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99 Thomas Blvd NW 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 55.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

99 Thomas Blvd NW · Canal Fulton, OH 44647
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1979 1,655 sqft lot Est $51k · 21% under $498/mo HOA · 23% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If you are looking for an easy living lifestyle, then this is the home for you located in this well kept, peaceful, and pet friendly, Forty Corners Mobile home park. Located close to RT 21, shopping, restaurants, and across the street from the Tow Path the perfect place for your daily walks. Lot rent includes sewer, snow, removal, Trash, and water. Nice back yard and two car garage.

Key facts

  • Back yard
  • Close to rt 21
  • 1,655 sq ft lot

Tags

FORTY CORNERS MOBILE HOME PARKCLOSE TO RT 21BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $39,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$50,820) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $907 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#350 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tuslaw Local (rural): math 78% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #88 of 656 in OH (top 13%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Recommended offer $39,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.33%
Cap rate
33.57%
Cash-on-cash
97.44%
DSCR
5.34
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$50,820
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
136 Thomas Blvd NW 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+9%) 20mo $55,000 $55 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
98.7%
Equity multiple
5.62×
Total profit
$51,648
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.81×
Total profit
$120,743
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44647

Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,128 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $598/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$498
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$447
Net cashflow
$907

Break-even live

Break-even rent $979
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4544 Erie Ave NW Unit 1496113P Canal Fulton, OH 3.0 1.0 936 $5,018 $5.36 14d 1 1.23mi
1832 1st St NE Apt A Massillon, OH 2.0 1.5 1023 $960 $0.94 14d 1 1.37mi
1832 1st St NE Apt A Massillon, OH 2.0 1.5 1023 $980 $0.96 21d 1 1.37mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$498 · $5,976/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrash

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 385-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $39,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,532
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$598
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,043
− Management
−$2,043
− HOA
−$5,976
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$11,277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,707
After-tax cash flow
$8,179/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuslaw Local
NCES district ID
3904995
Math proficiency
78% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$56,863
Composite
64.61/100
National rank
#529
State rank
#88 of 656 in OH

Livability — Canal Fulton

Score
73/100
State rank
#350
US rank
#5666

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Stark County · 272,865 people
City population
13,088
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
Population (ZIP)
18,117
Household income
$67,140
Rent vs Own
19.4% rent · 80.6% own
Severe rent burden
231.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
373,708 people
By 2030
371,245 · -0.7%
By 2040
361,331 · -3.3%
By 2050
345,290 · -7.6%
By 2075
302,669 · -19.0%
By 2100
238,870 · -36.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -163.61%
Current HPI
207.6115
Rent YoY
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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