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281 E Whetherbine Way
B- Composite 69.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

281 E Whetherbine Way · Tallahassee, FL 32301
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · Townhouse public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1988 4,791 sqft lot Est $194k · 28% under $5/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Townhouse priced well below market value to account for the TLC needed. 2/2 with screened porch. Selling as-is.

Key facts

  • $5 HOA
  • Parking
  • Built 1988

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $60; Street lights in community

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Electric heating and cooling
  • Home design: Single-story brick home
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Porch (screened); Private maintained paved road; Lot dimensions approximately 32x118x32x118

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 — 12x11
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Tray ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Screened porch

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
  • Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $81k; list at $140k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.07%
Cash-on-cash
9.93%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$193,536
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
215 W Whetherbine Way 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,008 (0%) 3mo $187,000 $186 95
273 E Whetherbine Way Unit A 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,008 (0%) 7mo $180,000 $179 93
226 Whetherbine Dr W 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,008 (0%) 4mo $175,000 $174 93
247 Whetherbine Way 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,008 (0%) 5mo $165,000 $164 92
159 Whetherbine Way 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,008 (0%) 7mo $199,900 $198 87
142 W Whetherbine Way 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,008 (0%) 8mo $173,000 $172 83
339 Whetherbine Way 0.19mi 2/1.5 880 (-13%) 3mo $183,000 $208 65
3006 Richview Park Cir 0.65mi 2/2.0 992 (-2%) 3mo $203,000 $205 65
425 High Point Ln 0.70mi 2/2.0 992 (-2%) 4mo $186,000 $188 62
2189 Victory Garden Ln 0.45mi 2/1.5 880 (-13%) 1mo $170,000 $193 55
2179 Victory Gdn 0.47mi 2/1.5 880 (-13%) 1mo $169,000 $192 54
216 Parkbrook Cir 0.44mi 2/1.5 880 (-13%) 9mo $200,000 $227 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-241
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$33,869
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32301

Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,532 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,071/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$5
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$324

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,122
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $403 -5% $364 +0% $324 +5% $285 +10% $245
Rent -10% $203 -5% $264 +0% $324 +5% $385 +10% $445
Rate -1.0pp $395 -0.5pp $360 base $324 +0.5pp $288 +1.0pp $251

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2912 Capital Park Dr Tallahassee, FL 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,650 $1.33 14d 1 0.30mi
900 Riggins Rd Tallahassee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 997 $1,788 $1.79 14d 39 0.62mi
599 Chicopee Ct Unit D Tallahassee, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,095 $1.22 22d 1 0.63mi
581 Holyoke Ct Apt C Tallahassee, FL 2.0 1.0 995 $1,125 $1.13 22d 1 0.67mi
2102 E Park Ave Tallahassee, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 715 $1,545 $2.16 14d 8 0.68mi
430 Grail Ct Tallahassee, FL 3.0 2.0 1252 $2,300 $1.84 22d 1 0.77mi
432 Merlin Way Tallahassee, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $2,150 $1.48 22d 1 0.78mi
410 Victory Garden Dr Tallahassee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1183 $1,485 $1.26 22d 1 0.82mi
600 Victory Garden Dr Tallahassee, FL 1.0 1.0 923 $1,389 $1.50 22d 1 0.96mi
2902 Battle Mountain Rd Tallahassee, FL 2.0 2.0 1160 $1,324 $1.14 22d 4 1.08mi
3148 Dick Wilson Blvd Tallahassee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1536 $1,782 $1.16 14d 14 1.11mi
501 S Blair Stone Rd Tallahassee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1080 $1,470 $1.36 22d 1 1.14mi
2350 Phillips Rd Tallahassee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1119 $1,776 $1.59 14d 19 1.21mi
1800 Miccosukee Commons Dr Tallahassee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,645 $1.84 14d 19 1.25mi
713 Pointe Ct Tallahassee, FL 2.0 1.0 860 $1,100 $1.28 14d 1 1.27mi
2850 Apalachee Pkwy Tallahassee, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,395 $1.86 14d 46 1.32mi
1839 Miccosukee Rd Tallahassee, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 810 $1,250 $1.54 14d 5 1.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$5 · $60/yr

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 111-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $139,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,071 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,161 · $97/mo
Expected delta
+$90/yr (+$8/mo · 8.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,385
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,071
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,471
− Management
−$1,471
− HOA
−$60
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$1,707
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$410
After-tax cash flow
$3,480/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Leon
NCES district ID
1201110
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,339
Composite
42.84/100
National rank
#3131
State rank
#33 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tallahassee

Score
86/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#429

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tallahassee, FL
County
Leon County · 294,472 people
City population
294,472
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,017
Household income
$50,942
Rent vs Own
68.8% rent · 31.2% own
Severe rent burden
2625.0

Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,507 people
By 2030
330,677 · +4.8%
By 2040
358,465 · +13.6%
By 2050
386,804 · +22.6%
By 2075
465,480 · +47.5%
By 2100
519,959 · +64.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Leon

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -231.50%
Current HPI
231.103
Rent YoY
▲ 4.16%
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Contingent CATRS
  • 2026-04-28 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $139,900 CATRS
  • 2026-04-15 Relisted CATRS
  • 2026-04-10 Contingent CATRS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $149,900 CATRS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $139,900 CATRS
  • 2015-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
  • 1995-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,071 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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