🌊 Lakefront
735 Greenville Rd · Schoeneck, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- ARV discount +3.9/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$335,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
AUCTION DATE-WEDNESDAY, APRIL 22, 2026, AT 5 PM. LISTED PRICE IS AN OPENING BID ONLY AND IS NOT INDICATIVE OF THE FINAL SALE PRICE. REAL ESTATE: 1½ sty. brick/siding house w/ 1654 SF finished area, eat-in kitchen w/ range & pantry, living rm. w/ bow window, 1st floor laundry, 4 bdrms. , 1½ baths, daylight bsmt. w/ brick fireplace hearth, oil HW heat, generator hookup, narrow gauge oak hardwood flooring, low maintenance exterior w/ covered soffit, fascia & insulated/tilt windows, covered side porch, built-in 1-car garage & (2) utility sheds all on 8/10 ACRE rural lot w/ macadam driveway, on-site well & septic. Zoned Open Space. NOTE: Owner has moved to r
Key facts
- 0.8 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1968
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $541 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $335k).
- Recommended offer: $330k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,138 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Cocalico SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #130 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.92%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $310,464
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1055 Swamp Bridge Rd | 0.55mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,750 (-1%) | 13mo | $300,000 | $171 | 55 |
| 1230 Steinmetz Rd | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,988 (+13%) | 18mo | $350,000 | $176 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-19,855
- Equity at exit
- $49,950
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $27,036
- Equity at exit
- $28,965
Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17517
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,757
- Tax from tax record
- −$328 /mo · $3,936/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$735
- Net cashflow
- $541
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,750
- Closing costs
- $10,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 985 S Ridge Rd Denver, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1521 | $3,500 | $2.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-04-23price $335,000
-
2026-03-25$225,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,936 · $328/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,615 · $385/mo
- Expected delta
- +$678/yr (+$57/mo · 17.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,765
- − Property taxes
- −$3,936
- − Insurance
- −$1,675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,360
- − Management
- −$3,360
- − Depreciation
- −$9,745
- Taxable income
- $1,158
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$278
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,209/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cocalico SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206270
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,457
- Composite
- 46.09/100
- National rank
- #2512
- State rank
- #130 of 539 in PA
Livability — Schoeneck
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #1138
- US rank
- #13049
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,045
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.05%
- Current HPI
- 262.8646
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+48.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $335,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2026): $3,936 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…