CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2804 Major St
D- Composite 38.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.7/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.8/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0

$278,250

2804 Major St · Pea Ridge, AR 72751
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,355 sqft · SingleFamily · 64 Days on market
Built 2026 7,840 sqft lot Est $274k · at est. ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Introducing the delightful Foster II plan, a home design that welcomes you from the moment you arrive. Its charming curb appeal, featuring a front porch and thoughtfully landscaped front yard, creates an inviting atmosphere. This open-concept layout offers a spacious living experience with three comfortable bedrooms and two well-appointed bathrooms. The kitchen stands out as a highlight, fully equipped with energy-efficient appliances to make cooking a breeze. Discover the warmth and charm of the Foster II plan today! * Photos are of a similar model.

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Open-concept layout
  • 7,840 sq ft lot

Tags

FRONT PORCHLANDSCAPED FRONT YARDOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTENERGY-EFFICIENT APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA fees charged monthly; Near hospital; Near schools; Near park

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 covered spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Fiber optic available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; New construction; Faces west; To be built
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Has home warranty
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered patio; Landscaped lot; Near park; Subdivision setting; Shared road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Plumbed for ice maker; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Heat pump cooling; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Pantry; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $278k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-377 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (19.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (29.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (29.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.5% in Pea Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#98 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Pea Ridge School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #43 of 238 in AR (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pea Ridge Primary School (575 students, 36% FRL); Pea Ridge Middle School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade D, #61 of 201 statewide, top 32%, 395 students, 34% FRL); Pea Ridge High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #142 of 292 statewide, top 53%, 566 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 433 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,626 (29.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.66%
Cash-on-cash
-5.81%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$273,710
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2804 Major St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,355 (0%) 1mo $278,250 $205 99
2700 Chittick St 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,355 (0%) 2mo $285,900 $211 94
2712 Chittick St 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,355 (0%) 1mo $275,250 $203 93
2720 Chittick St 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,422 (+5%) 2mo $287,000 $202 86
2704 Chittick St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,422 (+5%) 1mo $279,900 $197 84
2800 Major St 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,216 (-10%) 1mo $268,400 $221 82
2709 Murphy St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,422 (+5%) 2mo $272,000 $191 73
2105 General Franz Sigel Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,425 (+5%) 0mo $275,000 $193 67
2820 Murphy St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,218 (-10%) 1mo $265,000 $218 64
2813 Bauer St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,494 (+10%) 1mo $292,000 $195 63
2709 Bauer St 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,453 (+7%) 2mo $280,000 $193 62
2805 Bauer St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,526 (+13%) 2mo $289,900 $190 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$81,375
Equity at exit
$201,569
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
4.26×
Total profit
$254,000
Equity at exit
$391,089

Cash invested: $77,910 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72751

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
433
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,956 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,459
Tax est. 1.5%
$348 /mo · $4,174/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$-377

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,434
Max offer price $223,628
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-185 -5% $-281 +0% $-377 +5% $-474 +10% $-570
Rent -10% $-532 -5% $-455 +0% $-377 +5% $-300 +10% $-223
Rate -1.0pp $-237 -0.5pp $-307 base $-377 +0.5pp $-450 +1.0pp $-523

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,562
Closing costs
$8,348
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2608 Chittick St Pea Ridge, AR 4.0 2.0 1630 $1,795 $1.10 46d 1 0.23mi
2720 Gorman St Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1480 $1,695 $1.15 16d 1 0.26mi
2813 Reynolds St Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1422 $1,795 $1.26 16d 1 0.28mi
2301 Langford St Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1637 $1,800 $1.10 23d 1 0.75mi
1910 Hahn St Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1555 $1,900 $1.22 46d 1 0.76mi
1812 Seay Cir Pea Ridge, AR 4.0 2.5 1854 $1,900 $1.02 46d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-13
    price $278,250
  3. 2026-02-25
    listed $282,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,475
− Mortgage interest
−$15,586
− Property taxes
−$4,174
− Insurance
−$1,391
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,878
− Management
−$1,878
− Depreciation
−$8,095
Taxable loss
−$9,527
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,286
After-tax cash flow
$-2,243/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pea Ridge School District
NCES district ID
0503030
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$53,156
Composite
36.88/100
National rank
#4546
State rank
#43 of 238 in AR

Livability — Pea Ridge

Score
67/100
State rank
#98
US rank
#10429

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pea Ridge, AR
County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
9,997
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
9,997
Household income
$95,299
Rent vs Own
18.1% rent · 81.9% own
Severe rent burden
83.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.48%
Current HPI
352.7133
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $278,250 NWARMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $282,900 NWARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…