1128 E Pima St · Phoenix, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2bd 1ba Nice opportunity in an up and coming neighborhood. Close to sports arenas and downtown activities. Come with your hammer and nails.
Key facts
- 6,360 sq ft lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1941
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: 2 open parking spaces; 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding and adobe construction; Rolled/hot mop roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Dirt front lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
- Flooring: Concrete floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (total 2 bathrooms)
- Heating & cooling: Has heating (type: other); Has cooling (type: other)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Master bedroom with a 3/4 bath
- Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($89/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (24.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
- Phoenix Union High School District (4286) (urban): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 249 in AZ (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Pxu City (52 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 34 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.20%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,202
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1128 E Pima St | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 689 (0%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $218 | 98 |
| 1634 S 5th St | 0.60mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 720 (+4%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $174 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $83,977
- Equity at exit
- $144,141
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.37×
- Total profit
- $240,396
- Equity at exit
- $310,845
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85034
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Rents YoY
- -4.0%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,215 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $564/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $7
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1441 S 14th St Unit 4 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $899 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 518 E Mohave St Unit C Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,250 | $2.78 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 737 S 2nd St Unit 2 Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $999 | $2.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 11 S 12th St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 969 | $2,418 | $2.49 | 1d | 25 | 1.02mi |
| 21 W Tonto St #6 Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 20d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1150 E Washington St Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 792 | $2,324 | $2.93 | 1d | 169 | 1.09mi |
| 1555 E Washington St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 755 | $1,175 | $1.56 | 1d | 7 | 1.12mi |
| 220 N 12th St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 444 | $1,324 | $2.98 | 1d | 18 | 1.22mi |
| 211 W Hadley St Unit 4 Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 522 | $950 | $1.82 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1502 E Adams St Unit 2 Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 455 | $799 | $1.76 | 1d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 222 E Jefferson St Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1135 | $4,225 | $3.72 | 1d | 50 | 1.24mi |
| 901 E Van Buren St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $3,745 | $3.91 | 1d | 12 | 1.25mi |
| 188 E Jefferson St Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 944 | $3,595 | $3.81 | 1d | 26 | 1.31mi |
| 329 N 11th St Unit 210 Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $825 | $1.27 | 7d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1634 E Monroe St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 435 | $799 | $1.84 | 1d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3620 S 12th St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1006 | $1,418 | $1.41 | 1d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1102 E Polk St Apt 2 Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 442 | $799 | $1.81 | 5d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1102 E Polk St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 442 | $799 | $1.81 | 1d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1437 E Polk St #2 Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $720 | $1.31 | 1d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 410 N 11th St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,625 | $2.36 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 402 N 10th St Apt 6 Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,095 | $1.68 | 1d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1153 E Taylor St Unit 4 Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 496 | $799 | $1.61 | 1d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1442 E Polk St Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,399 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 425 N 13th Pl Unit 1311 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,450 | $2.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 475 N 9th St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $3,600 | $5.84 | 1d | 4 | 1.45mi |
| 475 N 9th St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 674 | $3,600 | $5.34 | 10d | 3 | 1.45mi |
| 475 N 9th St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $3,600 | $5.29 | 18d | 2 | 1.45mi |
| 125 N 18th St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 940 | $1,449 | $1.54 | 1d | 14 | 1.47mi |
| 1324 E Taylor St Unit 1 Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 488 | $799 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1324 E Taylor St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 488 | $799 | $1.64 | 1d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1324 E Taylor St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 488 | $799 | $1.64 | 12d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1435 E Taylor St Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 675 | $1,675 | $2.48 | 1d | 3 | 1.49mi |
| 1457 E Taylor St Apt 4 Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 592 | $1,295 | $2.19 | 1d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $160,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $160,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 99 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 98 DOM
-
2026-04-27historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
-
2026-02-20$160,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $564 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,056 · $88/mo
- Expected delta
- +$492/yr (+$41/mo · 87.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,585
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$564
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,167
- − Management
- −$1,167
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$2,730
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$655
- After-tax cash flow
- $744/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phoenix Union High School District (4286)
- NCES district ID
- 0406330
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,055
- Composite
- 10.63/100
- National rank
- #9773
- State rank
- #224 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Phoenix
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phoenix, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 1,500,198
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,854
- Household income
- $63,559
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 480.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 31% Two or more races 27% Native American 9% Black 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 42% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.05%
- Current HPI
- 557.7026
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.96%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $160,000 ARMLS
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $564 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…