800 N 4th St · Sanger, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment or starter opportunity! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with 1,254 sq ft, built in 1941. Features separate living and dining areas and is located in a desirable area of Sanger. Vacant and ready for updates or immediate use.
Key facts
- 8,756 sq ft lot
- Built 1941
- Listed 63 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.6% in Sanger — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#958 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Sanger ISD (rural): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #281 of 826 in TX (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 322 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.57%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $235,738
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -19.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603 N 4th St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,253 (-0%) | 10mo | $255,000 | $204 | 80 |
| 700 Elm St | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 | 1,227 (-2%) | 10mo | $244,000 | $199 | 74 |
| 908 N 8th St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+0%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $187 | 74 |
| 102 E Willow St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,276 (+2%) | 2mo | $259,000 | $203 | 62 |
| 928 W Willow St | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,316 (+5%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $148 | 61 |
| 703 Peach St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,119 (-11%) | 7mo | $239,900 | $214 | 58 |
| 509 Marshall St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,092 (-13%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $133 | 49 |
| 908 Church St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+4%) | 13mo | $279,000 | $215 | 44 |
| 609 S 3rd St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-4%) | 11mo | $350,000 | $292 | 42 |
| 607 S 2nd St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (-7%) | 8mo | $269,000 | $230 | 41 |
| 111 Arrowhead Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,367 (+9%) | 12mo | $292,000 | $214 | 40 |
| 1147 Serendipity Cir | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,370 (+9%) | 10mo | $283,900 | $207 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-24,990
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-25,593
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76266
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 322
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,802 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,282/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $158
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 909 N 6th St Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 105 S 3rd St Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 203 W Willow St Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1135 | $1,650 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2014 Jackson LN Sanger, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1136 | $1,866 | $1.64 | 1d | 40 | 0.63mi |
| 204 Hillcrest St Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,875 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 202 Carolyn Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,581 | $1.25 | 7d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4929 Sanger Circle Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1481 | $1,795 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5000 Villas Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5002 Villas Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 108 Magnolia Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1653 | $2,010 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5018 Villas Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1485 | $1,945 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1806 Sand Stone Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2012 Benjamin Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $2,095 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2029 Laney Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1213 | $2,000 | $1.65 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4807 Avion Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1834 | $2,450 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 821 Vernon Ct Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1077 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1102 First St Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,999 | $1.44 | 3d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 11501 Marion Rd Sanger, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 899 | $1,310 | $1.46 | 1d | 10 | 1.22mi |
| 114 Southmanor Ct Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,675 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4601 Avion Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1589 | $1,995 | $1.26 | 10d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 140 Ringneck Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $1,785 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 102 Preston Dr Unit PREST102 Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,479 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4001 Avion Dr Sanger, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1866 | $1,995 | $1.07 | 11d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $189,900 Pending 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active Option Contract 62 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,900 Active Option Contract 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active Option Contract 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active Option Contract 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active Option Contract 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active Option Contract 55 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $189,900 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great investment or starter opportunity! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with 1,254 sq ft, built in 1941. Features separate living and dining areas and is located in a desirable area of Sanger. Vacant and ready for updates or immediate use.
-
2026-04-06$200,000 Active 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great investment or starter opportunity! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with 1,254 sq ft, built in 1941. Features separate living and dining areas and is located in a desirable area of Sanger. Vacant and ready for updates or immediate use.
-
1990-05-22soldstatus
-
1987-04-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,282 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,475 · $290/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,194/yr (+$99/mo · 52.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,622
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,282
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,730
- − Management
- −$1,730
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$1,230
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$295
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,195/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sanger ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4839180
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,803
- Composite
- 37.76/100
- National rank
- #4349
- State rank
- #281 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sanger
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #958
- US rank
- #16973
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sanger, TX
- County
- Denton County · 901,654 people
- City population
- 18,155
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,155
- Household income
- $99,425
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 325.0
Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,053,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,192,269 · +13.2%
- By 2040
- 1,472,920 · +39.9%
- By 2050
- 1,746,506 · +65.9%
- By 2075
- 2,358,497 · +124.0%
- By 2100
- 2,779,183 · +163.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Denton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.07%
- Current HPI
- 284.2146
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.57%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-5.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $189,900 NTREIS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $200,000 NTREIS
- 1990-05-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1987-04-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,282 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…