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207 E Hwy 160
B Composite 74.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$90,000

207 E Hwy 160 · Portland, AR 71663
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,596 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1978 0.30 ac lot Est $105k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful home in Portland, AR, large living/dining area open to the kitchen with an island. Also has a bonus room off kitchen that leads to a screened in porch. Features 3 bedrooms and hall bath with a wonderful walk-in shower. Home features insulated windows, metal roof, 7 yrs, central h/a, 4 yrs old, tile floors, luxury vinyl, single carport, screened in porch, storage lein-2 and storage building. Extra gas heater in case electricity goes out, also a gas stove and dishwasher.

Key facts

  • Screened in porch
  • Metal roof
  • Bonus room

Tags

LARGE LIVING DINING AREABONUS ROOMSCREENED IN PORCHINSULATED WINDOWSMETAL ROOFCENTRAL H A

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport for 1 car
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Electric (Co-op); Natural gas
  • Home design: Brick and frame combination exterior
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Inside city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Tile; Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central cooling (electric)
  • Interior features: Tile and luxury vinyl flooring; Den / family room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#198 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Hamburg School District (town): math 24% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #187 of 238 in AR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Ashley County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $90k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.86%
Cash-on-cash
12.75%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$105,336
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
303 E 3rd Ave 0.15mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,605 (+1%) 20mo $106,500 $66 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$23,716
Equity at exit
$40,468
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
3.64×
Total profit
$66,558
Equity at exit
$62,366

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71663

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,126 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$38
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$201

Break-even live

Break-even rent $871
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $263 -5% $232 +0% $201 +5% $170 +10% $139
Rent -10% $112 -5% $157 +0% $201 +5% $246 +10% $290
Rate -1.0pp $247 -0.5pp $224 base $201 +0.5pp $178 +1.0pp $154

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-05-16
    listed $90,000 New Listing
  6. 2018-11-28
    soldstatus $45,000
  7. 2010-07-19
    soldstatus $45,000
  8. 2008-04-14
    soldstatus $48,000
  9. 2008-02-28
    soldstatus $25,000
  10. 1998-02-17
    soldstatus $38,000
  11. 1994-06-01
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,514
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$1,248
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,081
− Management
−$1,081
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$1,094
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$263
After-tax cash flow
$2,152/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamburg School District
NCES district ID
0500042
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,669
Composite
20.69/100
National rank
#8527
State rank
#187 of 238 in AR

Livability — Portland

Score
63/100
State rank
#198
US rank
#15613

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Portland, AR
Population (ZIP)
507

Population outlook (Ashley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,757 people
By 2030
17,541 · -6.5%
By 2040
15,243 · -18.7%
By 2050
13,136 · -30.0%
By 2075
8,901 · -52.5%
By 2100
5,626 · -70.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 6% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Ashley

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.2% · R 73.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.9pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+43.2 2016: R+36.5 2012: R+25.4 2008: R+28.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $90,000 CARMLS
  • 2018-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2010-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2008-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2008-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1998-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 1994-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+135.5%/yr

Latest (2022): $8 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…