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211 Lowndes Ave
C+ Composite 60.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$430,600

211 Lowndes Ave · Huntington Station, NY 11746
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · SingleFamily · 52 Days on market
Built 1934 4,792 sqft lot $331/sqft · 34% below area Est $651k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Corner Lot.

Key facts

  • Corner lot
  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Built 1934

Tags

CORNER LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; No carport
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (PSEG); Water connected; Cesspool sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence
  • Construction: Vinyl and wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Appliances: Other
  • Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; 7 total rooms; Basement (see remarks); Attic (see remarks)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $431k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $431k).
  • Recommended offer: $418k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.1% in Huntington Station — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#126 in NY, #2,028 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
  • Huntington Union Free School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #328 of 590 in NY (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Flower Hill School (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #675 of 2,108 statewide, top 35%, 273 students, 56% FRL); J Taylor Finley Middle School (math 25% / reading 44%, grade F, #483 of 729 statewide, top 68%, 623 students, 58% FRL); Huntington High School (math 91% / reading 92%, grade A+, #197 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,410 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 34% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 63% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Huntington Union Free School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($165k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($418k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $431k implies a 331% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $417,682 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.88%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$651,303
List price
$430,600
Delta
-33.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
128 Winding St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,398 (+8%) 6mo $635,000 $454 71
49 Tower St 0.20mi 4/1.5 1,200 (-8%) 7mo $575,000 $479 70
57 E Pulaski 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (+8%) 4mo $475,000 $339 58
7 Cheshire St 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,115 (-14%) 1mo $412,000 $370 52
30 3rd Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-8%) 6mo $575,000 $479 51
46 3rd Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,247 (-4%) 12mo $588,000 $472 48
4 W 11th St 0.62mi 4/3.0 1,250 (-4%) 15mo $599,000 $479 44
15 Stern Ct 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-8%) 10mo $545,000 $454 41
12 Monaton Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-8%) 12mo $630,000 $525 39
19 David Ct 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-8%) 22mo $575,000 $479 36
81 Bayberry Dr 0.60mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,402 (+8%) 16mo $851,000 $607 34
276 Nassau Rd 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,435 (+10%) 14mo $870,000 $606 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-31,575
Equity at exit
$64,204
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$42,222
Equity at exit
$37,230

Cash invested: $120,568 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11746

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,388 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,258
Tax from tax record
$539 /mo · $6,463/yr
Insurance
$179
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$921
Net cashflow
$490

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,767
Max offer price $430,600
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$107,650
Closing costs
$12,918
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
156 E Pulaski Rd Huntington Station, NY 2.0–3.0 1.0 936 $2,955 $3.16 1d 11 0.65mi
1700 E 5th St Huntington Station, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1277 $5,037 $3.94 1d 1 0.79mi
10 Vilno Ct Unit 2 Huntington Station, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $3,500 $3.50 1d 1 0.86mi
1 E Carver St Huntington, NY 3.0 1.0 1060 $3,875 $3.66 15d 1 1.28mi
245 Main St Unit 1 Huntington, NY 3.0 2.0 1600 $5,995 $3.75 1d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $430,600 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $430,600 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $468,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $468,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $468,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $468,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $468,000 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $468,000 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $468,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $468,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $468,000 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $468,000 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $468,000 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $468,000 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $468,000 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-04-27
    listed $468,000 Active 11-char remark
  17. 1990-12-19
    soldstatus $100,000
  18. 1985-01-03
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,463 · $539/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,870 · $573/mo
Expected delta
+$407/yr (+$34/mo · 6.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,656
− Mortgage interest
−$24,120
− Property taxes
−$6,463
− Insurance
−$2,153
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,212
− Management
−$4,212
− Depreciation
−$12,527
Taxable loss
−$1,032
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$248
After-tax cash flow
$6,132/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntington Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3615090
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$93,547
Composite
45.68/100
National rank
#2578
State rank
#328 of 590 in NY

Livability — Huntington Station

Score
79/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#2028

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntington Station, NY
County
Suffolk County · 679,920 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
65,747
Household income
$164,589
Rent vs Own
14.2% rent · 85.8% own
Severe rent burden
627.0

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 8% Black 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -715.60%
Current HPI
317.5657
Rent YoY
▲ 4.54%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+856.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $430,600 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $468,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1990-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 1985-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,463 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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