3181 Cedardale Dr · Douglasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- Cash flow +10.8/30.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 3181 Cedardale Dr, a home that exudes warmth and sophistication. The living room is graced with a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The kitchen is a chef's dream, boasting a large island for meal prep and an accent backsplash that adds a touch of elegance. All stainless steel appliances are included, ensuring a sleek and modern look. The primary bathroom features double sinks, providing ample space for morning routines. Step outside to a spacious deck, ideal for outdoor entertaining. The home has been recently updated with fresh interior paint, giving it a clean and refreshed look. This property is a perfect blend of style and functionality. Don't miss out on this gem! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
Key facts
- Double sinks
- Large island
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-126 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (7.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (24.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
- Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Arbor Station Elementary School (math 26% / reading 28%, grade F, #689 of 1,228 statewide, top 58%, 559 students, 66% FRL); Chapel Hill Middle School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #147 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 1,098 students, 55% FRL); Chapel Hill High School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #203 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 1,609 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 610 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.93%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $323,430
- List price
- $280,000
- Delta
- -13.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3171 Cedardale Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,820 (+3%) | 20mo | $305,000 | $168 | 76 |
| 3095 Stone Oak Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (+6%) | 6mo | $289,900 | $156 | 74 |
| 3484 Heatherwood Ct | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,748 (-1%) | 1mo | $337,000 | $193 | 73 |
| 3180 S Elizabeth Dr | 0.24mi | 3/3.0 | 1,655 (-6%) | 8mo | $265,000 | $160 | 71 |
| 3140 Pine Bark Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,956 (+11%) | 18mo | $310,000 | $158 | 61 |
| 4499 Avion Park | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,790 (+2%) | 20mo | $378,000 | $211 | 57 |
| 3113 Melissa Ct | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,911 (+9%) | 7mo | $304,900 | $160 | 57 |
| 4615 Cresant Ln | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,867 (+6%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $110 | 56 |
| 3503 Pine Grove Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,679 (-5%) | 14mo | $220,000 | $131 | 51 |
| 4806 Forest Trl | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,882 (+7%) | 8mo | $400,000 | $213 | 51 |
| 3500 Heatherwood Ct | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,882 (+7%) | 19mo | $315,000 | $167 | 45 |
| 4919 Heritage Valley Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,002 (+14%) | 20mo | $337,000 | $168 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-59,484
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- -25.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.09×
- Total profit
- $-85,718
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30135
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 610
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,116 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$213 /mo · $2,550/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $-126
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $33 | -5% $-47 | +0% $-126 | +5% $-205 | +10% $-284 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-293 | -5% $-209 | +0% $-126 | +5% $-42 | +10% $41 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $15 | -0.5pp $-55 | base $-126 | +0.5pp $-198 | +1.0pp $-272 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4634 Five Leaves Ct Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $1,865 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3492 Heatherwood Ct Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1841 | $2,500 | $1.36 | 20d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3496 Heatherwood Ct Douglasville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2134 | $2,250 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4642 Elmhurst Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,900 | $1.37 | 5d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2988 Heritage Valley Ct Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,890 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4839 Lehigh Dr Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $4,500 | $3.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4406 Ryan St Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1568 | $1,950 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4406 Ryan St Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1568 | $2,000 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4140 Kingsbere Way Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1568 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6694 Live Oak Ln Douglasville, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2400 | $2,970 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4250 Winding Trail Way Douglasville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1902 | $1,995 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3175 Wallace Lake Rd Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3729 Winding Trail Ct Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1433 | $1,830 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3783 Chapel Hill Rd Douglasville, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2032 | $1,955 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3196 Wallace Lake Rd Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1776 | $1,760 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4396 Central Church Rd Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,829 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3810 Glade Ave Douglasville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1920 | $2,191 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18status $280,000 Pending 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $280,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $280,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $280,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $280,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $280,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $280,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $280,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $280,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $280,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $280,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $280,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $280,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $280,000 758-char remark
Show marketing remark (758 chars)
Welcome to 3181 Cedardale Dr, a home that exudes warmth and sophistication. The living room is graced with a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The kitchen is a chef's dream, boasting a large island for meal prep and an accent backsplash that adds a touch of elegance. All stainless steel appliances are included, ensuring a sleek and modern look. The primary bathroom features double sinks, providing ample space for morning routines. Step outside to a spacious deck, ideal for outdoor entertaining. The home has been recently updated with fresh interior paint, giving it a clean and refreshed look. This property is a perfect blend of style and functionality. Don't miss out on this gem! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-04-23price $280,000 758-char remark
Show marketing remark (758 chars)
Welcome to 3181 Cedardale Dr, a home that exudes warmth and sophistication. The living room is graced with a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The kitchen is a chef's dream, boasting a large island for meal prep and an accent backsplash that adds a touch of elegance. All stainless steel appliances are included, ensuring a sleek and modern look. The primary bathroom features double sinks, providing ample space for morning routines. Step outside to a spacious deck, ideal for outdoor entertaining. The home has been recently updated with fresh interior paint, giving it a clean and refreshed look. This property is a perfect blend of style and functionality. Don't miss out on this gem! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-02-26$288,000 New 758-char remark
Show marketing remark (758 chars)
Welcome to 3181 Cedardale Dr, a home that exudes warmth and sophistication. The living room is graced with a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The kitchen is a chef's dream, boasting a large island for meal prep and an accent backsplash that adds a touch of elegance. All stainless steel appliances are included, ensuring a sleek and modern look. The primary bathroom features double sinks, providing ample space for morning routines. Step outside to a spacious deck, ideal for outdoor entertaining. The home has been recently updated with fresh interior paint, giving it a clean and refreshed look. This property is a perfect blend of style and functionality. Don't miss out on this gem! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-02-26$288,000 Active 758-char remark
Show marketing remark (758 chars)
Welcome to 3181 Cedardale Dr, a home that exudes warmth and sophistication. The living room is graced with a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The kitchen is a chef's dream, boasting a large island for meal prep and an accent backsplash that adds a touch of elegance. All stainless steel appliances are included, ensuring a sleek and modern look. The primary bathroom features double sinks, providing ample space for morning routines. Step outside to a spacious deck, ideal for outdoor entertaining. The home has been recently updated with fresh interior paint, giving it a clean and refreshed look. This property is a perfect blend of style and functionality. Don't miss out on this gem! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-01-20soldstatus $295,900
-
2022-11-30historical
-
2016-12-16soldstatus $154,500
-
2016-12-15soldstatus $154,500 Sold
-
2016-12-15soldstatus $154,500 Sold
-
2016-10-24status Under Contract
-
2016-10-24historical Contingent - Due Diligence
-
2016-10-19$150,000 New
-
2016-10-19$150,000 Active
-
1994-04-21soldstatus $87,000
-
1986-08-25soldstatus $81,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,550 · $213/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,576 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- +$26/yr (+$2/mo · 1.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$2,550
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,031
- − Management
- −$2,031
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$6,451
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,548
- After-tax cash flow
- $37/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Douglas County
- NCES district ID
- 1301860
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,335
- Composite
- 25.84/100
- National rank
- #7353
- State rank
- #92 of 174 in GA
Livability — Douglasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #6971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Douglas County · 141,416 people
- City population
- 114,380
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,800
- Household income
- $94,526
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 890.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,022 people
- By 2030
- 173,956 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 196,859 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 220,017 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 279,831 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 322,702 · +97.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.50%
- Current HPI
- 223.9534
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.08%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+241.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $280,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $280,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $288,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $288,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $295,900 Public Records
- 2022-11-30 Rental Removed — FMLS
- 2016-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $154,500 Public Records
- 2016-12-15 Sold (MLS) $154,500 GAMLS
- 2016-12-15 Sold (MLS) $154,500 FMLS
- 2016-10-24 Pending — GAMLS
- 2016-10-24 Contingent — FMLS
- 2016-10-19 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2016-10-19 Listed $150,000 FMLS
- 1994-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 1986-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $81,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,550 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…