1241 Camden Yard Dr · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and move-in ready, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Burleson offers comfort, style, and everyday convenience. Step inside to a bright and inviting open floor plan featuring a spacious living area filled with natural light—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen boasts ample cabinet space, modern finishes, and a cozy dining area ideal for family meals. The primary suite provides a private retreat with an ensuite bath and generous closet space, while the secondary bedrooms are perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy outdoor living in the private backyard with plenty of room for gatherings, play, or gardening. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major highways, this home is a fantastic opportunity for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a well-cared-for property in a great location!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Cozy dining area
- Private backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-328 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (24.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (16.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
- Burleson ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #236 of 826 in TX (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 679 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.98%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $280,045
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -16.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12421 Hunters Mill Trl | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,573 (+6%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $175 | 83 |
| 12404 Hunters Mill Trl | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,463 (-1%) | 17mo | $265,000 | $181 | 75 |
| 12233 Hunters Knoll Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,546 (+4%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $184 | 75 |
| 12316 Silver Mist Trl | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,445 (-2%) | 24mo | $300,000 | $208 | 62 |
| 12229 Hunters Knoll Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,622 (+9%) | 11mo | $287,000 | $177 | 58 |
| 12409 Seven Eagles Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (-10%) | 17mo | $274,990 | $207 | 58 |
| 12104 Rolling Ridge Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (+8%) | 12mo | $277,900 | $173 | 55 |
| 1525 Wickham Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,307 (-12%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $214 | 46 |
| 12113 Rolling Ridge Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,351 (-9%) | 23mo | $279,900 | $207 | 46 |
| 12124 Lunar Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (-5%) | 23mo | $200,995 | $143 | 44 |
| 1632 Village Park Trl | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,527 (+3%) | 22mo | $255,000 | $167 | 42 |
| 12132 Bellegrove Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,543 (+4%) | 23mo | $289,000 | $187 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-61,162
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- -33.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.35×
- Total profit
- $-88,928
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76028
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 679
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,962 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$547 /mo · $6,569/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $-328
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12220 Hunters Crossing Ln Burleson, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,789 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 12204 Hunters Crossing Ln Burleson, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,905 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 901 E Rendon Crowley Rd Burleson, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1181 | $2,745 | $2.32 | 1d | 49 | 0.63mi |
| 970 Weis Blvd Unit 8107 Cross Timber, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,599 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1832 Wickham Dr Burleson, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1209 Brownford Dr Burleson, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1324 Sierra Blanca Dr Burleson, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1541 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1312 Nelson Pl Burleson, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,820 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 757 Dema Ln Burleson, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,869 | $1.31 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 741 Dema Ln Burleson, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1447 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-18historical Active Option Contract 877-char remark
Show marketing remark (877 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Burleson offers comfort, style, and everyday convenience. Step inside to a bright and inviting open floor plan featuring a spacious living area filled with natural light—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen boasts ample cabinet space, modern finishes, and a cozy dining area ideal for family meals. The primary suite provides a private retreat with an ensuite bath and generous closet space, while the secondary bedrooms are perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy outdoor living in the private backyard with plenty of room for gatherings, play, or gardening. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major highways, this home is a fantastic opportunity for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a well-cared-for property in a great location!
-
2026-05-14price $235,000 877-char remark
Show marketing remark (877 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Burleson offers comfort, style, and everyday convenience. Step inside to a bright and inviting open floor plan featuring a spacious living area filled with natural light—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen boasts ample cabinet space, modern finishes, and a cozy dining area ideal for family meals. The primary suite provides a private retreat with an ensuite bath and generous closet space, while the secondary bedrooms are perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy outdoor living in the private backyard with plenty of room for gatherings, play, or gardening. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major highways, this home is a fantastic opportunity for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a well-cared-for property in a great location!
-
2026-04-23price $246,000 877-char remark
Show marketing remark (877 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Burleson offers comfort, style, and everyday convenience. Step inside to a bright and inviting open floor plan featuring a spacious living area filled with natural light—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen boasts ample cabinet space, modern finishes, and a cozy dining area ideal for family meals. The primary suite provides a private retreat with an ensuite bath and generous closet space, while the secondary bedrooms are perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy outdoor living in the private backyard with plenty of room for gatherings, play, or gardening. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major highways, this home is a fantastic opportunity for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a well-cared-for property in a great location!
-
2026-04-09price $250,000 877-char remark
Show marketing remark (877 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Burleson offers comfort, style, and everyday convenience. Step inside to a bright and inviting open floor plan featuring a spacious living area filled with natural light—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen boasts ample cabinet space, modern finishes, and a cozy dining area ideal for family meals. The primary suite provides a private retreat with an ensuite bath and generous closet space, while the secondary bedrooms are perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy outdoor living in the private backyard with plenty of room for gatherings, play, or gardening. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major highways, this home is a fantastic opportunity for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a well-cared-for property in a great location!
-
2026-03-22$260,000 Active 877-char remark
Show marketing remark (877 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Burleson offers comfort, style, and everyday convenience. Step inside to a bright and inviting open floor plan featuring a spacious living area filled with natural light—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen boasts ample cabinet space, modern finishes, and a cozy dining area ideal for family meals. The primary suite provides a private retreat with an ensuite bath and generous closet space, while the secondary bedrooms are perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy outdoor living in the private backyard with plenty of room for gatherings, play, or gardening. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major highways, this home is a fantastic opportunity for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a well-cared-for property in a great location!
-
2026-02-17soldstatus
-
2026-01-12historical
-
2025-12-17$250,000 Active
-
2018-07-03soldstatus
-
2018-07-02soldstatus Sold
-
2018-06-08status Pending
-
2018-06-03historical Active Option Contract
-
2018-05-31$170,000 Active
-
2010-03-04soldstatus
-
2010-02-01historical
-
2009-07-28$99,999
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,569 · $547/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,569 · $547/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,540
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$6,569
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,883
- − Management
- −$1,883
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$7,970
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,913
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,023/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Burleson ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4812180
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,349
- Composite
- 40.05/100
- National rank
- #3818
- State rank
- #236 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Johnson County · 147,987 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 81,549
- Household income
- $101,138
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1117.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -141.44%
- Current HPI
- 282.466
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.78%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+135.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $235,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $246,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $250,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-22 Listed $260,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-01-12 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-12-17 Listed $250,000 NTREIS
- 2018-07-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-07-02 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2018-06-08 Pending — NTREIS
- 2018-06-03 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2018-05-31 Listed $170,000 NTREIS
- 2010-03-04 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2010-02-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2009-07-28 Listed $99,999 NTREIS
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,569 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…