CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
506 N 21st St
C Composite 58.76
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

506 N 21st St · Lamesa, TX 79331
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,632 sqft · SingleFamily · 4 Days on market
Built 1978 Good condition 9,017 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great home situated on a spacious corner lot featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage! This well-maintained property offers two living areas, providing plenty of space for relaxing or entertaining. Recent updates include a new roof, brand new luxury vinyl flooring, and fresh paint throughout. The large kitchen offers ample space for cooking and gathering with family and friends. Step outside to enjoy the spacious backyard complete with a storage/workshop area in the back perfect for hobbies, extra storage, or projects. Call today to schedule your private tour!

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Two living areas
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTTWO LIVING AREASNEW ROOFLUXURY VINYL FLOORINGSPACIOUS BACKYARDSTORAGE WORKSHOP AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Standard utilities (water, sewer, power not specifically detailed)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Updated/remodeled; Corner lot
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in -- year not provided
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Exterior storage; Workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Microwave; Range
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling components
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Kitchen island; Storage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#445 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Lamesa ISD (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #755 of 826 in TX (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1 units permitted in Dawson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.91%
Cash-on-cash
9.35%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,104
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$21,535
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79331

Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,554 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $388 -5% $341 +0% $294 +5% $248 +10% $201
Rent -10% $172 -5% $233 +0% $294 +5% $356 +10% $417
Rate -1.0pp $362 -0.5pp $329 base $294 +0.5pp $259 +1.0pp $224

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
803 N 18th St Lamesa, TX 3.0 2.0 1539 $1,600 $1.04 45d 1 0.33mi
214 N 23rd St Lamesa, TX 3.0 2.0 1962 $1,500 $0.76 45d 1 0.34mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    status $135,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    remarks 579-char remark
  6. 2026-05-31
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,643
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,491
− Management
−$1,491
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$1,471
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$353
After-tax cash flow
$3,180/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained home with recent updates and a spacious yard is ready for a new owner. Minor cosmetic improvements can further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans — Modernizes and improves air circulation

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans — Modernizes and improves air circulation

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lamesa ISD
NCES district ID
4826610
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,346
Composite
18.85/100
National rank
#8862
State rank
#755 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lamesa

Score
69/100
State rank
#445
US rank
#9067

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lamesa, TX
Population (ZIP)
11,751

Population outlook (Dawson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,411 people
By 2030
12,268 · -1.2%
By 2040
12,260 · -1.2%
By 2050
12,117 · -2.4%
By 2075
11,504 · -7.3%
By 2100
10,176 · -18.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 34% Two or more races 24% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 52%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Polish 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 32% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Dawson

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.0% · R 80.0%
2008→2024 swing
-18.2pp toward R · 2008: -42.8pp · 2024: -61.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.0 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+50.6 2012: R+43.2 2008: R+42.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.06%
Current HPI
135.9298
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $135,000 LARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…