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2438 Duck Creek Rd Duplex
B+ Composite 75.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

2438 Duck Creek Rd · Norwood, OH 45212
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,632 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1929 4,095 sqft lot $110/sqft · 48% below area Est $344k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Attention investors! Opportunity awaits with this 2-family property in Norwood. Being sold as-is, a little TLC will go a long way. This property offers tremendous potential for strong rental income, or a quick rehab. Both units are 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. Features include garage, separate utilities, separate entrances, and a desirable corner lot. Great chance to build equity and/or maximize returns in a convenient location. Easy to show!

Key facts

  • 2 family property
  • Separate utilities
  • Build equity

Tags

2 FAMILY PROPERTYSTRONG RENTAL INCOMESEPARATE UTILITIESSEPARATE ENTRANCESCORNER LOTBUILD EQUITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $294/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.7% in Norwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#154 in OH, #2,322 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D+.
  • Norwood City (suburban): math 35% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #513 of 656 in OH (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 56 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $145k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.58%
Cash-on-cash
15.32%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$343,777
List price
$180,000
Delta
-47.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2458 Duck Creek Rd 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (+3%) 10mo $153,000 $91 78
4029 Burwood Ave 0.29mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,646 (+1%) 23mo $315,000 $191 59
2533 Ida Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,752 (+7%) 21mo $225,000 $128 43
3652 Shaw Ave 0.74mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,520 (-7%) 22mo $330,000 $217 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,646
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$23,927
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45212

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,470 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$289 /mo · $3,466/yr
Insurance
$75
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$519
Net cashflow
$588

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,726
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 71%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,470

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3901 Elsmere Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1415 $1,995 $1.41 3d 1 0.38mi
2584 Madison Rd Unit 1056073P Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1431 $4,609 $3.22 1d 1 0.43mi
3578 Burch Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 2.0 1250 $2,595 $2.08 1d 1 0.45mi
3921 Spencer Ave Apt 2 Norwood, OH 4.0 1.0 1636 $2,400 $1.47 17d 1 0.45mi
3538 Burch Ave #2 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1485 $2,250 $1.52 1d 1 0.53mi
2733 Willard Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1242 $3,000 $2.42 19d 1 0.58mi
2123 Cameron Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.5 2165 $4,500 $2.08 44d 1 0.59mi
3915 Lindley Ave Unit 2 Norwood, OH 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,950 $1.30 44d 1 0.59mi
2607 Robertson Ave Unit 2 ROBERTSON 2607 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1399 $1,895 $1.35 44d 1 0.72mi
1931 Delaware Ave Unit 2 Norwood, OH 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,810 $1.10 44d 1 0.74mi
2320 Kenilworth Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.5 1660 $2,300 $1.39 20d 1 0.75mi
2365 Madison Rd Cincinnati, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 23d 1 0.77mi
4303 Allison St Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1070 $1,495 $1.40 4d 1 0.82mi
4539 Montgomery Rd Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,375 $1.15 10d 1 0.86mi
4539 Montgomery Rd Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,375 $1.15 23d 1 0.86mi
1725 Cleneay Ave Norwood, OH 1.0–5.0 1.0–5.0 1060 $2,147 $2.02 1d 46 0.90mi
3774 Drake Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1784 $3,000 $1.68 17d 1 0.91mi
4133 Huston Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1210 $1,725 $1.43 44d 1 0.99mi
4133 Huston Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1210 $1,725 $1.43 12d 1 0.99mi
3439 Duncan Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 1.5 1809 $3,500 $1.93 23d 1 1.09mi
2846 Observatory Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 1.0 1357 $3,000 $2.21 23d 1 1.11mi
2881 Observatory Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 3.0 1800 $2,400 $1.33 4d 1 1.18mi
3827 Paxton Ave Cincinnati, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1031 $2,995 $2.90 1d 13 1.21mi
2101 Grandin Rd Cincinnati, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1042 $2,099 $2.01 2d 12 1.22mi
3550 Woodburn Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1308 $2,000 $1.53 14d 1 1.22mi
3108 Markbreit Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 23d 1 1.22mi
1709 Sherman Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,300 $1.53 2d 1 1.25mi
3326 Fairfield Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1566 $1,600 $1.02 10d 1 1.25mi
2940 Disney St Cincinnati, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1072 $2,270 $2.12 1d 1 1.32mi
1607 Asmann Ave Cincinnati, OH 1.0–4.0 1.0–1.5 1069 $1,428 $1.34 12d 6 1.42mi
5121 Silver St Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,695 $1.06 23d 1 1.43mi
5111 Warren Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1326 $1,525 $1.15 23d 1 1.46mi
961 Avondale Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1800 $2,200 $1.22 3d 1 1.47mi
5135 Globe Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1697 $1,895 $1.12 7d 1 1.47mi
1512 Blair Ave Apt B Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,795 $1.63 23d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,000 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $180,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,000 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $180,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-04-15
    listed $180,000 Active 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Attention investors! Opportunity awaits with this 2-family property in Norwood. Being sold as-is, a little TLC will go a long way. This property offers tremendous potential for strong rental income, or a quick rehab. Both units are 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. Features include garage, separate utilities, separate entrances, and a desirable corner lot. Great chance to build equity and/or maximize returns in a convenient location. Easy to show!

  14. 2019-07-03
    soldstatus $145,000
  15. 2018-07-30
    historical
  16. 2018-06-25
    listed $209,000 Active
  17. 2018-05-01
    historical
  18. 2018-04-30
    listed $220,000 Active
  19. 2017-05-16
    soldstatus $64,900
  20. 2017-05-09
    soldstatus $60,123 Sold
  21. 2017-03-22
    historical Accept Backup Offers
  22. 2017-03-20
    status Active
  23. 2017-03-16
    historical Accept Backup Offers
  24. 2017-03-10
    status Active
  25. 2017-01-18
    historical Accept Backup Offers
  26. 2017-01-06
    listed $62,100 Active
  27. 2011-02-16
    historical
  28. 2010-12-17
    listed $22,000
  29. 2006-07-31
    soldstatus $106,000
  30. 2003-08-14
    soldstatus $64,000
  31. 1998-10-14
    soldstatus $61,000
  32. 1997-01-06
    soldstatus $38,500
  33. 1995-03-13
    soldstatus $53,850
  34. 1990-09-20
    soldstatus $48,500
  35. 1986-05-02
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,466 · $289/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,466 · $289/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,640
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$3,466
− Insurance
−$1,566
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,371
− Management
−$2,371
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable income
$4,546
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,091
After-tax cash flow
$5,965/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norwood City
NCES district ID
3904457
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$38,750
Composite
36.66/100
National rank
#4614
State rank
#513 of 656 in OH

Livability — Norwood

Score
79/100
State rank
#154
US rank
#2322

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norwood, OH
County
Hamilton County · 701,295 people
City population
21,526
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
21,526
Household income
$72,422
Rent vs Own
51.3% rent · 48.7% own
Severe rent burden
1192.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
826,054 people
By 2030
830,947 · +0.6%
By 2040
832,319 · +0.8%
By 2050
822,428 · -0.4%
By 2075
788,688 · -4.5%
By 2100
710,674 · -14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -209.95%
Current HPI
295.7088
Rent YoY
▲ 0.21%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+414.3% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $180,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2019-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2018-07-30 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2018-06-25 Listed $209,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2018-05-01 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2018-04-30 Listed $220,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2017-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
  • 2017-05-09 Sold (MLS) $60,123 Cincy MLS
  • 2017-03-22 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2017-03-20 Relisted Cincy MLS
  • 2017-03-16 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2017-03-10 Relisted Cincy MLS
  • 2017-01-18 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2017-01-06 Listed $62,100 Cincy MLS
  • 2011-02-16 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2010-12-17 Listed $22,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2006-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
  • 2003-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 1998-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
  • 1997-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records
  • 1995-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $53,850 Public Records
  • 1990-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $48,500 Public Records
  • 1986-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,466 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…