30 S Custer Ave · Clawson, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.6/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home is located in the heart of Clawson. .. Loved by sellers for 68 years. Clawson is often called the "LITTLE CITY WITH A BIG HEART" It's a small Oakland County community, and a surprisingly lively downtown and strong local character. Home needs updated and minor repairs but price reflects. Handy man or investor this home is for you!!!
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1947
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $672 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.3% in Clawson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 92/100 on livability (#2 in MI, #34 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
- Clawson Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #148 of 540 in MI (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.22%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $292,030
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Gerald Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,106 (+0%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $217 | 89 |
| 298 Broadacre Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,033 (-6%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $261 | 79 |
| 515 S Marias Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,157 (+5%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $268 | 72 |
| 261 Tecumseh St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-9%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $285 | 66 |
| 290 Broadacre Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (+13%) | 6mo | $315,000 | $252 | 66 |
| 253 Massoit St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,035 (-6%) | 5mo | $229,900 | $222 | 64 |
| 812 S Manitou Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-6%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $231 | 63 |
| 725 S Manitou Ave | 0.53mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,038 (-6%) | 0mo | $280,000 | $270 | 60 |
| 649 Phillips Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,261 (+14%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $250 | 58 |
| 217 E Baker Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,037 (-6%) | 7mo | $275,000 | $265 | 52 |
| 311 Hendrickson Blvd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,178 (+7%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $306 | 51 |
| 216 Woodside Rd | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (+15%) | 0mo | $342,000 | $271 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $23,629
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $76,062
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48017
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,001 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$234 /mo · $2,812/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $672
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 Tecumseh St Clawson, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1013 | $2,000 | $1.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 460 Lincoln Ave Clawson, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 155 Amelia St Royal Oak, MI | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 971 | $1,770 | $1.82 | 3d | 7 | 0.68mi |
| 3810 S Rochester Rd Royal Oak, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1208 | $1,800 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4031 Crooks Rd Unit 4061-212 Royal Oak, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,795 | $1.68 | 5d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4805 Woodland Ave Royal Oak, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 627 | $1,465 | $2.33 | 2d | 12 | 0.90mi |
| 701 Whitcomb Ave Royal Oak, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,050 | $2.05 | 18d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1300 Livernois Rd Troy, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $2,690 | $2.69 | 1d | 18 | 0.94mi |
| 232 Woodlawn Ave Royal Oak, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $4,500 | $4.50 | 2d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3807 Crooks Rd Royal Oak, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 549 | $1,185 | $2.16 | 2d | 8 | 0.96mi |
| 629 W Maple Rd Clawson, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,274 | $1.38 | 24d | 2 | 1.03mi |
| 2400 Parmenter Blvd Royal Oak, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 852 | $1,715 | $2.01 | 2d | 3 | 1.08mi |
| 222 E Thirteen Mile Rd Unit 2 Royal Oak, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2440 Parmenter Blvd #211 Royal Oak, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,600 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3115 Evergreen Dr Royal Oak, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 887 | $1,630 | $1.84 | 5d | 8 | 1.19mi |
| 1313 Donald Ave Royal Oak, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,778 | $2.12 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 614 E 13 Mile Rd Royal Oak, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $2,995 | $2.09 | 1d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3406 Elmhurst Ave Royal Oak, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 125 Sheffield Dr Troy, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $2,000 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1608 Bauman Ave Royal Oak, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1233 | $2,300 | $1.87 | 1d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2702 N Main St Royal Oak, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,350 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 429 Linden Ave Royal Oak, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,995 | $2.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1712 Midtown Cir Royal Oak, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1550 | $2,901 | $1.87 | 1d | 8 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-13remarks 339-char remark
-
2026-06-13$119,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,812 · $234/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,812 · $234/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,007
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$2,812
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,921
- − Management
- −$1,921
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $6,631
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,591
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clawson Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2609930
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,014
- Composite
- 38.3/100
- National rank
- #4230
- State rank
- #148 of 540 in MI
Livability — Clawson
- Score
- 92/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #34
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clawson, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 11,350
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,350
- Household income
- $88,812
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 148.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 5%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -392.39%
- Current HPI
- 220.2798
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-11 Listed $119,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-11 Listed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,812 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…