2716 W Delmar Ave #49 · Godfrey, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 2024
- Listed 114 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $25,500
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas; Central air conditioning (electric service implied)
- Home design: Spec plan named 90981
- Exterior features: Property located at 2716 W Delmar Ave #49, Godfrey, IL
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $26k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $744 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $26k).
- Recommended offer: $23k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 41.3% vs local median 3.6% in Godfrey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#683 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Alton CUSD 11 (suburban): math 12% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #544 of 620 in IL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $176 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $765 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 41.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 124.96%
- DSCR
- 6.56
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.06×
- Total profit
- $43,239
- Equity at exit
- $3,802
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.82×
- Total profit
- $98,699
- Equity at exit
- $2,205
Cash invested: $7,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62035
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,164 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$134
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$32 /mo · $382/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $744
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,375
- Closing costs
- $765
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,500 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $25,500 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $25,500 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $25,500 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-13$25,500 Active 109 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,971
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,428
- − Property taxes
- −$382
- − Insurance
- −$128
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,118
- − Management
- −$1,118
- − Depreciation
- −$742
- Taxable income
- $9,055
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,173
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,749/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alton CUSD 11
- NCES district ID
- 1703600
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,257
- Composite
- 11.34/100
- National rank
- #9710
- State rank
- #544 of 620 in IL
Livability — Godfrey
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #683
- US rank
- #13969
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Godfrey, IL
- City population
- 15,915
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,915
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 258,371 people
- By 2030
- 251,523 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 233,640 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 213,042 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 165,255 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 123,953 · -52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.86%
- Current HPI
- 204.9507
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…