2020 Continental Ave #221 · Tallahassee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
located minutes from FSU, FAMU, TCC, shopping, restaurants, and public transportation. 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with indoor laundry, separate living and dining rooms, a community pool and no carpet throughout. CAP Rate approx 8% Units 111, 221, 141, 236 are available as a package for purchase
Key facts
- Remodeled apartment
- Close to schools
- Close to restaurants
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee: $4,200 (includes common areas, maintenance structure, pool(s), street lights, trash, water); Community pool
Exterior
- Parking: Parking space(s)
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Block and concrete construction
- Construction: Block and concrete construction
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Private pool (community features listed)
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2: 12 x 12
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Pantry; Split bedrooms; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($915/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
- Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,323/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 6995% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.67%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-7,038
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $10,810
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32304
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,323 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,383/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$350
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $76
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $127 | -5% $101 | +0% $76 | +5% $51 | +10% $26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-28 | -5% $24 | +0% $76 | +5% $129 | +10% $181 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $121 | -0.5pp $99 | base $76 | +0.5pp $53 | +1.0pp $30 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Continental Ave Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 21d | 3 | 0.09mi |
| 2060 Continental Ave Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1121 | $1,052 | $0.94 | 14d | 26 | 0.12mi |
| 1111 High Rd Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,409 | $1.41 | 14d | 11 | 0.13mi |
| 1303 Ocala Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1121 | $1,320 | $1.18 | 14d | 48 | 0.16mi |
| 1108 Greentree Ct Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,275 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1360 Ocala Rd Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 832 Arkansas St Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1380 Ocala Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1001 Ocala Rd Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 899 | $584 | $0.65 | 21d | 6 | 0.41mi |
| 1107 Basin St Unit A Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $2,400 | $1.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1325 W Tharpe St Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 937 | $1,511 | $1.61 | 14d | 21 | 0.65mi |
| 1560 San Luis Rd Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $774 | $0.52 | 21d | 22 | 0.66mi |
| 1525 W Tennessee St #307 Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2182 Timberwood Cir S Unit 1 Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $1,599 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1329 Nylic St #1 Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1275 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2353 W Mission Rd Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1012 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 14d | 11 | 0.78mi |
| 2350 Horne Ave Unit 2 Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 322 Conradi St Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 21d | 4 | 0.89mi |
| 2259 Parrot Ln Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 992 | $1,275 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2327 Parrot Ln Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 916 N Woodward Ave #1 Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 205 White Dr Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1155 | $637 | $0.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2616 Mission Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 14d | 12 | 1.14mi |
| 2301 Old Bainbridge Rd Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2350 Wanda Way Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 861 | $1,200 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2614 W Tennessee St Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1270 | $1,159 | $0.91 | 21d | 14 | 1.16mi |
| 2309 Old Bainbridge Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 798 | $1,420 | $1.78 | 14d | 10 | 1.20mi |
| 1818 Sylvan Ct Unit D Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2202 W Pensacola St Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,224 | $1.29 | 21d | 3 | 1.20mi |
| 220 Atkinson Dr Unit D Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,100 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2401 Atlas Rd Unit B Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1571 Stone Rd Unit 5B Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1216 | $1,795 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2412 Atlas Rd Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1081 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1854 Belle Vue Way Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,235 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2419 Nugget Ln Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1612 Overstreet St Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $3,300 | $2.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1447 Stone Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $1,360 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 301 S Lipona Rd #24 Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 896 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2403 Hartsfield Rd #602 Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1216 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2403 Hartsfield Rd #602 Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1216 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $350 · $4,200/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2025-09-30$89,000 Active
-
2025-07-04historical
-
2025-05-12price $89,000
-
2025-04-02$99,000 Active
-
2023-11-20soldstatus $80,000
-
2023-11-17soldstatus $80,000 Closed 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
located minutes from FSU, FAMU, TCC, shopping, restaurants, and public transportation. 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with indoor laundry, separate living and dining rooms, a community pool and no carpet throughout. CAP Rate approx 8% Units 111, 221, 141, 236 are available as a package for purchase
-
2023-10-11historical Active Under Contract 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
located minutes from FSU, FAMU, TCC, shopping, restaurants, and public transportation. 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with indoor laundry, separate living and dining rooms, a community pool and no carpet throughout. CAP Rate approx 8% Units 111, 221, 141, 236 are available as a package for purchase
-
2023-10-07$85,000 Active 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
located minutes from FSU, FAMU, TCC, shopping, restaurants, and public transportation. 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with indoor laundry, separate living and dining rooms, a community pool and no carpet throughout. CAP Rate approx 8% Units 111, 221, 141, 236 are available as a package for purchase
-
2022-08-16soldstatus $71,000
-
2022-08-15soldstatus $71,000 Closed
-
2022-07-30historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-07-23$85,000 Active
-
2017-06-11historical
-
2017-03-16$68,000
-
2007-08-09soldstatus $94,000
-
2007-06-13$94,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,383 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,383 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,878
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,383
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,270
- − Management
- −$1,270
- − HOA
- −$4,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable loss
- −$264
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$63
- After-tax cash flow
- $979/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leon
- NCES district ID
- 1201110
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,339
- Composite
- 42.84/100
- National rank
- #3131
- State rank
- #33 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tallahassee
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tallahassee, FL
- County
- Leon County · 294,472 people
- City population
- 294,472
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,673
- Household income
- $32,348
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6995.0
Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,507 people
- By 2030
- 330,677 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 358,465 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 386,804 · +22.6%
- By 2075
- 465,480 · +47.5%
- By 2100
- 519,959 · +64.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Leon
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.04%
- Current HPI
- 267.8426
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.69%
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-6.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-30 Listed $89,000 CATRS
- 2025-07-04 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2025-05-12 Price Changed $89,000 CATRS
- 2025-04-02 Listed $99,000 CATRS
- 2023-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2023-11-17 Sold (MLS) $80,000 CATRS
- 2023-10-11 Contingent — CATRS
- 2023-10-07 Listed $85,000 CATRS
- 2022-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-15 Sold (MLS) $71,000 CATRS
- 2022-07-30 Contingent — CATRS
- 2022-07-23 Listed $85,000 CATRS
- 2017-06-11 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2017-03-16 Listed $68,000 CATRS
- 2007-08-09 Sold (MLS) $94,000 CATRS
- 2007-06-13 Listed $94,900 CATRS
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,383 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…