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418 2nd Ave SW Multi-family
B+ Composite 77.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$170,000

418 2nd Ave SW · Hillsboro, ND 58045
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,240 sqft · MultiFamily · 63 Days on market
Built 1973 Fair condition 7,405 sqft lot ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1973
  • Listed 63 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total of 4 rental units (three units ~500 sq ft; one unit listed separately); Foundation and building areas noted; lot approximately 0.17 acres (49 x 150)
  • Financial info: Gross income listed at $21,600; Net operating income listed (small value recorded in data); Listed unit-level expenses include fuel, water/sewer, trash, electric, insurance, maintenance, manager, and other (nominal values recorded in data)

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking only
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Electric service (fuel)
  • Home design: Residential income property; Two levels; Not owner-occupied
  • Construction: Block foundation; Foundation area approx. 1,120; Above and below grade finished areas listed (total living area 2,240)
  • Exterior features: Stone exterior; Stucco exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total (units include three 1-bed units and one 1-bed unit of a different layout)
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Window cooling units in some units
  • Interior features: Block basement
  • Laundry & utility: Electric fuel

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $170k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#7 in ND, #2,511 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hillsboro 9 (rural): math 51% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #16 of 53 in ND (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Traill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
  • Traill County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $159,800 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.12%
Cap rate
18.12%
Cash-on-cash
42.24%
DSCR
2.88
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.6%
Equity multiple
3.81×
Total profit
$133,771
Equity at exit
$83,380
10-year hold
IRR
47.7%
Equity multiple
7.70×
Total profit
$318,925
Equity at exit
$134,178

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58045

Home prices YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,608 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$758
Net cashflow
$1,675

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 49%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,608

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
303 Toronto Dr Hillsboro, ND 4.0 3.0 2136 $1,995 $0.93 21d 1 0.39mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $170,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $170,000 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $170,000 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-05
    price $170,000
  16. 2026-04-16
    listed $180,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,296
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$2,550
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,464
− Management
−$3,464
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$18,501
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,440
After-tax cash flow
$15,666/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The property requires moderate renovations to improve its curb appeal and interior aesthetics, which would significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior paint — Significant discoloration and wear
  • Major interior paint — Worn appearance in some areas
  • Minor kitchen cabinets — Dated design

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — Modernizes the space and increases appeal
  • Both replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves durability and aesthetic appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior paint · Significant discoloration and wear Major $15,000–50,000
interior paint · Worn appearance in some areas Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen cabinets · Dated design Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $30,500–103,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — Modernizes the space and increases appeal
  • Both replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves durability and aesthetic appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsboro 9
NCES district ID
3809570
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$51,294
Composite
40.88/100
National rank
#3622
State rank
#16 of 53 in ND

Livability — Hillsboro

Score
78/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#2511

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hillsboro, ND
Population (ZIP)
2,181

Population outlook (Traill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,107 people
By 2030
8,099 · -0.1%
By 2040
8,151 · +0.5%
By 2050
8,384 · +3.4%
By 2075
9,868 · +21.7%
By 2100
12,181 · +50.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 31% Scottish 6% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Traill

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.3% · R 65.0% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-38.8pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+4.7 2008: D+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.72%
Current HPI
139.3759
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $170,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $180,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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