1007 Dogwood Lane Ln · Fulton, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
So much potential in this hard to find 4 bedroom brick ranch home w/ hip-roof & carport __ Open the front door to a large foyer & to ur left is formal living room, straight ahead is the formal dining & kitchen & to ur right is the hallway to 4 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms __ Also has a Den with gas log fireplace & utility room___ Fantastic neighborhood & location at the corner of Dogwood Ln & Magnolia Dr_____ The roof has 'left the chat' & if you were to update the floors & paint, it would make a huge impact____ Original hardwood flooring in all 4 bedrooms that need to be restored___ Don't let this opportunity pass you by___
Key facts
- Remodeled
- Front porch
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Deepwood subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Carport; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a single-family home (Single Family-Up to 5 Ac.)
- Exterior features: Level, corner lot with many trees; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Cooktop; Oven
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8; Crawl space basement
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Storm windows; Blinds; Gas-log fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (7.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (31.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (31.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#204 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, amenities D, schools F.
- Fulton Independent (town): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #170 of 173 in KY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $352 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 272 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $92k; list at $199k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 272 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.89%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-9,870
- Equity at exit
- $59,550
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $11,741
- Equity at exit
- $73,007
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42041
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,357 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $402/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $-88
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $25 | -5% $-32 | +0% $-88 | +5% $-372 | +10% $-441 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-195 | -5% $-141 | +0% $-88 | +5% $-34 | +10% $19 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $12 | -0.5pp $-37 | base $-88 | +0.5pp $-139 | +1.0pp $-192 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $199,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-04-17price $199,000
-
2025-09-22$209,000 Active
-
2025-07-16soldstatus $92,000
-
2025-05-29soldstatus $92,000 Closed 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
So much potential in this hard to find 4 bedroom brick ranch home w/ hip-roof & carport __ Open the front door to a large foyer & to ur left is formal living room, straight ahead is the formal dining & kitchen & to ur right is the hallway to 4 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms __ Also has a Den with gas log fireplace & utility room___ Fantastic neighborhood & location at the corner of Dogwood Ln & Magnolia Dr_____ The roof has 'left the chat' & if you were to update the floors & paint, it would make a huge impact____ Original hardwood flooring in all 4 bedrooms that need to be restored___ Don't let this opportunity pass you by___
-
2025-04-30price $94,900 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
So much potential in this hard to find 4 bedroom brick ranch home w/ hip-roof & carport __ Open the front door to a large foyer & to ur left is formal living room, straight ahead is the formal dining & kitchen & to ur right is the hallway to 4 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms __ Also has a Den with gas log fireplace & utility room___ Fantastic neighborhood & location at the corner of Dogwood Ln & Magnolia Dr_____ The roof has 'left the chat' & if you were to update the floors & paint, it would make a huge impact____ Original hardwood flooring in all 4 bedrooms that need to be restored___ Don't let this opportunity pass you by___
-
2025-04-04price $104,900 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
So much potential in this hard to find 4 bedroom brick ranch home w/ hip-roof & carport __ Open the front door to a large foyer & to ur left is formal living room, straight ahead is the formal dining & kitchen & to ur right is the hallway to 4 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms __ Also has a Den with gas log fireplace & utility room___ Fantastic neighborhood & location at the corner of Dogwood Ln & Magnolia Dr_____ The roof has 'left the chat' & if you were to update the floors & paint, it would make a huge impact____ Original hardwood flooring in all 4 bedrooms that need to be restored___ Don't let this opportunity pass you by___
-
2025-02-19$114,900 Active 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
So much potential in this hard to find 4 bedroom brick ranch home w/ hip-roof & carport __ Open the front door to a large foyer & to ur left is formal living room, straight ahead is the formal dining & kitchen & to ur right is the hallway to 4 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms __ Also has a Den with gas log fireplace & utility room___ Fantastic neighborhood & location at the corner of Dogwood Ln & Magnolia Dr_____ The roof has 'left the chat' & if you were to update the floors & paint, it would make a huge impact____ Original hardwood flooring in all 4 bedrooms that need to be restored___ Don't let this opportunity pass you by___
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2008-07-24soldstatus $72,250
-
1999-02-01soldstatus $72,250
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $402 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,711 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,309/yr (+$109/mo · 325.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,286
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$402
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,303
- − Management
- −$1,303
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$4,654
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,117
- After-tax cash flow
- $62/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2102070
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,755
- Composite
- 27.09/100
- National rank
- #12479
- State rank
- #170 of 173 in KY
Livability — Fulton
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #204
- US rank
- #10052
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fulton, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,584
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,425 people
- By 2030
- 5,042 · -7.1%
- By 2040
- 4,456 · -17.9%
- By 2050
- 4,120 · -24.1%
- By 2075
- 4,003 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 4,258 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 18% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Serbian 2% Scandinavian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.3pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+32.5 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+10.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.18%
- Current HPI
- 174.9435
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+175.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $199,000 RRAR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-09-22 Listed $209,000 RRAR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 2025-05-29 Sold (MLS) $92,000 WKRMLS
- 2025-04-30 Price Changed $94,900 WKRMLS
- 2025-04-04 Price Changed $104,900 WKRMLS
- 2025-02-19 Listed $114,900 WKRMLS
- 2008-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $72,250 Public Records
- 1999-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $72,250 Public Records
Property tax history
-8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $402 · -70.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…