6800 Fleetwood Rd #818 · McLean, VA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Cash flow +6.1/30.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$345,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SOLD AS IS! McLean's prime location. Walking distance to shops and restaurants. Use your vision and turn this spacious two-bedroom condo into your dream house. This unit is facing the pool. All utilities are included in the condo fee, along with use of the pool and fitness room — only internet and/or cable are paid separately. Ample parking for guests. Walk to downtown McLean shops and restaurants, post office, library, and trails. Minutes drive to I-495, I-66, Dulles Toll Road, and GW Parkway. Sherman Elementary/Longfellow Middle/McLean High schools. Cats allowed.
Key facts
- $1,139 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1975
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $345k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-647 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (33.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $345k).
- Recommended offer: $231k (33.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 1.1% in McLean — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in VA, #1,425 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Fairfax County Public School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #13 of 131 in VA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Haycock Elementary (math 91% / reading 95%, grade A+, #5 of 1,108 statewide, top 0%, 872 students, 3% FRL); Longfellow Middle (math 87% / reading 93%, grade A+, #2 of 342 statewide, top 0%, 1,225 students, 14% FRL); Mclean High (math 81% / reading 77%, grade A-, #71 of 319 statewide, top 23%, 2,441 students, 12% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 87% at this address vs 67% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Fairfax County Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 528 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,861 units permitted in Fairfax County in 2024 (1,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fairfax County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($324k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $180k; list at $345k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.04%
- DSCR
- 0.64
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $428,952
- List price
- $345,000
- Delta
- -13.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -30.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.01×
- Total profit
- $-97,749
- Equity at exit
- $51,441
- IRR
- -34.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.46×
- Total profit
- $-140,755
- Equity at exit
- $29,829
Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 22101
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 528
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,675 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,809
- Tax from tax record
- −$458 /mo · $5,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$144
- HOA
- −$1,139
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$772
- Net cashflow
- $-647
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-452 | -5% $-549 | +0% $-647 | +5% $-745 | +10% $-842 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-937 | -5% $-792 | +0% $-647 | +5% $-502 | +10% $-357 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-473 | -0.5pp $-559 | base $-647 | +0.5pp $-737 | +1.0pp $-827 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,250
- Closing costs
- $10,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6800 Fleetwood Rd McLean, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $3,200 | $3.44 | 20d | 2 | 0.02mi |
| 6800 Fleetwood Rd #1004 Mc Lean, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $3,200 | $2.53 | 20d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1350 Beverly Rd Mc Lean, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1146 | $3,566 | $3.11 | 0d | 59 | 0.11mi |
| 1549 Bruton Ct Mc Lean, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1386 | $3,850 | $2.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1557 Dunterry Pl Mc Lean, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $3,795 | $2.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,139 · $13,668/yr
- Likely covers
- internetcablepool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-21pricedays on market $345,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $369,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $369,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $369,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $369,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $369,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $369,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $369,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $369,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $369,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $369,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $369,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $369,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $369,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $369,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-05-13status Active 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
SOLD AS IS! McLean's prime location. Walking distance to shops and restaurants. Use your vision and turn this spacious two-bedroom condo into your dream house. This unit is facing the pool. All utilities are included in the condo fee, along with use of the pool and fitness room — only internet and/or cable are paid separately. Ample parking for guests. Walk to downtown McLean shops and restaurants, post office, library, and trails. Minutes drive to I-495, I-66, Dulles Toll Road, and GW Parkway. Sherman Elementary/Longfellow Middle/McLean High schools. Cats allowed.
-
2026-04-30historical Active Under Contract 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
SOLD AS IS! McLean's prime location. Walking distance to shops and restaurants. Use your vision and turn this spacious two-bedroom condo into your dream house. This unit is facing the pool. All utilities are included in the condo fee, along with use of the pool and fitness room — only internet and/or cable are paid separately. Ample parking for guests. Walk to downtown McLean shops and restaurants, post office, library, and trails. Minutes drive to I-495, I-66, Dulles Toll Road, and GW Parkway. Sherman Elementary/Longfellow Middle/McLean High schools. Cats allowed.
-
2026-03-27$369,000 Active 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
SOLD AS IS! McLean's prime location. Walking distance to shops and restaurants. Use your vision and turn this spacious two-bedroom condo into your dream house. This unit is facing the pool. All utilities are included in the condo fee, along with use of the pool and fitness room — only internet and/or cable are paid separately. Ample parking for guests. Walk to downtown McLean shops and restaurants, post office, library, and trails. Minutes drive to I-495, I-66, Dulles Toll Road, and GW Parkway. Sherman Elementary/Longfellow Middle/McLean High schools. Cats allowed.
-
2026-03-25historical $369,000 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
SOLD AS IS! McLean's prime location. Walking distance to shops and restaurants. Use your vision and turn this spacious two-bedroom condo into your dream house. This unit is facing the pool. All utilities are included in the condo fee, along with use of the pool and fitness room — only internet and/or cable are paid separately. Ample parking for guests. Walk to downtown McLean shops and restaurants, post office, library, and trails. Minutes drive to I-495, I-66, Dulles Toll Road, and GW Parkway. Sherman Elementary/Longfellow Middle/McLean High schools. Cats allowed.
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2001-03-15soldstatus $179,900
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2001-03-02soldstatus $179,900
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2001-01-29historical
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2001-01-26$179,900
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1986-01-03soldstatus $95,000
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1978-08-14soldstatus $61,750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,498 · $458/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,498 · $458/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,096
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,325
- − Property taxes
- −$5,498
- − Insurance
- −$1,725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,528
- − Management
- −$3,528
- − HOA
- −$13,668
- − Depreciation
- −$10,036
- Taxable loss
- −$13,212
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,171
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,595/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairfax County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101260
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $110,238
- Composite
- 62.59/100
- National rank
- #679
- State rank
- #13 of 131 in VA
Livability — McLean
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #1425
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McLean, VA
- County
- Fairfax County · 1,104,456 people
- City population
- 60,137
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,953
- Household income
- $250,001
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 455.0
Population outlook (Fairfax County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,237,259 people
- By 2030
- 1,277,758 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,346,508 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 1,397,919 · +13.0%
- By 2075
- 1,493,100 · +20.7%
- By 2100
- 1,465,712 · +18.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Asian 19% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 6% Korean 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Fairfax
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+35.0) · D 66.1% · R 31.1% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.8pp toward D · 2008: 21.2pp · 2024: 35.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+35.0 2020: D+41.9 2016: D+36.2 2012: D+19.8 2008: D+21.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -601.12%
- Current HPI
- 315.7497
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.62%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+497.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $369,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-25 Coming Soon $369,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-03-15 Sold (MLS) $179,900 MRIS
- 2001-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $179,900 Public Records
- 2001-01-29 Delisted — MRIS
- 2001-01-26 Listed $179,900 MRIS
- 1986-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 1978-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $61,750 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,498 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…