7914 Copa De Oro St · Doolittle, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is a mobile home situated on a quiet street, featuring a fenced yard. The home has a simple, single-story design with a screened-in porch on the front, providing a pleasant outdoor space. The exterior is finished with light-colored siding and a dark roof. The yard is enclosed by a red wooden fence, offering a level of privacy.
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Screened-in porch
- Fenced yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Escrow: yes
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: No garage / no assigned parking
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Own lot
- Construction: Siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Shingle roof; Building area approximately 1,456 (source: HidalgoCAD)
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Corner lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Split bedrooms (bedrooms separated for privacy)
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Laminate countertops; Ceiling fan(s); Split-bedroom layout; No window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.4% in Doolittle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,460 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Villarreal El (math 20% / reading 29%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 665 students, 95% FRL); Betty Harwell Middle (math 11% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 1,453 students, 96% FRL); Economedes H S (math 19% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 2,762 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 62% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1003 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.31%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $8,237
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $27,894
- Equity at exit
- $8,473
Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78542
- Home prices YoY
- -13.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1003
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,367 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$514
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,003/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $442
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,500
- Closing costs
- $2,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending
-
2026-04-27historical Option
-
2026-04-02price $98,000
-
2026-03-04$108,000 Active
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2026-02-04price $108,000
-
2026-01-21price $118,500
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2025-11-11$128,500 Active
-
2025-07-11status Pending 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
This property is a mobile home situated on a quiet street, featuring a fenced yard. The home has a simple, single-story design with a screened-in porch on the front, providing a pleasant outdoor space. The exterior is finished with light-colored siding and a dark roof. The yard is enclosed by a red wooden fence, offering a level of privacy.
-
2025-07-01historical Option 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
This property is a mobile home situated on a quiet street, featuring a fenced yard. The home has a simple, single-story design with a screened-in porch on the front, providing a pleasant outdoor space. The exterior is finished with light-colored siding and a dark roof. The yard is enclosed by a red wooden fence, offering a level of privacy.
-
2025-06-18price $128,500 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
This property is a mobile home situated on a quiet street, featuring a fenced yard. The home has a simple, single-story design with a screened-in porch on the front, providing a pleasant outdoor space. The exterior is finished with light-colored siding and a dark roof. The yard is enclosed by a red wooden fence, offering a level of privacy.
-
2025-04-30price $139,800 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
This property is a mobile home situated on a quiet street, featuring a fenced yard. The home has a simple, single-story design with a screened-in porch on the front, providing a pleasant outdoor space. The exterior is finished with light-colored siding and a dark roof. The yard is enclosed by a red wooden fence, offering a level of privacy.
-
2025-04-08price $145,000 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
This property is a mobile home situated on a quiet street, featuring a fenced yard. The home has a simple, single-story design with a screened-in porch on the front, providing a pleasant outdoor space. The exterior is finished with light-colored siding and a dark roof. The yard is enclosed by a red wooden fence, offering a level of privacy.
-
2025-01-31$146,000 Active 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
This property is a mobile home situated on a quiet street, featuring a fenced yard. The home has a simple, single-story design with a screened-in porch on the front, providing a pleasant outdoor space. The exterior is finished with light-colored siding and a dark roof. The yard is enclosed by a red wooden fence, offering a level of privacy.
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2024-09-18price $146,000
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2024-06-27price $138,000
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2024-06-15status Active
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2024-06-15price $128,000
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2024-05-23historical
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2024-05-20$148,000 Active
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2018-08-14soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,003 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,793 · $149/mo
- Expected delta
- +$790/yr (+$66/mo · 78.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,405
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,490
- − Property taxes
- −$1,003
- − Insurance
- −$490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,312
- − Management
- −$1,312
- − Depreciation
- −$2,851
- Taxable income
- $3,946
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$947
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edinburg CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818180
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,985
- Composite
- 22.42/100
- National rank
- #8114
- State rank
- #699 of 826 in TX
Livability — Doolittle
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #1460
- US rank
- #24819
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Doolittle, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 89,401
- Household income
- $55,243
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1240.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 59% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 91%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 15% English-only · Spanish 84%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.17%
- Current HPI
- 220.921
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.07%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-33.8% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — MCALLENMLS
- 2026-04-27 Contingent — MCALLENMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $98,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $108,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $108,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $118,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-11-11 Listed $128,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-07-11 Pending — MCALLENMLS
- 2025-07-01 Contingent — MCALLENMLS
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $128,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-04-30 Price Changed $139,800 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-04-08 Price Changed $145,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-01-31 Listed $146,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-09-18 Price Changed $146,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-06-27 Price Changed $138,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-06-15 Relisted — MCALLENMLS
- 2024-06-15 Price Changed $128,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-05-23 Delisted — MCALLENMLS
- 2024-05-20 Listed $148,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2018-08-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,003 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…