.06mi
308 Autumn Rouge New Braunfels, TX 4.0 3.0 2301 $2,295 $1.00 21d 1 1.06mi
308 Autumn Rouge New Braunfels, TX 4.0 3.0 2301 $2,200 $0.96 0d 1 1.06mi
409 Dakota Crk New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.5 2100 $1,995 $0.95 25d 1 1.09mi
426 Dakota Crk New Braunfels, TX 3.0 2.5 2145 $1,800 $0.84 45d 1 1.13mi
426 Dakota Crk New Braunfels, TX 4.0 2.5 2145 $1,995 $0.93 0d 1 1.13mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$29 · $348/yr

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $282,000 Active 219 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $282,000 Active 216 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $282,000 Active 215 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $282,000 Active 214 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $282,000 Active 213 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $282,000 Active 211 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $282,000 Active 207 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $282,000 Active 206 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $282,000 Active 205 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $282,000 Active 202 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $282,000 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $282,000 Active 200 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $282,000 Price Change 199 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $282,000 Price Change 198 DOM
  15. 2026-05-02
    price $267,000 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

  16. 2026-05-01
    price $267,000 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

  17. 2026-04-24
    price $267,500 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

  18. 2026-04-24
    price $293,343 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

  19. 2026-04-20
    listed $267,500 Active 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

  20. 2026-04-11
    price $267,500 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

  21. 2026-03-25
    price $268,000 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

  22. 2026-02-20
    price $273,000 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

  23. 2026-01-11
    price $283,000 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

  24. 2025-12-09
    price $284,990 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

  25. 2025-11-22
    price $293,000 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

  26. 2025-11-14
    listed $285,000 New 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. The Navarre- This new single-level home boasts a modern and low-maintenance design. Three secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, with a nearby study perfect for focusing on important tasks throughout the week. An inviting open-concept living area combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, with a nearby covered patio ready for outdoor entertainment and leisure. A lavish owner's suite completes the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

  27. 2025-11-03
    soldstatus Sold
  28. 2025-10-31
    soldstatus
  29. 2025-10-27
    status Pending
  30. 2025-10-24
    price $297,999
  31. 2025-10-15
    price $298,999
  32. 2025-10-10
    price $300,999
  33. 2025-09-27
    price $302,999
  34. 2025-09-26
    status Back on Market
  35. 2025-07-14
    status Pending
  36. 2025-06-10
    price $295,299
  37. 2025-06-07
    price $296,299
  38. 2025-05-31
    price $302,214
  39. 2025-05-28
    price $316,214
  40. 2025-05-20
    price $335,999
  41. 2025-04-11
    listed $345,999 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,169 · $347/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,161 · $430/mo
Expected delta
+$991/yr (+$83/mo · 23.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,744
− Mortgage interest
−$15,796
− Property taxes
−$4,169
− Insurance
−$1,410
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,820
− Management
−$1,820
− HOA
−$348
− Depreciation
−$8,204
Taxable loss
−$10,822
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,597
After-tax cash flow
$-3,108/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Comal ISD
NCES district ID
4814730
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$74,792
Composite
51.79/100
National rank
#1671
State rank
#58 of 826 in TX

Livability — New Braunfels

Score
83/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#925

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Comal County · 206,262 people
City population
144,962
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
104,009
Household income
$83,064
Rent vs Own
34.1% rent · 65.9% own
Severe rent burden
2912.0

Population outlook (Guadalupe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
196,854 people
By 2030
220,210 · +11.9%
By 2040
268,004 · +36.1%
By 2050
316,333 · +60.7%
By 2075
434,747 · +120.8%
By 2100
520,447 · +164.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (58%)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 19% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 32%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 20% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Guadalupe

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
2008→2024 swing
+1.5pp toward D · 2008: -31.0pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+24.2 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+35.1 2008: R+31.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -190.61%
Current HPI
173.7128
Rent YoY
▼ -1.97%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.8% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $267,000 LERA
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $267,000 CTXMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $267,500 LERA
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $293,343 LERA
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $267,500 CTXMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $267,500 LERA
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $268,000 LERA
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $273,000 LERA
  • 2026-01-11 Price Changed $283,000 LERA
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $284,990 LERA
  • 2025-11-22 Price Changed $293,000 LERA
  • 2025-11-14 Listed $285,000 LERA
  • 2025-11-03 Sold (MLS) LERA
  • 2025-10-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-10-27 Pending LERA
  • 2025-10-24 Price Changed $297,999 LERA
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $298,999 LERA
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed $300,999 LERA
  • 2025-09-27 Price Changed $302,999 LERA
  • 2025-09-26 Relisted LERA
  • 2025-07-14 Pending LERA
  • 2025-06-10 Price Changed $295,299 LERA
  • 2025-06-07 Price Changed $296,299 LERA
  • 2025-05-31 Price Changed $302,214 LERA
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed $316,214 LERA
  • 2025-05-20 Price Changed $335,999 LERA
  • 2025-04-11 Listed $345,999 LERA

Property tax history

+216.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,169 · +1284.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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