146 Lark St · Albany, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.0/10.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity knocks in Albany with this spacious 3-level brick home offering 5 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms and over 2,500 sq ft of living space. Perfect for buyers looking to build equity and make a home their own. Flexible layout with generously sized rooms and a partially finished basement providing additional usable space. Zoned R2B, offering potential for conversion to a two-family--buyer to verify with the City of Albany. Conveniently located near downtown Albany, major highways, and ongoing neighborhood development. Ideal for owner-occupants or investors. Sold as-is.
Key facts
- 1,306 sq ft lot
- Built 1890
- Listed 53 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: 100 amp electric service; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Flat rubber roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the second level
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the second level; One half bathroom on the first level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: 10 total rooms; Has fireplace (bedroom)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $189k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Arbor Hill Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,011 of 2,108 statewide, top 96%, 265 students, 87% FRL); Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,348/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 1211% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.85%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $460,318
- List price
- $194,900
- Delta
- -57.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Henry Johnson Blvd | 0.23mi | 6/3.5 (+1) | 2,422 (-5%) | 9mo | $492,000 | $203 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,118
- Equity at exit
- $29,060
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.22×
- Total profit
- $66,425
- Equity at exit
- $16,851
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12210
- Home prices YoY
- -2.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,348 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax from tax record
- −$440 /mo · $5,284/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $311
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $422 | -5% $367 | +0% $311 | +5% $256 | +10% $201 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $126 | -5% $219 | +0% $311 | +5% $404 | +10% $497 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $410 | -0.5pp $361 | base $311 | +0.5pp $261 | +1.0pp $210 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 1st St Albany, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1773 | $1,850 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 257 Quail St Albany, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2208 | $2,800 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $194,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $194,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $194,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $194,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $194,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $194,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $194,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $194,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $194,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $194,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $194,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $194,900 583-char remark
-
2026-04-27$200,000 Active 583-char remark
-
2023-04-04historical
-
2023-02-06$79,900 Active
-
2022-08-05historical
-
2022-07-22price $115,000
-
2022-07-19price $115,900
-
2022-07-13price $120,500
-
2022-07-06price $129,500
-
2022-06-22price $129,800
-
2022-06-09price $129,900
-
2022-06-01$139,900 Active
-
2016-09-08soldstatus $808,500
-
2016-04-01soldstatus $49,968
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,284 · $440/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,284 · $440/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,178
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$5,284
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,254
- − Management
- −$2,254
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable income
- $824
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$198
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,539/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albany City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,568
- Composite
- 32.34/100
- National rank
- #5744
- State rank
- #543 of 590 in NY
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #2083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albany, NY
- County
- Albany County · 196,626 people
- City population
- 116,921
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,297
- Household income
- $55,843
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1211.0
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.92%
- Current HPI
- 252.3084
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.86%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+290.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $194,900 Global MLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $200,000 Global MLS
- 2023-04-04 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2023-02-06 Listed $79,900 Global MLS
- 2022-08-05 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2022-07-22 Price Changed $115,000 Global MLS
- 2022-07-19 Price Changed $115,900 Global MLS
- 2022-07-13 Price Changed $120,500 Global MLS
- 2022-07-06 Price Changed $129,500 Global MLS
- 2022-06-22 Price Changed $129,800 Global MLS
- 2022-06-09 Price Changed $129,900 Global MLS
- 2022-06-01 Listed $139,900 Global MLS
- 2016-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $808,500 Public Records
- 2016-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,968 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,284 · -10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…