10 Brightling Ln · Bella Vista, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a super-cute flip with big upside? This home has great bones, a smart layout, and tons of potential—just waiting for a little love to truly shine. Enjoy plenty of closets, a generously sized laundry room, and a rare-for-the-area 1-car garage. Location is a huge win: just minutes from trailheads and Lake Avalon, the only Bella Vista lake with a sandy beach for swimming and relaxing. Outdoor lovers will appreciate the nearby world-class trail biking, with a planned bike lift close by—adding exciting future value and convenience. Whether you’re an investor or a buyer ready to create something special, this is a fun opportunity in an unbeatable setting. (Fixer-uppe
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Garage
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Bella Vista POA; $40 monthly association fee (includes association management); Community amenities: clubhouse, pool, fitness center, tennis courts, playground, sauna, docks, trails/paths, biking, lake access; near fire station and hospital; park
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 covered space)
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Septic available (septic tank)
- Home design: Single-story; Frame construction with wood siding; Architectural shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Residential zoning
- Construction: Frame construction; Wood siding; Architectural shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Deck; Near Lake Avalon; Cleared lot; Cul-de-sac lot; City lot; Near park; Subdivision setting; Sloped lot; Paved public/shared road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level (11'10" x 10'2"); Additional main level room (11'10" x 9'10")
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat pump); Central air conditioning (electric, heat pump)
- Interior features: Attic; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Utility room on main level (13'10" x 5'3")
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($550/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (19.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 838 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $180k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.09%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,784
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Gillingham Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (+2%) | 11mo | $187,000 | $224 | 59 |
| 10 Bridgeport Ln | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (+2%) | 15mo | $186,000 | $222 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-26,314
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-19,425
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72715
- Home prices YoY
- -6.6%
- Active inventory
- 838
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $488/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $148 | -5% $97 | +0% $46 | +5% $-5 | +10% $-56 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-69 | -5% $-11 | +0% $46 | +5% $103 | +10% $160 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $136 | -0.5pp $92 | base $46 | +0.5pp $-1 | +1.0pp $-48 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1900 Cottage Ln Bella Vista, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 873 | $1,140 | $1.31 | 16d | 40 | 1.17mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-04-10price $180,000
-
2026-02-04$200,000 Active
-
2007-05-01soldstatus $95,000
-
2004-05-17soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $488 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,152 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$664/yr (+$55/mo · 136.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,399
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$488
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,392
- − Management
- −$1,392
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$2,572
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$617
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,167/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bentonville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503060
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,721
- Composite
- 51.85/100
- National rank
- #1661
- State rank
- #3 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bella Vista
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #11129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bella Vista, AR
- County
- Benton County · 259,241 people
- City population
- 31,638
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,288
- Household income
- $82,447
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 107.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.53%
- Current HPI
- 304.946
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — NWARMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $180,000 NWARMLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $200,000 NWARMLS
- 2007-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2004-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $488 · -8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…