7 W 148th St · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$188,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy describes this 4 bedroom all brick cape cod with garage and nice sized backyard. It features hardwood floors under the carpet, living room, dining room and a full basement waiting for your ideas! Home sold as is.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Soaking tub
- Large basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property assessed age category: 61–70 years
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached owned garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 95; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; School bus service, commuter bus and commuter train access, interstate access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on Main level, approximately 15 x 12
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (Master on Main; additional bedrooms on Main and Second levels); Bedroom dimensions include 15 x 12 (Master), 12 x 10, 12 x 13, 14 x 12
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $188k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $188k).
- Recommended offer: $185k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,633/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $188k implies a 487% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.81%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $249,888
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15056 Wabash Ave | 0.47mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,232 (+2%) | 1mo | $331,000 | $148 | 63 |
| 14526 S Dearborn St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-9%) | 10mo | $152,200 | $76 | 56 |
| 405 Calumet Blvd | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 | 2,200 (+0%) | 18mo | $167,900 | $76 | 51 |
| 14647 Lasalle St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,900 (-13%) | 18mo | $210,000 | $111 | 44 |
| 14305 S Wabash Ave | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 | 2,000 (-9%) | 11mo | $227,000 | $114 | 41 |
| 62 E 144th St | 0.51mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,864 (-15%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $126 | 38 |
| 15257 State St | 0.66mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,419 (+10%) | 13mo | $334,900 | $138 | 34 |
| 14533 S Parnell Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,505 (+14%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $84 | 33 |
| 517 E 146th St | 0.73mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,928 (-12%) | 13mo | $123,000 | $64 | 24 |
| 14729 Beachview Ter | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,890 (-14%) | 19mo | $267,000 | $141 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $11,103
- Equity at exit
- $28,031
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $109,313
- Equity at exit
- $16,255
Cash invested: $52,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,633 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$986
- Tax from tax record
- −$586 /mo · $7,027/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$553
- Net cashflow
- $430
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $537 | -5% $483 | +0% $430 | +5% $377 | +10% $324 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $222 | -5% $326 | +0% $430 | +5% $534 | +10% $638 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $525 | -0.5pp $478 | base $430 | +0.5pp $381 | +1.0pp $332 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,000
- Closing costs
- $5,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14124 Manor Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,390 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 19 E 140th Ct Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2076 | $2,231 | $1.07 | 9d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 13903 S State St Riverdale, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2300 | $2,650 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 13708 S Wentworth Ave Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $188,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $188,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $188,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $188,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $188,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $208,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $208,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $208,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $208,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $208,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 555-char remark
-
2026-06-07$208,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,027 · $586/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,027 · $586/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,595
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,531
- − Property taxes
- −$7,027
- − Insurance
- −$940
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,528
- − Management
- −$2,528
- − Depreciation
- −$5,469
- Taxable income
- $2,572
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$617
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+617.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $208,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-11-24 Sold (MLS) $32,050 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-10-13 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-10-06 Listed $29,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2023): $7,027 · +26.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…