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106 Rosser Ave
C Composite 55.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

106 Rosser Ave · Bismarck, ND 58501
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 749 sqft · Other · 2 Days on market
Built 1980 0.41 ac lot $144/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • $144 HOA
  • Built 1980
  • Listed 2 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $144 monthly fee; HOA covers insurance, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, and snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Additional parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential condominium
  • Construction: Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Shingle roof; Irregular lot; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Range hood; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher (disposal listed separately)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Exhaust fan for ventilation; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Private entrance; Disposal; Exhaust fan
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.1% in Bismarck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in ND, #2,213 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Bismarck 1 (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #25 of 53 in ND (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Becep Center (332 students, 0% FRL); Wachter Middle School (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #26 of 35 statewide, top 79%, 1,000 students, 30% FRL); Bismarck High School (math 22% / reading 38%, grade F, #90 of 144 statewide, top 66%, 1,333 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 259 units permitted in Burleigh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burleigh County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $84,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
7.65%
Cash-on-cash
4.84%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,019
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$31,694
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58501

Rents YoY
10.8%
Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,046 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$144
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $925
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $155 -5% $125 +0% $96 +5% $67 +10% $37
Rent -10% $13 -5% $55 +0% $96 +5% $137 +10% $179
Rate -1.0pp $139 -0.5pp $117 base $96 +0.5pp $74 +1.0pp $51

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
120 East Avenue A Apt D Bismarck, ND 1.0 1.0 515 $1,195 $2.32 23d 1 0.10mi
500 N 3rd St Apt 324 Bismarck, ND 1.0 1.0 611 $1,100 $1.80 23d 1 0.15mi
1110 W Capitol Ave Bismarck, ND 1.0–2.0 1.0 818 $890 $1.09 23d 9 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$144 · $1,728/yr

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-14
    listed $84,900 Active
  3. 2013-06-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,556
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,274
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,004
− Management
−$1,004
− HOA
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable loss
−$105
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$25
After-tax cash flow
$1,175/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bismarck 1
NCES district ID
3800014
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$60,649
Composite
36.76/100
National rank
#4577
State rank
#25 of 53 in ND

Livability — Bismarck

Score
79/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#2213

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bismarck, ND
County
Burleigh County · 97,300 people
City population
97,300
Metro
Bismarck, ND
Population (ZIP)
29,405
Household income
$68,755
Rent vs Own
37.3% rent · 62.7% own
Severe rent burden
865.0

Population outlook (Burleigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
119,359 people
By 2030
133,047 · +11.5%
By 2040
161,545 · +35.3%
By 2050
191,960 · +60.8%
By 2075
274,569 · +130.0%
By 2100
350,910 · +194.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Native American 5% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Burleigh

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.2) · D 27.5% · R 70.7% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-19.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.6pp · 2024: -43.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.2 2020: R+40.2 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+23.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -260.24%
Current HPI
218.67
Rent YoY
▲ 10.82%
Metro
Bismarck, ND
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending GNMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $84,900 GNMLS
  • 2013-06-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-15.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $110 · -91.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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