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6800 Fleetwood Rd #818
D Composite 43.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$345,000

6800 Fleetwood Rd #818 · McLean, VA 22101
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,223 sqft · Condo public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1975 $282/sqft · 20% below area Est $429k · 20% under $1139/mo HOA · 31% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SOLD AS IS! McLean's prime location. Walking distance to shops and restaurants. Use your vision and turn this spacious two-bedroom condo into your dream house. This unit is facing the pool. All utilities are included in the condo fee, along with use of the pool and fitness room — only internet and/or cable are paid separately. Ample parking for guests. Walk to downtown McLean shops and restaurants, post office, library, and trails. Minutes drive to I-495, I-66, Dulles Toll Road, and GW Parkway. Sherman Elementary/Longfellow Middle/McLean High schools. Cats allowed.

Key facts

  • $1,139 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1975

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $345k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-647 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (33.1% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $345k).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (33.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 1.1% in McLean — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in VA, #1,425 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Fairfax County Public School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #13 of 131 in VA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Haycock Elementary (math 91% / reading 95%, grade A+, #5 of 1,108 statewide, top 0%, 872 students, 3% FRL); Longfellow Middle (math 87% / reading 93%, grade A+, #2 of 342 statewide, top 0%, 1,225 students, 14% FRL); Mclean High (math 81% / reading 77%, grade A-, #71 of 319 statewide, top 23%, 2,441 students, 12% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 87% at this address vs 67% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Fairfax County Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 528 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,861 units permitted in Fairfax County in 2024 (1,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fairfax County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($324k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $180k; list at $345k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $230,680 (33.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
4.04%
Cash-on-cash
-8.04%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$428,952
List price
$345,000
Delta
-13.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-30.7%
Equity multiple
-0.01×
Total profit
$-97,749
Equity at exit
$51,441
10-year hold
IRR
-34.7%
Equity multiple
-0.46×
Total profit
$-140,755
Equity at exit
$29,829

Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 22101

Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
528
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,675 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,809
Tax from tax record
$458 /mo · $5,498/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$1,139
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$772
Net cashflow
$-647

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,494
Max offer price $230,680
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-452 -5% $-549 +0% $-647 +5% $-745 +10% $-842
Rent -10% $-937 -5% $-792 +0% $-647 +5% $-502 +10% $-357
Rate -1.0pp $-473 -0.5pp $-559 base $-647 +0.5pp $-737 +1.0pp $-827

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,250
Closing costs
$10,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6800 Fleetwood Rd McLean, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 929 $3,200 $3.44 20d 2 0.02mi
6800 Fleetwood Rd #1004 Mc Lean, VA 2.0 2.0 1265 $3,200 $2.53 20d 1 0.03mi
1350 Beverly Rd Mc Lean, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1146 $3,566 $3.11 0d 59 0.11mi
1549 Bruton Ct Mc Lean, VA 3.0 2.5 1386 $3,850 $2.78 45d 1 0.80mi
1557 Dunterry Pl Mc Lean, VA 3.0 2.5 1440 $3,795 $2.64 45d 1 0.84mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$1,139 · $13,668/yr
Likely covers
internetcablepool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $345,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $369,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $369,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $369,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $369,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $369,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $369,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $369,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $369,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $369,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $369,000 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $369,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $369,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $369,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $369,000 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    status Active 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    SOLD AS IS! McLean's prime location. Walking distance to shops and restaurants. Use your vision and turn this spacious two-bedroom condo into your dream house. This unit is facing the pool. All utilities are included in the condo fee, along with use of the pool and fitness room — only internet and/or cable are paid separately. Ample parking for guests. Walk to downtown McLean shops and restaurants, post office, library, and trails. Minutes drive to I-495, I-66, Dulles Toll Road, and GW Parkway. Sherman Elementary/Longfellow Middle/McLean High schools. Cats allowed.

  17. 2026-04-30
    historical Active Under Contract 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    SOLD AS IS! McLean's prime location. Walking distance to shops and restaurants. Use your vision and turn this spacious two-bedroom condo into your dream house. This unit is facing the pool. All utilities are included in the condo fee, along with use of the pool and fitness room — only internet and/or cable are paid separately. Ample parking for guests. Walk to downtown McLean shops and restaurants, post office, library, and trails. Minutes drive to I-495, I-66, Dulles Toll Road, and GW Parkway. Sherman Elementary/Longfellow Middle/McLean High schools. Cats allowed.

  18. 2026-03-27
    listed $369,000 Active 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    SOLD AS IS! McLean's prime location. Walking distance to shops and restaurants. Use your vision and turn this spacious two-bedroom condo into your dream house. This unit is facing the pool. All utilities are included in the condo fee, along with use of the pool and fitness room — only internet and/or cable are paid separately. Ample parking for guests. Walk to downtown McLean shops and restaurants, post office, library, and trails. Minutes drive to I-495, I-66, Dulles Toll Road, and GW Parkway. Sherman Elementary/Longfellow Middle/McLean High schools. Cats allowed.

  19. 2026-03-25
    historical $369,000 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    SOLD AS IS! McLean's prime location. Walking distance to shops and restaurants. Use your vision and turn this spacious two-bedroom condo into your dream house. This unit is facing the pool. All utilities are included in the condo fee, along with use of the pool and fitness room — only internet and/or cable are paid separately. Ample parking for guests. Walk to downtown McLean shops and restaurants, post office, library, and trails. Minutes drive to I-495, I-66, Dulles Toll Road, and GW Parkway. Sherman Elementary/Longfellow Middle/McLean High schools. Cats allowed.

  20. 2001-03-15
    soldstatus $179,900
  21. 2001-03-02
    soldstatus $179,900
  22. 2001-01-29
    historical
  23. 2001-01-26
    listed $179,900
  24. 1986-01-03
    soldstatus $95,000
  25. 1978-08-14
    soldstatus $61,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,498 · $458/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,498 · $458/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,096
− Mortgage interest
−$19,325
− Property taxes
−$5,498
− Insurance
−$1,725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,528
− Management
−$3,528
− HOA
−$13,668
− Depreciation
−$10,036
Taxable loss
−$13,212
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,171
After-tax cash flow
$-4,595/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairfax County Public School District
NCES district ID
5101260
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$110,238
Composite
62.59/100
National rank
#679
State rank
#13 of 131 in VA

Livability — McLean

Score
81/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#1425

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McLean, VA
County
Fairfax County · 1,104,456 people
City population
60,137
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
30,953
Household income
$250,001
Rent vs Own
16.2% rent · 83.8% own
Severe rent burden
455.0

Population outlook (Fairfax County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,237,259 people
By 2030
1,277,758 · +3.3%
By 2040
1,346,508 · +8.8%
By 2050
1,397,919 · +13.0%
By 2075
1,493,100 · +20.7%
By 2100
1,465,712 · +18.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Asian 19% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
25% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
72% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 6% Korean 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fairfax

2024 margin
Solid D (+35.0) · D 66.1% · R 31.1% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
+13.8pp toward D · 2008: 21.2pp · 2024: 35.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+35.0 2020: D+41.9 2016: D+36.2 2012: D+19.8 2008: D+21.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -601.12%
Current HPI
315.7497
Rent YoY
▲ 2.62%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+497.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $369,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Coming Soon $369,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-03-15 Sold (MLS) $179,900 MRIS
  • 2001-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $179,900 Public Records
  • 2001-01-29 Delisted MRIS
  • 2001-01-26 Listed $179,900 MRIS
  • 1986-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 1978-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $61,750 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,498 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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