1307 Blondeau St · Keokuk, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2-story home featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 1 half bath. Enjoy hardwood flooring, main-level laundry, and a peaceful covered front porch—perfect for relaxing. Recent updates include a new furnace in 2024. Conveniently located near local amenities with a 1-car detached garage accessible from the alley. Contact your favorite agent today for a showing!
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Covered front porch
- New furnace
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.13 acres; Lot dimensions: 50 x 50 x 100 x 100 and 15 x 15 x 43 x 43
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($972 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#166 in IA, #3,002 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
- Keokuk Community School District (town): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #282 of 289 in IA (top 98%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $80k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.97%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $68,094
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 S 9th St | 0.35mi | 2/2.5 | 1,332 (+6%) | 3mo | $20,000 | $15 | 68 |
| 1000 Franklin St | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 | 1,338 (+6%) | 8mo | $12,500 | $9 | 65 |
| 1620 Johnson St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 1,082 (-14%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $18 | 60 |
| 1218 Fulton St | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,084 (-14%) | 4mo | $8,000 | $7 | 59 |
| 1528 Franklin St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,140 (-10%) | 4mo | $131,000 | $115 | 59 |
| 1721 Johnson St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,142 (-9%) | 5mo | $30,000 | $26 | 57 |
| 11 Suncrest St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,312 (+4%) | 6mo | $71,400 | $54 | 56 |
| 1922 Exchange St | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,331 (+6%) | 2mo | $97,000 | $73 | 56 |
| 508 N 9th St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,112 (-12%) | 4mo | $88,000 | $79 | 56 |
| 911 N 13th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,331 (+6%) | 5mo | $84,500 | $63 | 54 |
| 1307 Timea St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,126 (-11%) | 5mo | $6,000 | $5 | 54 |
| 1025 Leighton St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,124 (-11%) | 7mo | $105,500 | $94 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $101
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $16,948
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52632
- Home prices YoY
- -25.5%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $972 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,328/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $250 | -5% $227 | +0% $205 | +5% $182 | +10% $159 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $128 | -5% $166 | +0% $205 | +5% $243 | +10% $281 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $245 | -0.5pp $225 | base $205 | +0.5pp $184 | +1.0pp $163 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 368-char remark
-
2026-06-04$89,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,328 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,328 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,658
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,328
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$933
- − Management
- −$933
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $1,265
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$304
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,151/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Keokuk Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1915630
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,973
- Composite
- 42.35/100
- National rank
- #3249
- State rank
- #282 of 289 in IA
Livability — Keokuk
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #3002
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Keokuk, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,904
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,813 people
- By 2030
- 32,835 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 30,690 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 28,777 · -14.9%
- By 2075
- 25,568 · -24.4%
- By 2100
- 21,983 · -35.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.0% · R 62.9% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.8pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: -27.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.8 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+16.1 2012: D+16.0 2008: D+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.80%
- Current HPI
- 122.2866
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+122.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $89,000 IAR
- 2007-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,328 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…