704 Center Dr · Tecumseh, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come take a look at this beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bath house with a 1 car attached garage that is move-in ready. First floor offers a nice family area with a fire place, and separate living area. The basement has a full bathroom and laundry room, along with a newer furnace and a/c unit. This home is located just minutes from the historical downtown Tecumseh. Schedule your showing today before it's to late! BATVAI
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Full bathroom
- Laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas connected; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Ranch-style single-family home; Built in 1950; Living area approximately 1,876
- Construction: Vinyl and wood siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Built in 1950
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (10 x 13); Bedroom 2 (10 x 10); Bedroom 3 (8 x 11)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one ~5 x 7, one ~6 x 10)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Garage door opener; Gas log fireplace; Bay/bow windows; Window treatments; Full basement; Seven total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room (6 x 17); Dryer; Natural gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-379/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (2.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (10.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $206k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in Tecumseh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#103 in MI, #2,459 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Tecumseh Public Schools (town): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #181 of 540 in MI (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Tecumseh Acres North Early Learning Center (303 students, 43% FRL); Tecumseh Middle School (math 33% / reading 41%, grade F, #248 of 493 statewide, top 53%, 793 students, 34% FRL); Tecumseh High School (math 37% / reading 72%, grade C-, #109 of 713 statewide, top 17%, 800 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 12 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $190k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.59%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $266,392
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 882 Fedora Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 1,800 (-4%) | 0mo | $360,000 | $200 | 69 |
| 811 Outer Dr | 0.10mi | 3/3.0 | 1,820 (-3%) | 21mo | $365,000 | $201 | 69 |
| 600 Center Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,600 (-15%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $134 | 63 |
| 510 E Logan St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,736 (-8%) | 5mo | $252,000 | $145 | 62 |
| 410 E Pottawatamie St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,728 (-8%) | 1mo | $231,000 | $134 | 56 |
| 424 N Evans St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,713 (-9%) | 13mo | $270,000 | $158 | 47 |
| 416 E Logan St | 0.49mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 2,124 (+13%) | 6mo | $133,000 | $63 | 42 |
| 205 N Ottawa St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,756 (-6%) | 23mo | $249,900 | $142 | 39 |
| 804 River Acres Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,658 (-12%) | 20mo | $235,000 | $142 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-39,039
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-36,262
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49286
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,061 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$364 /mo · $4,365/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $-32
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $98 | -5% $33 | +0% $-32 | +5% $-96 | +10% $-161 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-194 | -5% $-113 | +0% $-32 | +5% $50 | +10% $131 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $84 | -0.5pp $27 | base $-32 | +0.5pp $-91 | +1.0pp $-151 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603 Nokomis St Tecumseh, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $2,500 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9103 N Union St #165 Tecumseh, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,848 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 9103 N Union St #174 Tecumseh, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,903 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 9115 N Union St Tecumseh, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,876 | $1.33 | 15d | 4 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-21remarks 414-char remark
-
2026-06-21$229,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,365 · $364/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,365 · $364/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,737
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$4,365
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,979
- − Management
- −$1,979
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable loss
- −$4,220
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,013
- After-tax cash flow
- $634/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tecumseh Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633720
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,026
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4775
- State rank
- #181 of 540 in MI
Livability — Tecumseh
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #103
- US rank
- #2459
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tecumseh, MI
- City population
- 14,331
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,331
Population outlook (Lenawee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,497 people
- By 2030
- 92,722 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 85,641 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 77,971 · -18.4%
- By 2075
- 60,043 · -37.1%
- By 2100
- 41,468 · -56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lenawee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.90%
- Current HPI
- 234.4935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+57.9% since first listed43 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-20 Listed $229,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-06-20 Listed $229,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-20 Listed $229,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-11-13 Price Changed $230,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-13 Price Changed $230,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-11-13 Price Changed $230,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-11-09 Price Changed $237,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-09 Price Changed $237,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-11-09 Price Changed $237,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-10-27 Price Changed $243,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-27 Price Changed $243,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-10-27 Price Changed $243,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-10-16 Price Changed $248,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-16 Price Changed $248,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-10-16 Price Changed $248,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-10-10 Price Changed $250,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-09 Price Changed $250,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-10-09 Price Changed $250,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-10-01 Listed $255,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-01 Listed $255,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-28 Sold (MLS) $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-28 Sold (MLS) $190,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-10-03 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2022-10-03 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-24 Listed $199,875 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-24 Listed $199,875 REALCOMP
- 2019-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
- 2019-01-09 Sold (MLS) $134,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-01-09 Sold (MLS) $134,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-01-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-12-11 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-10-27 Price Changed $139,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-28 Listed $144,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-28 Listed $139,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-02-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-02-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-02-09 Delisted — AAMLS
- 2006-12-29 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-12-29 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-12-29 Listed — AAMLS
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,365 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…