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1128 E Pima St
D Composite 43.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.6/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$160,000

1128 E Pima St · Phoenix, AZ 85034
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 689 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 115 Days on market
Built 1941 6,360 sqft lot Est $150k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2bd 1ba Nice opportunity in an up and coming neighborhood. Close to sports arenas and downtown activities. Come with your hammer and nails.

Key facts

  • 6,360 sq ft lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1941

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 open parking spaces; 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and adobe construction; Rolled/hot mop roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Dirt front lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Concrete floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (total 2 bathrooms)
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating (type: other); Has cooling (type: other)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Master bedroom with a 3/4 bath
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($89/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (24.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
  • Phoenix Union High School District (4286) (urban): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 249 in AZ (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Pxu City (52 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 34 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,539 (24.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.20%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$150,202
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1128 E Pima St 0.00mi 2/1.5 689 (0%) 1mo $150,000 $218 98
1634 S 5th St 0.60mi 1/1.0 (-1) 720 (+4%) 16mo $125,000 $174 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$83,977
Equity at exit
$144,141
10-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
6.37×
Total profit
$240,396
Equity at exit
$310,845

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85034

Home prices YoY
3.7%
Rents YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,215 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $564/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,206
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1441 S 14th St Unit 4 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 621 $899 $1.45 22d 1 0.30mi
518 E Mohave St Unit C Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 450 $1,250 $2.78 1d 1 0.56mi
737 S 2nd St Unit 2 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 500 $999 $2.00 1d 1 0.93mi
11 S 12th St Phoenix, AZ 3.0 1.0–2.0 969 $2,418 $2.49 1d 25 1.02mi
21 W Tonto St #6 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 600 $1,095 $1.82 20d 1 1.08mi
1150 E Washington St Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 792 $2,324 $2.93 1d 169 1.09mi
1555 E Washington St Phoenix, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 755 $1,175 $1.56 1d 7 1.12mi
220 N 12th St Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0–2.0 444 $1,324 $2.98 1d 18 1.22mi
211 W Hadley St Unit 4 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 522 $950 $1.82 17d 1 1.22mi
1502 E Adams St Unit 2 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 455 $799 $1.76 1d 1 1.22mi
222 E Jefferson St Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.5 1135 $4,225 $3.72 1d 50 1.24mi
901 E Van Buren St Phoenix, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 958 $3,745 $3.91 1d 12 1.25mi
188 E Jefferson St Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 944 $3,595 $3.81 1d 26 1.31mi
329 N 11th St Unit 210 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 650 $825 $1.27 7d 1 1.35mi
1634 E Monroe St Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 435 $799 $1.84 1d 1 1.37mi
3620 S 12th St Phoenix, AZ 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1006 $1,418 $1.41 1d 1 1.38mi
1102 E Polk St Apt 2 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 442 $799 $1.81 5d 1 1.39mi
1102 E Polk St Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 442 $799 $1.81 1d 1 1.39mi
1437 E Polk St #2 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 550 $720 $1.31 1d 1 1.40mi
410 N 11th St Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 690 $1,625 $2.36 16d 1 1.40mi
402 N 10th St Apt 6 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 650 $1,095 $1.68 1d 1 1.41mi
1153 E Taylor St Unit 4 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 496 $799 $1.61 1d 1 1.42mi
1442 E Polk St Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 750 $1,399 $1.87 24d 1 1.43mi
425 N 13th Pl Unit 1311 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 650 $1,450 $2.23 15d 1 1.44mi
475 N 9th St Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 616 $3,600 $5.84 1d 4 1.45mi
475 N 9th St Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 674 $3,600 $5.34 10d 3 1.45mi
475 N 9th St Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 680 $3,600 $5.29 18d 2 1.45mi
125 N 18th St Phoenix, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 940 $1,449 $1.54 1d 14 1.47mi
1324 E Taylor St Unit 1 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 488 $799 $1.64 14d 1 1.47mi
1324 E Taylor St Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 488 $799 $1.64 1d 1 1.47mi
1324 E Taylor St Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 488 $799 $1.64 12d 1 1.47mi
1435 E Taylor St Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 675 $1,675 $2.48 1d 3 1.49mi
1457 E Taylor St Apt 4 Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 592 $1,295 $2.19 1d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 115 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 106 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $160,000 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 100 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    status $160,000 Active 99 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 99 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 98 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
  16. 2026-02-20
    listed $160,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$564 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,056 · $88/mo
Expected delta
+$492/yr (+$41/mo · 87.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,585
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$564
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,167
− Management
−$1,167
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$2,730
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$655
After-tax cash flow
$744/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Phoenix Union High School District (4286)
NCES district ID
0406330
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$39,055
Composite
10.63/100
National rank
#9773
State rank
#224 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Phoenix

Score
75/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#3924

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phoenix, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
1,500,198
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
4,854
Household income
$63,559
Rent vs Own
77.5% rent · 22.5% own
Severe rent burden
480.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 54% White 31% Two or more races 27% Native American 9% Black 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 49% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 42% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.05%
Current HPI
557.7026
Rent YoY
▼ -3.96%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $160,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $564 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…