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3 Birchwood Ct Unit 5O
C Composite 58.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$355,000

3 Birchwood Ct Unit 5O · Mineola, NY 11501
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · Condo · 18 Days on market
Built 1960 $444/sqft · 10% below area Est $397k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move Right in to This Beautiful 1 Bedroom TOP FLOOR Apartment in Birchwood Court! Enjoy Courtyard Views from your Living Room. This Spacious Apartment has an Open Concept Floorplan, perfect for Everyday Living or Entertaining. The apartment has an Updated Kitchen and Bathroom and Recessed lighting. Natural Light Fills this Apartment and Tons of Closet space too! The Apartment is Located in a 24-hr Gated Community and in Close Proximity to the LIRR, NYU Langone Winthrop Hospital, Roosevelt Fields Mall, Shopping and Restaurants. A Commuter's Delight. Apartment comes with a Transferrable Parking Spot!! Don't miss this one!, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent

Key facts

  • Black appliances
  • Quartz countertops
  • White cabinets

Tags

SUNSET VIEWSRENOVATED KITCHENWHITE CABINETSSUBWAY TILE BACKSPLASHBLACK APPLIANCESQUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Gated community

Exterior

  • Parking: One assigned parking space; Monthly parking fee
  • Security: Building security; Gated community; Security gate; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (PSEG); Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Stock cooperative; Top floor location; One level; Five total stories; Entry level 5
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Courtyard; Gazebo; Outdoor space

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Includes a first-floor bedroom
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bath; Ceiling fans; Entrance foyer; Open floor plan; Pantry; Quartz/Quartzite counters; Walk-in closet(s); Accessible approach with ramp; Bicycle room; Outdoor space; Updated/remodeled condition
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $355k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $355k).
  • Recommended offer: $350k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.7% in Mineola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in NY, #868 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Mineola Union Free School District (suburban): math 71% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #113 of 590 in NY (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Jackson Avenue School (math 63% / reading 70%, grade B+, #575 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 417 students, 27% FRL); Mineola Middle School (math 66% / reading 57%, grade B+, #147 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 636 students, 32% FRL); Mineola High School (math 92% / reading 80%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,078 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($138k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($350k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $275k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $349,675 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.26%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$396,506
List price
$355,000
Delta
-10.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-28,177
Equity at exit
$52,932
10-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$33,776
Equity at exit
$30,694

Cash invested: $99,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11501

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,552 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,862
Tax est. 1.5%
$444 /mo · $5,325/yr
Insurance
$148
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$746
Net cashflow
$353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,105
Max offer price $355,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$88,750
Closing costs
$10,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1 3rd St Unit 921 Mineola, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $3,750 $5.36 44d 1 0.05mi
1 3rd St Unit 1033 Mineola, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $3,900 $5.57 44d 1 0.05mi
78 Roslyn Rd Unit 202 Mineola, NY 1.0 1.0 1050 $2,950 $2.81 4d 1 0.16mi
140 Old Country Rd Mineola, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 912 $3,574 $3.92 1d 13 0.23mi
162 2nd St Unit 4 Mineola, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $3,600 $4.80 12d 1 0.29mi
101 Searing Ave Unit 301 Mineola, NY 1.0 1.0 1093 $4,600 $4.21 44d 1 0.31mi
101 Searing Ave Unit 210 Mineola, NY 1.0 1.0 1085 $4,900 $4.52 44d 1 0.31mi
101 Searing Ave Unit 502 Mineola, NY 1.0 1.0 998 $4,400 $4.41 11d 1 0.31mi
119 Searing Ave Mineola, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 946 $4,028 $4.26 1d 13 0.32mi
116 Searing Ave Unit PHN418 Mineola, NY 1.0 1.0 831 $4,215 $5.07 5d 1 0.34mi
116 Searing Ave Unit N322 Mineola, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $4,435 $4.03 2d 1 0.34mi
101 Clinton Ave Unit 1G Mineola, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,500 $3.33 44d 1 0.39mi
147 Main St Unit 3B Mineola, NY 1.0 1.0 1100 $3,300 $3.00 44d 1 0.39mi
1 3rd Ave Mineola, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1140 $4,550 $3.99 1d 5 0.46mi
160 Garfield Ave Unit 1 Mineola, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $3,450 $3.45 13d 1 0.46mi
100 Lincoln Ave Apt 14A Mineola, NY 1.0 1.0 900 $2,998 $3.33 24d 1 0.49mi
203 Willis Ave Apt 3E Mineola, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $2,200 $3.38 44d 1 0.50mi
2 Laurel Dr Mineola, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 641 $2,848 $4.44 1d 15 0.51mi
101 Jackson Ave Unit 2G Mineola, NY 2.0 1.0 969 $3,250 $3.35 24d 1 0.53mi
269 Willis Ave Unit N Mineola, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,500 $3.33 13d 1 0.68mi
365 Stewart Ave Garden City, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1034 $3,220 $3.11 1d 1 0.93mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
security
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 758-char remark
  2. 2026-04-20
    listed $355,000 Active 758-char remark
  3. 2023-08-31
    soldstatus $275,000 Closed 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    Move Right in to This Beautiful 1 Bedroom TOP FLOOR Apartment in Birchwood Court! Enjoy Courtyard Views from your Living Room. This Spacious Apartment has an Open Concept Floorplan, perfect for Everyday Living or Entertaining. The apartment has an Updated Kitchen and Bathroom and Recessed lighting. Natural Light Fills this Apartment and Tons of Closet space too! The Apartment is Located in a 24-hr Gated Community and in Close Proximity to the LIRR, NYU Langone Winthrop Hospital, Roosevelt Fields Mall, Shopping and Restaurants. A Commuter's Delight. Apartment comes with a Transferrable Parking Spot!! Don't miss this one!, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent

  4. 2023-05-30
    status Pending 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    Move Right in to This Beautiful 1 Bedroom TOP FLOOR Apartment in Birchwood Court! Enjoy Courtyard Views from your Living Room. This Spacious Apartment has an Open Concept Floorplan, perfect for Everyday Living or Entertaining. The apartment has an Updated Kitchen and Bathroom and Recessed lighting. Natural Light Fills this Apartment and Tons of Closet space too! The Apartment is Located in a 24-hr Gated Community and in Close Proximity to the LIRR, NYU Langone Winthrop Hospital, Roosevelt Fields Mall, Shopping and Restaurants. A Commuter's Delight. Apartment comes with a Transferrable Parking Spot!! Don't miss this one!, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent

  5. 2023-05-18
    listed $269,000 Active 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    Move Right in to This Beautiful 1 Bedroom TOP FLOOR Apartment in Birchwood Court! Enjoy Courtyard Views from your Living Room. This Spacious Apartment has an Open Concept Floorplan, perfect for Everyday Living or Entertaining. The apartment has an Updated Kitchen and Bathroom and Recessed lighting. Natural Light Fills this Apartment and Tons of Closet space too! The Apartment is Located in a 24-hr Gated Community and in Close Proximity to the LIRR, NYU Langone Winthrop Hospital, Roosevelt Fields Mall, Shopping and Restaurants. A Commuter's Delight. Apartment comes with a Transferrable Parking Spot!! Don't miss this one!, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent

  6. 2023-05-17
    historical $269,000 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    Move Right in to This Beautiful 1 Bedroom TOP FLOOR Apartment in Birchwood Court! Enjoy Courtyard Views from your Living Room. This Spacious Apartment has an Open Concept Floorplan, perfect for Everyday Living or Entertaining. The apartment has an Updated Kitchen and Bathroom and Recessed lighting. Natural Light Fills this Apartment and Tons of Closet space too! The Apartment is Located in a 24-hr Gated Community and in Close Proximity to the LIRR, NYU Langone Winthrop Hospital, Roosevelt Fields Mall, Shopping and Restaurants. A Commuter's Delight. Apartment comes with a Transferrable Parking Spot!! Don't miss this one!, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,620
− Mortgage interest
−$19,886
− Property taxes
−$5,325
− Insurance
−$1,775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,410
− Management
−$3,410
− Depreciation
−$10,327
Taxable loss
−$1,512
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$363
After-tax cash flow
$4,593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mineola Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3619500
Math proficiency
71% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$84,012
Composite
62.64/100
National rank
#676
State rank
#113 of 590 in NY

Livability — Mineola

Score
83/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#868

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mineola, NY
County
Nassau County · 653,051 people
City population
21,641
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
21,641
Household income
$137,665
Rent vs Own
31.3% rent · 68.7% own
Severe rent burden
489.0

Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,409,302 people
By 2030
1,431,482 · +1.6%
By 2040
1,471,607 · +4.4%
By 2050
1,502,845 · +6.6%
By 2075
1,575,403 · +11.8%
By 2100
1,554,356 · +10.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Russian 6% Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
62% English-only · Other Indo-European 12% Spanish 11% Chinese 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Nassau

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -600.19%
Current HPI
327.4674
Rent YoY
▲ 4.88%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+32.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $355,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-31 Sold (MLS) $275,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-30 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-18 Listed $269,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-17 Coming Soon $269,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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