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1007 Dogwood Lane Ln
D- Composite 39.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0

$199,000

1007 Dogwood Lane Ln · Fulton, KY 42041
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,334 sqft · Other public records · 272 Days on market
Built 1970 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

So much potential in this hard to find 4 bedroom brick ranch home w/ hip-roof & carport __ Open the front door to a large foyer & to ur left is formal living room, straight ahead is the formal dining & kitchen & to ur right is the hallway to 4 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms __ Also has a Den with gas log fireplace & utility room___ Fantastic neighborhood & location at the corner of Dogwood Ln & Magnolia Dr_____ The roof has 'left the chat' & if you were to update the floors & paint, it would make a huge impact____ Original hardwood flooring in all 4 bedrooms that need to be restored___ Don't let this opportunity pass you by___

Key facts

  • Remodeled
  • Front porch
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

REMODELEDFRONT PORCHGREAT ROOMFIREPLACEUPDATED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Deepwood subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Carport; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a single-family home (Single Family-Up to 5 Ac.)
  • Exterior features: Level, corner lot with many trees; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Cooktop; Oven
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8; Crawl space basement
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Storm windows; Blinds; Gas-log fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (7.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (31.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (31.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#204 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, amenities D, schools F.
  • Fulton Independent (town): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #170 of 173 in KY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $352 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 272 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $92k; list at $199k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,715 (31.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 272 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.89%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-9,870
Equity at exit
$59,550
10-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$11,741
Equity at exit
$73,007

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42041

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,357 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $402/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$-88

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,468
Max offer price $183,476
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $25 -5% $-32 +0% $-88 +5% $-372 +10% $-441
Rent -10% $-195 -5% $-141 +0% $-88 +5% $-34 +10% $19
Rate -1.0pp $12 -0.5pp $-37 base $-88 +0.5pp $-139 +1.0pp $-192

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,000 Active 272 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,000 Active 271 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 269 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 268 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 267 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 266 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 264 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,000 Active 263 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 260 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 259 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 258 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,000 Active 256 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,000 Active 254 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 253 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 252 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 251 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 250 DOM
  18. 2026-04-17
    price $199,000
  19. 2025-09-22
    listed $209,000 Active
  20. 2025-07-16
    soldstatus $92,000
  21. 2025-05-29
    soldstatus $92,000 Closed 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    So much potential in this hard to find 4 bedroom brick ranch home w/ hip-roof & carport __ Open the front door to a large foyer & to ur left is formal living room, straight ahead is the formal dining & kitchen & to ur right is the hallway to 4 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms __ Also has a Den with gas log fireplace & utility room___ Fantastic neighborhood & location at the corner of Dogwood Ln & Magnolia Dr_____ The roof has 'left the chat' & if you were to update the floors & paint, it would make a huge impact____ Original hardwood flooring in all 4 bedrooms that need to be restored___ Don't let this opportunity pass you by___

  22. 2025-04-30
    price $94,900 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    So much potential in this hard to find 4 bedroom brick ranch home w/ hip-roof & carport __ Open the front door to a large foyer & to ur left is formal living room, straight ahead is the formal dining & kitchen & to ur right is the hallway to 4 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms __ Also has a Den with gas log fireplace & utility room___ Fantastic neighborhood & location at the corner of Dogwood Ln & Magnolia Dr_____ The roof has 'left the chat' & if you were to update the floors & paint, it would make a huge impact____ Original hardwood flooring in all 4 bedrooms that need to be restored___ Don't let this opportunity pass you by___

  23. 2025-04-04
    price $104,900 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    So much potential in this hard to find 4 bedroom brick ranch home w/ hip-roof & carport __ Open the front door to a large foyer & to ur left is formal living room, straight ahead is the formal dining & kitchen & to ur right is the hallway to 4 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms __ Also has a Den with gas log fireplace & utility room___ Fantastic neighborhood & location at the corner of Dogwood Ln & Magnolia Dr_____ The roof has 'left the chat' & if you were to update the floors & paint, it would make a huge impact____ Original hardwood flooring in all 4 bedrooms that need to be restored___ Don't let this opportunity pass you by___

  24. 2025-02-19
    listed $114,900 Active 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    So much potential in this hard to find 4 bedroom brick ranch home w/ hip-roof & carport __ Open the front door to a large foyer & to ur left is formal living room, straight ahead is the formal dining & kitchen & to ur right is the hallway to 4 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms __ Also has a Den with gas log fireplace & utility room___ Fantastic neighborhood & location at the corner of Dogwood Ln & Magnolia Dr_____ The roof has 'left the chat' & if you were to update the floors & paint, it would make a huge impact____ Original hardwood flooring in all 4 bedrooms that need to be restored___ Don't let this opportunity pass you by___

  25. 2008-07-24
    soldstatus $72,250
  26. 1999-02-01
    soldstatus $72,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$402 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,711 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$1,309/yr (+$109/mo · 325.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,286
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$402
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,303
− Management
−$1,303
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$4,654
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,117
After-tax cash flow
$62/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton Independent
NCES district ID
2102070
Math proficiency
25% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$29,755
Composite
27.09/100
National rank
#12479
State rank
#170 of 173 in KY

Livability — Fulton

Score
68/100
State rank
#204
US rank
#10052

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing D+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fulton, KY
Population (ZIP)
4,584

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,425 people
By 2030
5,042 · -7.1%
By 2040
4,456 · -17.9%
By 2050
4,120 · -24.1%
By 2075
4,003 · -26.2%
By 2100
4,258 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 18% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Serbian 2% Scandinavian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-29.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.3pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+32.5 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+10.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.18%
Current HPI
174.9435
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+175.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $199,000 RRAR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $209,000 RRAR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 2025-05-29 Sold (MLS) $92,000 WKRMLS
  • 2025-04-30 Price Changed $94,900 WKRMLS
  • 2025-04-04 Price Changed $104,900 WKRMLS
  • 2025-02-19 Listed $114,900 WKRMLS
  • 2008-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $72,250 Public Records
  • 1999-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $72,250 Public Records

Property tax history

-8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $402 · -70.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…