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3181 Cedardale Dr
D Composite 41.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$280,000

3181 Cedardale Dr · Douglasville, GA 30135
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,760 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1986 0.62 ac lot $159/sqft · 17% above area Est $323k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 3181 Cedardale Dr, a home that exudes warmth and sophistication. The living room is graced with a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The kitchen is a chef's dream, boasting a large island for meal prep and an accent backsplash that adds a touch of elegance. All stainless steel appliances are included, ensuring a sleek and modern look. The primary bathroom features double sinks, providing ample space for morning routines. Step outside to a spacious deck, ideal for outdoor entertaining. The home has been recently updated with fresh interior paint, giving it a clean and refreshed look. This property is a perfect blend of style and functionality. Don't miss out on this gem! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

Key facts

  • Double sinks
  • Large island
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

COZY FIREPLACELARGE ISLANDACCENT BACKSPLASHSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGREAT CABINET STORAGEDOUBLE SINKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-126 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (7.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (24.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
  • Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Arbor Station Elementary School (math 26% / reading 28%, grade F, #689 of 1,228 statewide, top 58%, 559 students, 66% FRL); Chapel Hill Middle School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #147 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 1,098 students, 55% FRL); Chapel Hill High School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #203 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 1,609 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 610 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $211,598 (24.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.93%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$323,430
List price
$280,000
Delta
-13.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3171 Cedardale Dr 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,820 (+3%) 20mo $305,000 $168 76
3095 Stone Oak Dr 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,860 (+6%) 6mo $289,900 $156 74
3484 Heatherwood Ct 0.53mi 3/2.5 1,748 (-1%) 1mo $337,000 $193 73
3180 S Elizabeth Dr 0.24mi 3/3.0 1,655 (-6%) 8mo $265,000 $160 71
3140 Pine Bark Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,956 (+11%) 18mo $310,000 $158 61
4499 Avion Park 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,790 (+2%) 20mo $378,000 $211 57
3113 Melissa Ct 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,911 (+9%) 7mo $304,900 $160 57
4615 Cresant Ln 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,867 (+6%) 2mo $205,000 $110 56
3503 Pine Grove Dr 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,679 (-5%) 14mo $220,000 $131 51
4806 Forest Trl 0.55mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,882 (+7%) 8mo $400,000 $213 51
3500 Heatherwood Ct 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,882 (+7%) 19mo $315,000 $167 45
4919 Heritage Valley Dr 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,002 (+14%) 20mo $337,000 $168 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.6%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-59,484
Equity at exit
$41,749
10-year hold
IRR
-25.7%
Equity multiple
-0.09×
Total profit
$-85,718
Equity at exit
$24,209

Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30135

Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
610
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,116 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$213 /mo · $2,550/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$-126

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,275
Max offer price $257,758
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $33 -5% $-47 +0% $-126 +5% $-205 +10% $-284
Rent -10% $-293 -5% $-209 +0% $-126 +5% $-42 +10% $41
Rate -1.0pp $15 -0.5pp $-55 base $-126 +0.5pp $-198 +1.0pp $-272

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,000
Closing costs
$8,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4634 Five Leaves Ct Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1615 $1,865 $1.15 16d 1 0.12mi
3492 Heatherwood Ct Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1841 $2,500 $1.36 20d 1 0.58mi
3496 Heatherwood Ct Douglasville, GA 4.0 2.5 2134 $2,250 $1.05 45d 1 0.58mi
4642 Elmhurst Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1385 $1,900 $1.37 5d 1 0.64mi
2988 Heritage Valley Ct Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,890 $1.16 45d 1 0.74mi
4839 Lehigh Dr Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1300 $4,500 $3.46 45d 1 0.75mi
4406 Ryan St Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1568 $1,950 $1.24 25d 1 0.79mi
4406 Ryan St Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1568 $2,000 $1.28 45d 1 0.79mi
4140 Kingsbere Way Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1568 $2,200 $1.40 3d 1 0.91mi
6694 Live Oak Ln Douglasville, GA 4.0 3.0 2400 $2,970 $1.24 45d 1 1.21mi
4250 Winding Trail Way Douglasville, GA 4.0 2.5 1902 $1,995 $1.05 25d 1 1.23mi
3175 Wallace Lake Rd Douglasville, GA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,900 $1.27 45d 1 1.27mi
3729 Winding Trail Ct Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1433 $1,830 $1.28 14d 1 1.30mi
3783 Chapel Hill Rd Douglasville, GA 4.0 3.0 2032 $1,955 $0.96 14d 1 1.32mi
3196 Wallace Lake Rd Douglasville, GA 3.0 3.0 1776 $1,760 $0.99 25d 1 1.33mi
4396 Central Church Rd Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1608 $1,829 $1.14 45d 1 1.35mi
3810 Glade Ave Douglasville, GA 4.0 2.5 1920 $2,191 $1.14 45d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $280,000 Pending 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $280,000 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $280,000 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $280,000 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $280,000 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $280,000 Active 103 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $280,000 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $280,000 Active 101 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $280,000 Active 98 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $280,000 Active 97 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $280,000 Active 96 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $280,000 Active 95 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $280,000 Active 94 DOM
  14. 2026-04-23
    price $280,000 758-char remark
    Show marketing remark (758 chars)

    Welcome to 3181 Cedardale Dr, a home that exudes warmth and sophistication. The living room is graced with a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The kitchen is a chef's dream, boasting a large island for meal prep and an accent backsplash that adds a touch of elegance. All stainless steel appliances are included, ensuring a sleek and modern look. The primary bathroom features double sinks, providing ample space for morning routines. Step outside to a spacious deck, ideal for outdoor entertaining. The home has been recently updated with fresh interior paint, giving it a clean and refreshed look. This property is a perfect blend of style and functionality. Don't miss out on this gem! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  15. 2026-04-23
    price $280,000 758-char remark
    Show marketing remark (758 chars)

    Welcome to 3181 Cedardale Dr, a home that exudes warmth and sophistication. The living room is graced with a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The kitchen is a chef's dream, boasting a large island for meal prep and an accent backsplash that adds a touch of elegance. All stainless steel appliances are included, ensuring a sleek and modern look. The primary bathroom features double sinks, providing ample space for morning routines. Step outside to a spacious deck, ideal for outdoor entertaining. The home has been recently updated with fresh interior paint, giving it a clean and refreshed look. This property is a perfect blend of style and functionality. Don't miss out on this gem! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  16. 2026-02-26
    listed $288,000 New 758-char remark
    Show marketing remark (758 chars)

    Welcome to 3181 Cedardale Dr, a home that exudes warmth and sophistication. The living room is graced with a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The kitchen is a chef's dream, boasting a large island for meal prep and an accent backsplash that adds a touch of elegance. All stainless steel appliances are included, ensuring a sleek and modern look. The primary bathroom features double sinks, providing ample space for morning routines. Step outside to a spacious deck, ideal for outdoor entertaining. The home has been recently updated with fresh interior paint, giving it a clean and refreshed look. This property is a perfect blend of style and functionality. Don't miss out on this gem! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  17. 2026-02-26
    listed $288,000 Active 758-char remark
    Show marketing remark (758 chars)

    Welcome to 3181 Cedardale Dr, a home that exudes warmth and sophistication. The living room is graced with a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The kitchen is a chef's dream, boasting a large island for meal prep and an accent backsplash that adds a touch of elegance. All stainless steel appliances are included, ensuring a sleek and modern look. The primary bathroom features double sinks, providing ample space for morning routines. Step outside to a spacious deck, ideal for outdoor entertaining. The home has been recently updated with fresh interior paint, giving it a clean and refreshed look. This property is a perfect blend of style and functionality. Don't miss out on this gem! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  18. 2026-01-20
    soldstatus $295,900
  19. 2022-11-30
    historical
  20. 2016-12-16
    soldstatus $154,500
  21. 2016-12-15
    soldstatus $154,500 Sold
  22. 2016-12-15
    soldstatus $154,500 Sold
  23. 2016-10-24
    status Under Contract
  24. 2016-10-24
    historical Contingent - Due Diligence
  25. 2016-10-19
    listed $150,000 New
  26. 2016-10-19
    listed $150,000 Active
  27. 1994-04-21
    soldstatus $87,000
  28. 1986-08-25
    soldstatus $81,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,550 · $213/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,576 · $215/mo
Expected delta
+$26/yr (+$2/mo · 1.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,392
− Mortgage interest
−$15,684
− Property taxes
−$2,550
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,031
− Management
−$2,031
− Depreciation
−$8,145
Taxable loss
−$6,451
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,548
After-tax cash flow
$37/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Douglas County
NCES district ID
1301860
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$55,335
Composite
25.84/100
National rank
#7353
State rank
#92 of 174 in GA

Livability — Douglasville

Score
71/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#6971

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Douglas County · 141,416 people
City population
114,380
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
66,800
Household income
$94,526
Rent vs Own
21.9% rent · 78.1% own
Severe rent burden
890.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
163,022 people
By 2030
173,956 · +6.7%
By 2040
196,859 · +20.8%
By 2050
220,017 · +35.0%
By 2075
279,831 · +71.7%
By 2100
322,702 · +97.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
+29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -225.50%
Current HPI
223.9534
Rent YoY
▲ 0.08%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+241.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $280,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $280,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $288,000 FMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $288,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $295,900 Public Records
  • 2022-11-30 Rental Removed FMLS
  • 2016-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $154,500 Public Records
  • 2016-12-15 Sold (MLS) $154,500 GAMLS
  • 2016-12-15 Sold (MLS) $154,500 FMLS
  • 2016-10-24 Pending GAMLS
  • 2016-10-24 Contingent FMLS
  • 2016-10-19 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
  • 2016-10-19 Listed $150,000 FMLS
  • 1994-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 1986-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $81,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,550 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…