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199 Haviland Park
C+ Composite 62.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

199 Haviland Park · Rochester, NY 14616
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,376 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1928 4,400 sqft lot Est $226k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come fall in love with this beautifully updated home. A new front door welcomes you into an inviting entryway. Off the entryway new hardwood floors carry you through the huge open floor plan with a living room and formal dining room. The eat in kitchen will make all your cooking a breeze with new tile floors, Corian countertops, tile back splash and wonderful light wood cabinets. Upstairs you will find 2 bedrooms with new laminate flooring and a newly remodeled bathroom. You will find a 3rd bedroom in the finished attic. Brand new vinyl siding, newer vinyl windows, new block windows in the basement and new HiEff furnace. Don’t miss out on this one! Delayed negotiations until 3/14 at 12pm.

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Third-floor bedroom

Tags

WELCOMING FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS KITCHENFORMAL DINING ROOMTHIRD-FLOOR BEDROOMFRESHLY DRY-LOCKED BASEMENTFULLY FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: 2 stories; Vinyl siding; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built (existing)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Blacktop driveway; Fully fenced yard; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Appliances negotiable
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms including living and specialty rooms (see room types)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating; HVAC energy-efficient feature
  • Interior features: Attic; Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Window treatments; Drapes; See remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Greece Central School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #544 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $155k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $179,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
8.07%
Cash-on-cash
6.34%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$225,664
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
99 Beverly Hts 0.08mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,536 (+12%) 3mo $214,400 $140 63
85 Mcewen Rd 0.49mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,400 (+2%) 1mo $235,000 $168 63
132 Duffern Dr 0.47mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,440 (+5%) 3mo $160,000 $111 61
79 Pomona Dr 0.41mi 4/1.5 1,224 (-11%) 1mo $235,000 $192 60
146 Maiden Ln 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,184 (-14%) 1mo $194,500 $164 54
142 Pomona Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,224 (-11%) 2mo $236,000 $193 51
31 Wyndham Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,464 (+6%) 1mo $255,000 $174 51
212 Almay Rd 0.42mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-13%) 4mo $118,000 $98 51
74 Cherry Rd 0.75mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,456 (+6%) 2mo $178,000 $122 49
2351 Dewey Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,292 (-6%) 3mo $165,000 $128 49
1010 Stone Rd 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,470 (+7%) 3mo $210,000 $143 43
75 Everclay Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,242 (-10%) 4mo $280,000 $225 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-12,044
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$11,952
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14616

Home prices YoY
-18.0%
Active inventory
111
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,148 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$413 /mo · $4,951/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$451
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,811
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $368 -5% $317 +0% $266 +5% $215 +10% $164
Rent -10% $97 -5% $181 +0% $266 +5% $351 +10% $436
Rate -1.0pp $357 -0.5pp $312 base $266 +0.5pp $220 +1.0pp $172

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
64 Chippendale Rd Rochester, NY 5.0 2.5 1620 $2,400 $1.48 3d 1 0.33mi
60 Grand Teton St Greece, NY 2.0–3.0 2.0 1833 $2,673 $1.46 3d 3 0.71mi
304 Bakerdale Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,650 $1.31 45d 1 0.82mi
37 Linda Dr Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,100 $1.31 44d 1 0.94mi
108 Glenbrook Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,850 $1.70 24d 1 1.16mi
175 English Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1194 $1,975 $1.65 44d 1 1.29mi
331 Leonard Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1157 $1,850 $1.60 4d 1 1.37mi
148 Chestnut Hill Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1659 $2,250 $1.36 3d 1 1.47mi
44 Windsor Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 882 $1,795 $2.04 3d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 681-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $179,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,951 · $413/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,951 · $413/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,781
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$4,951
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,063
− Management
−$2,063
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$495
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$119
After-tax cash flow
$3,077/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greece Central School District
NCES district ID
3612630
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$52,718
Composite
32.26/100
National rank
#5761
State rank
#544 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
26,863
Household income
$66,499
Rent vs Own
28.4% rent · 71.6% own
Severe rent burden
789.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Philippines, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.14%
Current HPI
246.1703
Rent YoY
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $179,900 UNYREIS
  • 2023-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) $155,000 UNYREIS
  • 2023-03-15 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2023-03-07 Listed $129,900 UNYREIS
  • 2018-01-25 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2018-01-09 Listed $94,900 UNYREIS
  • 2013-10-31 Sold (MLS) $74,900 UNYREIS
  • 2013-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
  • 2013-08-17 Listed $74,900 UNYREIS
  • 2013-08-13 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2013-04-08 Listed $79,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,951 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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