4700 Old Howard Rd · Temple, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for something outside the hustle and bustle of town? This one could be it!! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms. Laminate flooring throughout living and bedrooms. Laundry room. Eat in kitchen . Outside you can enjoy the mature trees sitting on . 59 acres. Short drive to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. Call today for information.
Key facts
- 59 acres
- Laminate flooring
- Laundry room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.6% in Temple — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#122 in TX, #3,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, crime D+.
- Temple ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #590 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 277 active listings in the ZIP; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.92%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-5,987
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,332
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76504
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 277
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,631 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$293 /mo · $3,510/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $289
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $360 | -5% $324 | +0% $289 | +5% $254 | +10% $218 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $160 | -5% $225 | +0% $289 | +5% $354 | +10% $418 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $352 | -0.5pp $321 | base $289 | +0.5pp $257 | +1.0pp $224 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-10status $124,900 Pending 214 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $124,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $124,900 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Looking for something outside the hustle and bustle of town? This one could be it!! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms. Laminate flooring throughout living and bedrooms. Laundry room. Eat in kitchen . Outside you can enjoy the mature trees sitting on . 59 acres. Short drive to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. Call today for information.
-
2026-03-27price $134,900 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Looking for something outside the hustle and bustle of town? This one could be it!! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms. Laminate flooring throughout living and bedrooms. Laundry room. Eat in kitchen . Outside you can enjoy the mature trees sitting on . 59 acres. Short drive to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. Call today for information.
-
2026-02-19price $149,900 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Looking for something outside the hustle and bustle of town? This one could be it!! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms. Laminate flooring throughout living and bedrooms. Laundry room. Eat in kitchen . Outside you can enjoy the mature trees sitting on . 59 acres. Short drive to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. Call today for information.
-
2026-01-15price $159,900 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Looking for something outside the hustle and bustle of town? This one could be it!! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms. Laminate flooring throughout living and bedrooms. Laundry room. Eat in kitchen . Outside you can enjoy the mature trees sitting on . 59 acres. Short drive to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. Call today for information.
-
2025-12-13price $169,900 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Looking for something outside the hustle and bustle of town? This one could be it!! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms. Laminate flooring throughout living and bedrooms. Laundry room. Eat in kitchen . Outside you can enjoy the mature trees sitting on . 59 acres. Short drive to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. Call today for information.
-
2025-11-06$179,900 Active 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Looking for something outside the hustle and bustle of town? This one could be it!! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms. Laminate flooring throughout living and bedrooms. Laundry room. Eat in kitchen . Outside you can enjoy the mature trees sitting on . 59 acres. Short drive to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. Call today for information.
-
2019-01-09soldstatus
-
1994-06-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,510 · $293/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,510 · $293/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,574
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$3,510
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,566
- − Management
- −$1,566
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $1,678
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$403
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Temple ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842330
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,120
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7123
- State rank
- #590 of 826 in TX
Livability — Temple
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #3814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Temple, TX
- County
- Bell County · 345,090 people
- City population
- 96,587
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,166
- Household income
- $52,803
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1489.0
Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 371,114 people
- By 2030
- 389,104 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 420,592 · +13.3%
- By 2050
- 447,779 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 499,130 · +34.5%
- By 2100
- 505,680 · +36.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 15% Two or more races 14% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bell
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -159.28%
- Current HPI
- 186.1148
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.33%
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-30.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $124,900 CTXMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $134,900 CTXMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $149,900 CTXMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $159,900 CTXMLS
- 2025-12-13 Price Changed $169,900 CTXMLS
- 2025-11-06 Listed $179,900 CTXMLS
- 2019-01-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-06-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,510 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…