887 Brandy Oaks Ln · Redan, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful Townhome close to everything. Perfect for the professional looking to get ahead. Investors welcome.
Key facts
- $70 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $97k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $97k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 5.3% in Redan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#274 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $97k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.15%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $151,696
- List price
- $97,000
- Delta
- -36.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 814 Heritage Oaks Dr | 0.16mi | 2/2.5 | 1,028 (-2%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $146 | 79 |
| 883 Heritage Oaks Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,160 (+11%) | 11mo | $190,000 | $164 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $17,455
- Equity at exit
- $14,463
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $61,489
- Equity at exit
- $8,387
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30088
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,597 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,697/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$70
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $501
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $556 | -5% $529 | +0% $501 | +5% $474 | +10% $446 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $375 | -5% $438 | +0% $501 | +5% $564 | +10% $627 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $550 | -0.5pp $526 | base $501 | +0.5pp $476 | +1.0pp $451 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 869 Heritage Oaks Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,199 | $0.86 | 0d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 924 Lake Drive Ter Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,670 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5035 Martins Crossing Rd Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,550 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4899 Hairston Pl Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $1,981 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 841 Arbor Ct Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,845 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4813 Hairston Pl Stone Mountain, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,400 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 905 Hemingway Rd Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,625 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1038 S Hairston Rd Stone Mountain, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $1,092 | $1.20 | 6d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1127 Mainstreet Valley Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,681 | $1.57 | 0d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5165 Fairforest Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,695 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1163 Mainstreet Valley Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,476 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5482 Martins Crossing Rd Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $1,575 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1183 Mill Lake Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $1,751 | $1.28 | 6d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1228 Mill Lake Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,645 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 982 Chapman Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $2,000 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1401 Mill Lake Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,675 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1373 Mill Lake Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,738 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4935 Millstone Walk Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $1,950 | $1.56 | 6d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1247 Adcox Rd Stone Mountain, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 919 | $1,259 | $1.37 | 2d | 10 | 0.98mi |
| 5349 Tracey Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,975 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5349 Tracey Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,975 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1420 S Hairston Rd Stone Mountain, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1011 | $1,358 | $1.34 | 20d | 31 | 1.19mi |
| 4625 High Collier Walk Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 12d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4631 Garden Hills Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,671 | $1.21 | 18d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 478 Prince of Wales Stone Mountain, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,475 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 421 Prince of Wales Stone Mountain, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1036 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1217 To Lani Path Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,754 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $70 · $840/yr
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $97,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $97,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $97,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $97,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $97,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $98,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $98,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $98,000 109-char remark
Show marketing remark (109 chars)
Wonderful Townhome close to everything. Perfect for the professional looking to get ahead. Investors welcome.
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-12-04price $105,000
-
2025-10-28price $110,000
-
2025-09-01$99,999 New 109-char remark
Show marketing remark (109 chars)
Wonderful Townhome close to everything. Perfect for the professional looking to get ahead. Investors welcome.
-
2025-09-01$125,000 New
Show marketing remark (109 chars)
Wonderful Townhome close to everything. Perfect for the professional looking to get ahead. Investors welcome.
-
2016-12-23soldstatus $45,000
-
2016-12-22soldstatus $45,000 Sold
-
2016-12-22soldstatus $45,000 Sold
-
2016-12-21status Under Contract
-
2016-12-21historical Pending
-
2016-11-04price $45,000
-
2016-11-04price $45,000
-
2016-09-24price $49,900
-
2016-09-24price $49,900
-
2016-08-23price $52,900
-
2016-08-23price $52,900
-
2016-08-05$54,500 New
-
2016-08-03$54,500 Active
-
2015-10-30price $28,000
-
2015-01-26soldstatus $28,000 Sold
-
2015-01-07status Under Contract
-
2015-01-07price $33,000
-
2014-12-02status Back On Market
-
2014-11-24status Under Contract
-
2014-11-14$33,000 New
-
2008-04-29soldstatus $43,000
-
2007-12-04$48,000
-
2005-05-06soldstatus $52,500
-
1997-12-29soldstatus $58,600
-
1996-06-03soldstatus $48,600
-
1996-06-03soldstatus $52,900
-
1991-09-10soldstatus $52,466
-
1991-08-01soldstatus $52,400
-
1988-07-21soldstatus $57,000
-
1982-10-26soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,697 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,697 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,167
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$1,697
- − Insurance
- −$485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,533
- − Management
- −$1,533
- − HOA
- −$840
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable income
- $4,823
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,157
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,858/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dekalb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301740
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,448
- Composite
- 20.92/100
- National rank
- #8482
- State rank
- #125 of 174 in GA
Livability — Redan
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #14766
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Dekalb County · 782,738 people
- City population
- 29,279
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,240
- Household income
- $70,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1106.0
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 839,977 people
- By 2030
- 891,768 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 988,894 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 1,074,583 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 1,245,026 · +48.2%
- By 2100
- 1,303,135 · +55.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 84% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -169.92%
- Current HPI
- 206.5421
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.72%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+108.5% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $98,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $105,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $110,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $99,999 GAMLS
- 2016-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2016-12-22 Sold (MLS) $45,000 GAMLS
- 2016-12-22 Sold (MLS) $45,000 FMLS
- 2016-12-21 Pending — GAMLS
- 2016-12-21 Contingent — FMLS
- 2016-11-04 Price Changed $45,000 GAMLS
- 2016-11-04 Price Changed $45,000 FMLS
- 2016-09-24 Price Changed $49,900 GAMLS
- 2016-09-24 Price Changed $49,900 FMLS
- 2016-08-23 Price Changed $52,900 GAMLS
- 2016-08-23 Price Changed $52,900 FMLS
- 2016-08-05 Listed $54,500 GAMLS
- 2016-08-03 Listed $54,500 FMLS
- 2015-10-30 Price Changed $28,000 GAMLS
- 2015-01-26 Sold (MLS) $28,000 GAMLS
- 2015-01-07 Pending — GAMLS
- 2015-01-07 Price Changed $33,000 GAMLS
- 2014-12-02 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2014-11-24 Pending — GAMLS
- 2014-11-14 Listed $33,000 GAMLS
- 2008-04-29 Sold (MLS) $43,000 FMLS
- 2007-12-04 Listed $48,000 FMLS
- 2005-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
- 1997-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $58,600 Public Records
- 1996-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $52,900 Public Records
- 1996-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $48,600 Public Records
- 1991-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $52,466 Public Records
- 1991-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,400 Public Records
- 1988-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 1982-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,697 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…