35 Co Rd 1627 · Berlin, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a lot in Cullman Co? This half acre lot includes a storm shelter and the back yard is secluded by trees giving you some privacy. Power and water have been ran to the property.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- dining and schools
- 0.54 acres
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Mobile home (residential); Single-story entry
- Construction: Built on pillar/post/pier foundation; About 1,000 above-grade finished square feet
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 0.54 acres; Lot dimensions approximately 228 x 105
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Interior features: Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.5% in Berlin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Welti Elementary School (math 2% / reading 42%, grade F, #437 of 627 statewide, top 70%, 211 students, 54% FRL); Holly Pond High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #169 of 305 statewide, top 59%, 278 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 21% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cullman County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $100k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.61%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,200
- List price
- $99,999
- Delta
- -37.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $5,531
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $32,859
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35058
- Home prices YoY
- -17.5%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,306 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $341
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,999 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,999 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,999 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,999 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-12$99,999 Active 543-char remark
-
2023-10-05soldstatus $20,000 Sold 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Looking for a lot in Cullman County? This property includes a storm shelter and trees provide privacy in the backyard. The mobile home is being sold as-is. Water and power have been run to the property.
-
2023-10-05soldstatus $20,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Looking for a lot in Cullman County? This property includes a storm shelter and trees provide privacy in the backyard. The mobile home is being sold as-is. Water and power have been run to the property.
-
2023-09-20status Pending 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Looking for a lot in Cullman County? This property includes a storm shelter and trees provide privacy in the backyard. The mobile home is being sold as-is. Water and power have been run to the property.
-
2023-09-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Looking for a lot in Cullman County? This property includes a storm shelter and trees provide privacy in the backyard. The mobile home is being sold as-is. Water and power have been run to the property.
-
2023-09-11$27,000 Active 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Looking for a lot in Cullman County? This property includes a storm shelter and trees provide privacy in the backyard. The mobile home is being sold as-is. Water and power have been run to the property.
-
2023-09-11$27,000 Active
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Looking for a lot in Cullman County? This property includes a storm shelter and trees provide privacy in the backyard. The mobile home is being sold as-is. Water and power have been run to the property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,676
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,601
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,254
- − Management
- −$1,254
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,658
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$638
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,454/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cullman County
- NCES district ID
- 0101020
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,449
- Composite
- 28.39/100
- National rank
- #6767
- State rank
- #49 of 129 in AL
Livability — Berlin
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berlin, AL
- County
- Cullman County · 47,767 people
- Metro
- Cullman, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,545
- Household income
- $62,146
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 87.0
Population outlook (Cullman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,522 people
- By 2030
- 85,402 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 86,152 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 85,202 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 79,679 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 66,943 · -20.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cullman
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+80.5) · D 9.4% · R 89.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -80.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+80.5 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+77.8 2012: R+69.5 2008: R+65.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.88%
- Current HPI
- 254.3583
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cullman, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+270.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $99,999 SAARMLS
- 2023-10-05 Sold (MLS) $20,000 SAARMLS
- 2023-10-05 Sold (MLS) $20,000 VMLS
- 2023-09-20 Pending — VMLS
- 2023-09-20 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2023-09-11 Listed $27,000 SAARMLS
- 2023-09-11 Listed $27,000 VMLS
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $148 · -20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…