3505 Stag · Horseshoe Bay, TX 78657

$190,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 14 Days on market

Built 2022 5,401 sqft lot $156/sqft · 8% above area Est $176k · 8% over $30/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.2/30.0
• DSCR +6.4/10.0
• 1% rule +5.5/10.0
• Appreciation +5.5/10.0
• ARV discount +4.0/15.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Embrace the Charm of Horseshoe Bay Living!Welcome to your dream home - a beautiful, brand-new pre-manufactured residence in the heart of the picturesque Texas Hill Country. This beautiful property boasts a seamless blend of modern amenities and serene natural beauty, perfect for those seeking a tranquil lifestyle.Key Features:Modern Design: Experience the elegance of a beautifully crafted home with top-notch finishes, ensuring comfort and style.Paved Driveway & Carport: Enjoy the convenience of a spacious paved driveway leading to an excellent carport, providing ample parking and vehicle protection.Private Deck: Step outside onto your deck, an ideal relaxing spot with serene greenbelt views.Scenic Surroundings: The house backs directly onto a lush greenbelt, allowing you to immerse yourself in nature. Observe native plants and frequent deer sightings right from your backyard.Proximity to Horseshoe Bay Lake: Located less than 6 miles from the majestic Horseshoe Bay Lake, indulge in various activities, including breathtaking trails, water sports, and more.Explore Local Attractions: Discover nearby parks, exquisite wineries, and other attractions that make the Texas Hill Country living so coveted.Financial Flexibility:Owner Financing Available: Take advantage of owner financing with a $35,000 down payment, a competitive 10% interest rate, and flexible 15- or 20-year note terms.USDA Financing Eligible: Ideal for first-time homebuyers with ZERO down payment required and the benefit of low taxes.Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of Texas paradise. Contact us today for more details and to schedule a viewing!, Association Fee Includes: Common Area Maintenance, Interior Features: Laminate Counters, Pantry, Recessed Lighting, Main Level Bedrooms: 3, Ownership Type: Fee Simple, Parking Features: Attached, Utilities: Underground Utilities, View: Neighborhood, Water Source: Public, Tax Rate: 1.53, Kitchen Features: Smart Thermostat

Key facts

• Private deck
• Scenic trails
• Native landscaping

Tags

• PAVED DRIVEWAY
• COVERED CARPORT
• PRIVATE DECK
• NATIVE LANDSCAPING
• SCENIC TRAILS
• WATER ACTIVITIES

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Part of Horseshoe Bay POA; HOA fee approximately $360.99 annually

Exterior

• Parking: Carport; Driveway; Parking for 4 vehicles (total)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-story; Faces south; Resale property; Entry level: main level primary
• Construction: Built with HardiPlank-type siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Year built per public records
• Exterior features: Front porch; Exterior steps; Back yard; Backs to greenbelt/park

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
• Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms; Main level primary bedroom; Walk-in closet(s)
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Exhaust fan; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate counters; Pantry; Smart thermostat; No interior steps
• Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
• Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 1.0% in Horseshoe Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#625 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Marble Falls ISD (town): math 32% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #511 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 1223 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 891 units permitted in Burnet County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
• Burnet County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $11k; list at $190k implies a 1603% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $190,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.05% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.80%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.38%
• DSCR: 1.24
• GRM: 7.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $176,304
• List price: $190,000
• Delta: 7.77%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
200 49th St	0.21mi	3/2.0	1,186 (-2%)	19mo	$139,000	$117	70
1904 Colonneh	0.12mi	3/2.0	1,344 (+10%)	18mo	$199,000	$148	62
2204 1st St	0.49mi	3/2.0	1,170 (-4%)	22mo	$195,000	$167	53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 6.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.34×
• Total profit: $18,275
• Equity at exit: $64,323

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.33×
• Total profit: $70,710
• Equity at exit: $85,064

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78657

• Home prices YoY: 0.4%
• Active inventory: 1223
• Price-to-rent: 7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,999 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$996
• Tax from tax record: −$235 /mo · $2,825/yr
• Insurance: −$79
• HOA: −$30
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$420
• Net cashflow: $238

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,697

Max offer price $190,000

Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $346	-5% $292	+0% $238	+5% $185	+10% $131
Rent	-10% $80	-5% $159	+0% $238	+5% $317	+10% $396
Rate	-1.0pp $334	-0.5pp $287	base $238	+0.5pp $189	+1.0pp $139

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $47,500
• Closing costs: $5,700
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $30 · $360/yr
• Likely covers: water

Listing history 35 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $190,000 Active 14 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $190,000 Active 13 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $190,000 Active 12 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $190,000 Active 11 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $190,000 Active 9 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $190,000 Active 8 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $190,000 Active 5 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $190,000 Active 4 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $190,000 Active 3 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on marketlisting id $190,000 Active 1 DOM
11. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
12. 2026-02-05
    listed Active
13. 2024-04-03
    soldstatus 1965-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1965 chars)

    Embrace the Charm of Horseshoe Bay Living!Welcome to your dream home - a beautiful, brand-new pre-manufactured residence in the heart of the picturesque Texas Hill Country. This beautiful property boasts a seamless blend of modern amenities and serene natural beauty, perfect for those seeking a tranquil lifestyle.Key Features:Modern Design: Experience the elegance of a beautifully crafted home with top-notch finishes, ensuring comfort and style.Paved Driveway & Carport: Enjoy the convenience of a spacious paved driveway leading to an excellent carport, providing ample parking and vehicle protection.Private Deck: Step outside onto your deck, an ideal relaxing spot with serene greenbelt views.Scenic Surroundings: The house backs directly onto a lush greenbelt, allowing you to immerse yourself in nature. Observe native plants and frequent deer sightings right from your backyard.Proximity to Horseshoe Bay Lake: Located less than 6 miles from the majestic Horseshoe Bay Lake, indulge in various activities, including breathtaking trails, water sports, and more.Explore Local Attractions: Discover nearby parks, exquisite wineries, and other attractions that make the Texas Hill Country living so coveted.Financial Flexibility:Owner Financing Available: Take advantage of owner financing with a $35,000 down payment, a competitive 10% interest rate, and flexible 15- or 20-year note terms.USDA Financing Eligible: Ideal for first-time homebuyers with ZERO down payment required and the benefit of low taxes.Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of Texas paradise. Contact us today for more details and to schedule a viewing!, Association Fee Includes: Common Area Maintenance, Interior Features: Laminate Counters, Pantry, Recessed Lighting, Main Level Bedrooms: 3, Ownership Type: Fee Simple, Parking Features: Attached, Utilities: Underground Utilities, View: Neighborhood, Water Source: Public, Tax Rate: 1.53, Kitchen Features: Smart Thermostat

14. 2024-04-03
    soldstatus Closed

    Show marketing remark (1965 chars)

    Embrace the Charm of Horseshoe Bay Living!Welcome to your dream home - a beautiful, brand-new pre-manufactured residence in the heart of the picturesque Texas Hill Country. This beautiful property boasts a seamless blend of modern amenities and serene natural beauty, perfect for those seeking a tranquil lifestyle.Key Features:Modern Design: Experience the elegance of a beautifully crafted home with top-notch finishes, ensuring comfort and style.Paved Driveway & Carport: Enjoy the convenience of a spacious paved driveway leading to an excellent carport, providing ample parking and vehicle protection.Private Deck: Step outside onto your deck, an ideal relaxing spot with serene greenbelt views.Scenic Surroundings: The house backs directly onto a lush greenbelt, allowing you to immerse yourself in nature. Observe native plants and frequent deer sightings right from your backyard.Proximity to Horseshoe Bay Lake: Located less than 6 miles from the majestic Horseshoe Bay Lake, indulge in various activities, including breathtaking trails, water sports, and more.Explore Local Attractions: Discover nearby parks, exquisite wineries, and other attractions that make the Texas Hill Country living so coveted.Financial Flexibility:Owner Financing Available: Take advantage of owner financing with a $35,000 down payment, a competitive 10% interest rate, and flexible 15- or 20-year note terms.USDA Financing Eligible: Ideal for first-time homebuyers with ZERO down payment required and the benefit of low taxes.Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of Texas paradise. Contact us today for more details and to schedule a viewing!, Association Fee Includes: Common Area Maintenance, Interior Features: Laminate Counters, Pantry, Recessed Lighting, Main Level Bedrooms: 3, Ownership Type: Fee Simple, Parking Features: Attached, Utilities: Underground Utilities, View: Neighborhood, Water Source: Public, Tax Rate: 1.53, Kitchen Features: Smart Thermostat

15. 2024-04-03
    soldstatus

    Show marketing remark (1965 chars)

    Embrace the Charm of Horseshoe Bay Living!Welcome to your dream home - a beautiful, brand-new pre-manufactured residence in the heart of the picturesque Texas Hill Country. This beautiful property boasts a seamless blend of modern amenities and serene natural beauty, perfect for those seeking a tranquil lifestyle.Key Features:Modern Design: Experience the elegance of a beautifully crafted home with top-notch finishes, ensuring comfort and style.Paved Driveway & Carport: Enjoy the convenience of a spacious paved driveway leading to an excellent carport, providing ample parking and vehicle protection.Private Deck: Step outside onto your deck, an ideal relaxing spot with serene greenbelt views.Scenic Surroundings: The house backs directly onto a lush greenbelt, allowing you to immerse yourself in nature. Observe native plants and frequent deer sightings right from your backyard.Proximity to Horseshoe Bay Lake: Located less than 6 miles from the majestic Horseshoe Bay Lake, indulge in various activities, including breathtaking trails, water sports, and more.Explore Local Attractions: Discover nearby parks, exquisite wineries, and other attractions that make the Texas Hill Country living so coveted.Financial Flexibility:Owner Financing Available: Take advantage of owner financing with a $35,000 down payment, a competitive 10% interest rate, and flexible 15- or 20-year note terms.USDA Financing Eligible: Ideal for first-time homebuyers with ZERO down payment required and the benefit of low taxes.Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of Texas paradise. Contact us today for more details and to schedule a viewing!, Association Fee Includes: Common Area Maintenance, Interior Features: Laminate Counters, Pantry, Recessed Lighting, Main Level Bedrooms: 3, Ownership Type: Fee Simple, Parking Features: Attached, Utilities: Underground Utilities, View: Neighborhood, Water Source: Public, Tax Rate: 1.53, Kitchen Features: Smart Thermostat

16. 2024-03-29
    historical Active Under Contract
17. 2024-03-29
    historical Active Under Contract
18. 2024-02-23
    listed $209,900 1965-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1965 chars)

    Embrace the Charm of Horseshoe Bay Living!Welcome to your dream home - a beautiful, brand-new pre-manufactured residence in the heart of the picturesque Texas Hill Country. This beautiful property boasts a seamless blend of modern amenities and serene natural beauty, perfect for those seeking a tranquil lifestyle.Key Features:Modern Design: Experience the elegance of a beautifully crafted home with top-notch finishes, ensuring comfort and style.Paved Driveway & Carport: Enjoy the convenience of a spacious paved driveway leading to an excellent carport, providing ample parking and vehicle protection.Private Deck: Step outside onto your deck, an ideal relaxing spot with serene greenbelt views.Scenic Surroundings: The house backs directly onto a lush greenbelt, allowing you to immerse yourself in nature. Observe native plants and frequent deer sightings right from your backyard.Proximity to Horseshoe Bay Lake: Located less than 6 miles from the majestic Horseshoe Bay Lake, indulge in various activities, including breathtaking trails, water sports, and more.Explore Local Attractions: Discover nearby parks, exquisite wineries, and other attractions that make the Texas Hill Country living so coveted.Financial Flexibility:Owner Financing Available: Take advantage of owner financing with a $35,000 down payment, a competitive 10% interest rate, and flexible 15- or 20-year note terms.USDA Financing Eligible: Ideal for first-time homebuyers with ZERO down payment required and the benefit of low taxes.Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of Texas paradise. Contact us today for more details and to schedule a viewing!, Association Fee Includes: Common Area Maintenance, Interior Features: Laminate Counters, Pantry, Recessed Lighting, Main Level Bedrooms: 3, Ownership Type: Fee Simple, Parking Features: Attached, Utilities: Underground Utilities, View: Neighborhood, Water Source: Public, Tax Rate: 1.53, Kitchen Features: Smart Thermostat

19. 2024-02-23
    listed $209,900 Active

    Show marketing remark (1965 chars)

    Embrace the Charm of Horseshoe Bay Living!Welcome to your dream home - a beautiful, brand-new pre-manufactured residence in the heart of the picturesque Texas Hill Country. This beautiful property boasts a seamless blend of modern amenities and serene natural beauty, perfect for those seeking a tranquil lifestyle.Key Features:Modern Design: Experience the elegance of a beautifully crafted home with top-notch finishes, ensuring comfort and style.Paved Driveway & Carport: Enjoy the convenience of a spacious paved driveway leading to an excellent carport, providing ample parking and vehicle protection.Private Deck: Step outside onto your deck, an ideal relaxing spot with serene greenbelt views.Scenic Surroundings: The house backs directly onto a lush greenbelt, allowing you to immerse yourself in nature. Observe native plants and frequent deer sightings right from your backyard.Proximity to Horseshoe Bay Lake: Located less than 6 miles from the majestic Horseshoe Bay Lake, indulge in various activities, including breathtaking trails, water sports, and more.Explore Local Attractions: Discover nearby parks, exquisite wineries, and other attractions that make the Texas Hill Country living so coveted.Financial Flexibility:Owner Financing Available: Take advantage of owner financing with a $35,000 down payment, a competitive 10% interest rate, and flexible 15- or 20-year note terms.USDA Financing Eligible: Ideal for first-time homebuyers with ZERO down payment required and the benefit of low taxes.Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of Texas paradise. Contact us today for more details and to schedule a viewing!, Association Fee Includes: Common Area Maintenance, Interior Features: Laminate Counters, Pantry, Recessed Lighting, Main Level Bedrooms: 3, Ownership Type: Fee Simple, Parking Features: Attached, Utilities: Underground Utilities, View: Neighborhood, Water Source: Public, Tax Rate: 1.53, Kitchen Features: Smart Thermostat

20. 2024-02-23
    listed $209,900 Active

    Show marketing remark (1965 chars)

    Embrace the Charm of Horseshoe Bay Living!Welcome to your dream home - a beautiful, brand-new pre-manufactured residence in the heart of the picturesque Texas Hill Country. This beautiful property boasts a seamless blend of modern amenities and serene natural beauty, perfect for those seeking a tranquil lifestyle.Key Features:Modern Design: Experience the elegance of a beautifully crafted home with top-notch finishes, ensuring comfort and style.Paved Driveway & Carport: Enjoy the convenience of a spacious paved driveway leading to an excellent carport, providing ample parking and vehicle protection.Private Deck: Step outside onto your deck, an ideal relaxing spot with serene greenbelt views.Scenic Surroundings: The house backs directly onto a lush greenbelt, allowing you to immerse yourself in nature. Observe native plants and frequent deer sightings right from your backyard.Proximity to Horseshoe Bay Lake: Located less than 6 miles from the majestic Horseshoe Bay Lake, indulge in various activities, including breathtaking trails, water sports, and more.Explore Local Attractions: Discover nearby parks, exquisite wineries, and other attractions that make the Texas Hill Country living so coveted.Financial Flexibility:Owner Financing Available: Take advantage of owner financing with a $35,000 down payment, a competitive 10% interest rate, and flexible 15- or 20-year note terms.USDA Financing Eligible: Ideal for first-time homebuyers with ZERO down payment required and the benefit of low taxes.Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of Texas paradise. Contact us today for more details and to schedule a viewing!, Association Fee Includes: Common Area Maintenance, Interior Features: Laminate Counters, Pantry, Recessed Lighting, Main Level Bedrooms: 3, Ownership Type: Fee Simple, Parking Features: Attached, Utilities: Underground Utilities, View: Neighborhood, Water Source: Public, Tax Rate: 1.53, Kitchen Features: Smart Thermostat

21. 2023-12-31
    historical
22. 2023-12-31
    historical
23. 2023-12-06
    price $219,999
24. 2023-12-06
    price
25. 2023-07-21
    price $220,000
26. 2023-07-21
    price
27. 2023-03-10
    price $224,900
28. 2023-03-10
    price
29. 2023-02-09
    listed $219,999
30. 2023-02-09
    listed Active
31. 2023-02-09
    listed $229,900 Active
32. 2018-08-06
    soldstatus
33. 2007-03-28
    soldstatus
34. 2006-11-01
    soldstatus
35. 2005-10-25
    soldstatus $11,155

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,825 · $235/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,477 · $290/mo
• Expected delta: +$652/yr (+$54/mo · 23.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,990
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,643
• − Property taxes: −$2,825
• − Insurance: −$950
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,919
• − Management: −$1,919
• − HOA: −$360
• − Depreciation: −$5,527
• Taxable loss: −$154
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$37
• After-tax cash flow: $2,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marble Falls ISD
• NCES district ID: 4829010
• Math proficiency: 32% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $49,663
• Composite: 30.3/100
• National rank: #6278
• State rank: #511 of 826 in TX

Livability — Horseshoe Bay

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #625
• US rank: #11913

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A- Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Horseshoe Bay, TX
• County: Llano County · 16,310 people
• City population: 7,591
• Metro: nan
• Population (ZIP): 7,591
• Household income: $91,452
• Rent vs Own: 18.7% rent · 81.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 45.0

Population outlook (Burnet County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 50,492 people
• By 2030: 52,995 · +5.0%
• By 2040: 57,528 · +13.9%
• By 2050: 61,444 · +21.7%
• By 2075: 71,098 · +40.8%
• By 2100: 74,634 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 80% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 14%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burnet

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.6pp toward R · 2008: -44.1pp · 2024: -55.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+53.1 2016: R+56.8 2012: R+54.6 2008: R+44.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 0.95%
• Current HPI: 229.9918
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: nan
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+1603.3% since first listed

26 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $190,000 Unlock MLS
• 2026-05-05 Pending — Unlock MLS
• 2026-02-05 Listed — Unlock MLS
• 2024-04-03 Sold (MLS) — LERA
• 2024-04-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2024-04-03 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
• 2024-03-29 Contingent — CTXMLS
• 2024-03-29 Contingent — Unlock MLS
• 2024-02-23 Listed $209,900 LERA
• 2024-02-23 Listed $209,900 Unlock MLS
• 2024-02-23 Listed $209,900 CTXMLS
• 2023-12-31 Listing Removed — LERA
• 2023-12-31 Listing Removed — CTXMLS
• 2023-12-06 Price Changed $219,999 CTXMLS
• 2023-12-06 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
• 2023-07-21 Price Changed $220,000 CTXMLS
• 2023-07-21 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
• 2023-03-10 Price Changed $224,900 CTXMLS
• 2023-03-10 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
• 2023-02-09 Listed $219,999 LERA
• 2023-02-09 Listed — Unlock MLS
• 2023-02-09 Listed $229,900 CTXMLS
• 2018-08-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2007-03-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2006-11-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2005-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $11,155 Public Records

Property tax history

+42.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,825 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.