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35 Co Rd 1627
B Composite 72.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,999

35 Co Rd 1627 · Berlin, AL 35058
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Manufactured · 36 Days on market
Built 1995 0.54 ac lot $100/sqft · 37% below area Est $159k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a lot in Cullman Co? This half acre lot includes a storm shelter and the back yard is secluded by trees giving you some privacy. Power and water have been ran to the property.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • dining and schools
  • 0.54 acres

Tags

0.54 ACRESSPACIOUS YARDPEACEFUL COUNTRY SETTINGMINUTES FROM CULLMAN SHOPPING DINING AND SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Mobile home (residential); Single-story entry
  • Construction: Built on pillar/post/pier foundation; About 1,000 above-grade finished square feet
  • Exterior features: Lot roughly 0.54 acres; Lot dimensions approximately 228 x 105

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Interior features: Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.5% in Berlin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Welti Elementary School (math 2% / reading 42%, grade F, #437 of 627 statewide, top 70%, 211 students, 54% FRL); Holly Pond High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #169 of 305 statewide, top 59%, 278 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 21% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cullman County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $100k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,999 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.38%
Cash-on-cash
14.61%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$159,200
List price
$99,999
Delta
-37.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$5,531
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$32,859
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35058

Home prices YoY
-17.5%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,306 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $99,999
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,999 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,999 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,999 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,999 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,999 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,999 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,999 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,999 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,999 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,999 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,999 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,999 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,999 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,999 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,999 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,999 Active 16 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    listed $99,999 Active 543-char remark
  18. 2023-10-05
    soldstatus $20,000 Sold 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Looking for a lot in Cullman County? This property includes a storm shelter and trees provide privacy in the backyard. The mobile home is being sold as-is. Water and power have been run to the property.

  19. 2023-10-05
    soldstatus $20,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Looking for a lot in Cullman County? This property includes a storm shelter and trees provide privacy in the backyard. The mobile home is being sold as-is. Water and power have been run to the property.

  20. 2023-09-20
    status Pending 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Looking for a lot in Cullman County? This property includes a storm shelter and trees provide privacy in the backyard. The mobile home is being sold as-is. Water and power have been run to the property.

  21. 2023-09-20
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Looking for a lot in Cullman County? This property includes a storm shelter and trees provide privacy in the backyard. The mobile home is being sold as-is. Water and power have been run to the property.

  22. 2023-09-11
    listed $27,000 Active 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Looking for a lot in Cullman County? This property includes a storm shelter and trees provide privacy in the backyard. The mobile home is being sold as-is. Water and power have been run to the property.

  23. 2023-09-11
    listed $27,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Looking for a lot in Cullman County? This property includes a storm shelter and trees provide privacy in the backyard. The mobile home is being sold as-is. Water and power have been run to the property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,676
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,254
− Management
−$1,254
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$2,658
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$638
After-tax cash flow
$3,454/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cullman County
NCES district ID
0101020
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,449
Composite
28.39/100
National rank
#6767
State rank
#49 of 129 in AL

Livability — Berlin

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Berlin, AL
County
Cullman County · 47,767 people
Metro
Cullman, AL
Population (ZIP)
11,545
Household income
$62,146
Rent vs Own
25.6% rent · 74.4% own
Severe rent burden
87.0

Population outlook (Cullman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,522 people
By 2030
85,402 · +1.0%
By 2040
86,152 · +1.9%
By 2050
85,202 · +0.8%
By 2075
79,679 · -5.7%
By 2100
66,943 · -20.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cullman

2024 margin
Solid R (+80.5) · D 9.4% · R 89.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -80.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+80.5 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+77.8 2012: R+69.5 2008: R+65.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.88%
Current HPI
254.3583
Rent YoY
Metro
Cullman, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+270.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $99,999 SAARMLS
  • 2023-10-05 Sold (MLS) $20,000 SAARMLS
  • 2023-10-05 Sold (MLS) $20,000 VMLS
  • 2023-09-20 Pending VMLS
  • 2023-09-20 Pending SAARMLS
  • 2023-09-11 Listed $27,000 SAARMLS
  • 2023-09-11 Listed $27,000 VMLS

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $148 · -20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…