206 W 8th St · Venus, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy three (3) bedroom, one (1) bath property within walking distance of all four Venus schools. Large living room, storm windows, and Kenmore appliances are just a few of the amenities. Sit on the huge front porch (two fans) and entertain family and friends. Huge pecan trees surround the property and yard space is plentiful.
Key facts
- Brand new plumbing
- Brand new doors
- Brand new electric
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No known restrictions
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Covered parking (2 spaces); Carport (2 spaces); Driveway with concrete surface
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; All weather road access
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Property attached: Yes
- Construction: Built in 1940; Board & batten siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Covered porch(es); Exterior lighting; Chain link and partial wood fencing; Corner lot with few trees and level terrain
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry and walk-in pantry; Water line to refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom with ensuite bath; Secondary bedrooms include walk-in closet
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Ensuite bath with separate shower
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Cable TV available; High speed internet available; 7 total rooms; 1 living area; 1 dining area; One-level home
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($912/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (9.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.0% in Venus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#356 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Venus ISD (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #646 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Venus El (math 27% / reading 30%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 658 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 60% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
- Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.39%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $258,669
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -9.15%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 S Main St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+3%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $174 | 74 |
| 205 Vista Ridge Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+4%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $183 | 68 |
| 407 Cotton Bend Trl | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,359 (-2%) | 16mo | $269,000 | $198 | 61 |
| 305 Newfield St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+4%) | 11mo | $279,000 | $192 | 60 |
| 402 Harvest Hill Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,379 (-1%) | 21mo | $269,000 | $195 | 59 |
| 402 Wheat Valley Blvd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,358 (-2%) | 13mo | $275,000 | $203 | 57 |
| 304 Fairfield Ln | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,442 (+4%) | 22mo | $270,500 | $188 | 54 |
| 108 8th St Unit 108 | 0.14mi | 3/3.0 | 1,200 (-14%) | 15mo | $250,000 | $208 | 50 |
| 310 Newfield St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+4%) | 24mo | $279,000 | $192 | 47 |
| 1208 Calle Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+5%) | 14mo | $239,000 | $164 | 44 |
| 308 Fairfield Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,184 (-15%) | 18mo | $257,000 | $217 | 38 |
| 300 Newfield St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,183 (-15%) | 21mo | $255,000 | $216 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.32% appreciation · 2.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $90,272
- Equity at exit
- $167,795
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.89×
- Total profit
- $255,816
- Equity at exit
- $323,317
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76084
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 426
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,124 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$271 /mo · $3,256/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$446
- Net cashflow
- $76
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Hancock St Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1773 | $1,929 | $1.09 | 1d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 120 Mt Vernon Ln Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $2,149 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 131 Mt Vernon Ln Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $2,169 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 721 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,595 | $1.41 | 1d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 728 Fallow Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,795 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-04status $235,000 Pending 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $235,000 Active Option Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active Option Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active Option Contract 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active Option Contract 16 DOM
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2026-05-15$235,000 Active 875-char remark
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2024-09-24soldstatus
-
2014-06-27soldstatus
-
2014-06-13soldstatus Closed 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Cozy three (3) bedroom, one (1) bath property within walking distance of all four Venus schools. Large living room, storm windows, and Kenmore appliances are just a few of the amenities. Sit on the huge front porch (two fans) and entertain family and friends. Huge pecan trees surround the property and yard space is plentiful.
-
2014-05-12status Pending 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Cozy three (3) bedroom, one (1) bath property within walking distance of all four Venus schools. Large living room, storm windows, and Kenmore appliances are just a few of the amenities. Sit on the huge front porch (two fans) and entertain family and friends. Huge pecan trees surround the property and yard space is plentiful.
-
2014-05-03historical Active Option Contract 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Cozy three (3) bedroom, one (1) bath property within walking distance of all four Venus schools. Large living room, storm windows, and Kenmore appliances are just a few of the amenities. Sit on the huge front porch (two fans) and entertain family and friends. Huge pecan trees surround the property and yard space is plentiful.
-
2014-04-10$84,900 Active 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Cozy three (3) bedroom, one (1) bath property within walking distance of all four Venus schools. Large living room, storm windows, and Kenmore appliances are just a few of the amenities. Sit on the huge front porch (two fans) and entertain family and friends. Huge pecan trees surround the property and yard space is plentiful.
-
1987-06-16soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,256 · $271/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,300 · $358/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,044/yr (+$87/mo · 32.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,483
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$3,256
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,039
- − Management
- −$2,039
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$3,026
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$726
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,638/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Venus ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844010
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,394
- Composite
- 24.97/100
- National rank
- #7563
- State rank
- #646 of 826 in TX
Livability — Venus
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #356
- US rank
- #7724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Venus, TX
- County
- Johnson County · 147,987 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,097
- Household income
- $102,115
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 70.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,678 people
- By 2030
- 189,208 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 207,261 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 223,064 · +24.1%
- By 2075
- 259,979 · +44.7%
- By 2100
- 275,395 · +53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 24% Black 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.32%
- Current HPI
- 355.74
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.39%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+176.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-27 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $235,000 NTREIS
- 2024-09-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-06-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-06-13 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2014-05-12 Pending — NTREIS
- 2014-05-03 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2014-04-10 Listed $84,900 NTREIS
- 1987-06-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,256 · +79.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…