Duplex
70 N Lake Ave · Albany, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
MULTIPLE OFFERS due 5pm 9/14/20. No more showings.Needs total rehab, Sold "as is" zoned commercial with commercial on first floor, 3 Br apt on second floor. Great opportunity for local based business with residence on premises. Or rent 2nd floor for additional income. Full basement. half bath on first floor. Enter at your own risk.
Key facts
- New furnace
- New kitchens
- New appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit property
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Rubber roof
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Other exterior features
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms total (Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 2 full baths)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $188/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $315k).
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albany City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,231/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2035% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $315k implies a 800% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.11%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,002
- List price
- $315,000
- Delta
- 76.47%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 Bradford St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-1%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $106 | 78 |
| 97 West St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,760 (+9%) | 6mo | $187,000 | $106 | 69 |
| 376 1st St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 1,680 (+4%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $60 | 66 |
| 320 1st St | 0.40mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,638 (+2%) | 10mo | $213,000 | $130 | 65 |
| 596 Livingston Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,584 (-2%) | 3mo | $148,000 | $93 | 64 |
| 178 Spring St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,524 (-5%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $128 | 62 |
| 14 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,600 (-1%) | 13mo | $110,000 | $69 | 53 |
| 40 Spring St | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,716 (+7%) | 14mo | $221,100 | $129 | 41 |
| 307 Orange St | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,750 (+9%) | 17mo | $90,000 | $51 | 36 |
| 605 3rd St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,792 (+11%) | 14mo | $152,000 | $85 | 33 |
| 555 2nd St | 0.50mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,402 (-13%) | 17mo | $145,000 | $103 | 32 |
| 497 Morris St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 1,373 (-15%) | 21mo | $165,000 | $120 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-19,186
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $48,268
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12206
- Home prices YoY
- -9.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 16.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,231 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$394 /mo · $4,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$679
- Net cashflow
- $376
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $593 | -5% $484 | +0% $376 | +5% $267 | +10% $158 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $120 | -5% $248 | +0% $376 | +5% $503 | +10% $631 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $534 | -0.5pp $456 | base $376 | +0.5pp $294 | +1.0pp $211 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $3,232 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,616 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,616 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,231 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147 Western Ave Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 16d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 178 Western Ave Unit 3 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,725 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 223 Western Ave #1 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 58 Elberon Pl Apt 2 Albany, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 569 Washington Ave Unit 1st Floor Albany, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $2,000 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 273 Western Ave Unit 3 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 433 Hamilton St Unit 1 Albany, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 437 Hamilton St Unit 2 Albany, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 257 Quail St Albany, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2208 | $2,800 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 489 Hamilton St Unit 1 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 16d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 830 Madison Ave Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,700 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 520 Madison Ave Unit 1 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 673 Myrtle Ave Albany, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $2,400 | $2.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 88 Willett St Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $2,080 | $2.52 | 16d | 10 | 0.68mi |
| 614 Park Ave Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $2,500 | $2.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 282 Livingston Ave Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1464 | $2,400 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 546 Mercer St Unit 1 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 602 Morris St Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $1,850 | $1.46 | 16d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 21 Woodlawn Ave Unit 3RDFL Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 21 Woodlawn Ave Unit 3rd floor Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 346 Madison Ave Albany, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,495 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 346 Madison Ave Unit 3 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,725 | $2.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 32 Peyster St Unit 2nd Albany, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 52 Grove Ave Albany, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 201 Park Ave Unit 10 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 32 1st St Albany, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1773 | $1,850 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 11 King Ave Unit 2 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 104 S Main Ave Unit 1 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,600 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 38 W Erie St Albany, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,800 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 78 S Pine Ave Unit 2 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1541 | $2,350 | $1.52 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 135 Winthrop Ave Albany, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1788 | $3,500 | $1.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 30 Cardinal Ave Albany, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1529 | $2,800 | $1.83 | 46d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 119 Grand St Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-21remarks 280-char remark
-
2026-06-21days on market $315,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $315,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $315,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $315,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-15remarks 248-char remark
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2026-06-15pricedays on market $315,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $330,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $330,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $330,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $330,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $330,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-18price $330,000 221-char remark
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2026-04-21$339,000 Active 221-char remark
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2021-02-11soldstatus $35,000 Closed (Final Sale) 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
MULTIPLE OFFERS due 5pm 9/14/20. No more showings.Needs total rehab, Sold "as is" zoned commercial with commercial on first floor, 3 Br apt on second floor. Great opportunity for local based business with residence on premises. Or rent 2nd floor for additional income. Full basement. half bath on first floor. Enter at your own risk.
-
2020-09-17status Pend (Under Cntr) 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
MULTIPLE OFFERS due 5pm 9/14/20. No more showings.Needs total rehab, Sold "as is" zoned commercial with commercial on first floor, 3 Br apt on second floor. Great opportunity for local based business with residence on premises. Or rent 2nd floor for additional income. Full basement. half bath on first floor. Enter at your own risk.
-
2020-09-10$29,900 New 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
MULTIPLE OFFERS due 5pm 9/14/20. No more showings.Needs total rehab, Sold "as is" zoned commercial with commercial on first floor, 3 Br apt on second floor. Great opportunity for local based business with residence on premises. Or rent 2nd floor for additional income. Full basement. half bath on first floor. Enter at your own risk.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,772
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$4,725
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,102
- − Management
- −$3,102
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$540
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$130
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,637/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albany City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,568
- Composite
- 32.34/100
- National rank
- #5744
- State rank
- #543 of 590 in NY
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #2083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albany, NY
- County
- Albany County · 196,626 people
- City population
- 116,921
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,572
- Household income
- $41,548
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2035.0
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 38% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 12% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.24%
- Current HPI
- 275.8109
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.37%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+953.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $315,000 Global MLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $330,000 Global MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $339,000 Global MLS
- 2021-02-11 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Global MLS
- 2020-09-17 Pending — Global MLS
- 2020-09-10 Listed $29,900 Global MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…