7712 Terra Siesta Blvd · Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Bedroom Home in the Lovely 55+ Terra Siesta Community. Home is being Sold 'As Is'. Close to Shopping, Dr's Offices, Restaurants, Ellenton Outlet Mall, 301 & I75.
Key facts
- Oversized corner lot
- New drywall
- Two driveways
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Turnkey furnished; Public records living area 672 sq ft; Building area total 1,232 sq ft; Road surface: asphalt (public maintained road); Direction to property: US 301 to Terra Siesta Blvd; home on corner, up on left
- Financial info: Total annual fees $2,532; Lease/rent restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee $211 (includes pool); Association approval required; Clubhouse, pool, recreation facilities, pickleball and shuffleboard courts; Buyer approval required; Senior community; Golf carts allowed; Pets allowed with restrictions (cats and dogs; weight limit 25 lbs; number limit; breed restrictions)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Underground utilities; Water connected
- Home design: Mobile home (single wide); One story; Faces north; Entry level: One
- Construction: Metal siding; Roof over; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.12-acre lot
- Exterior features: Awning(s); Rain gutters
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $665 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 182 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $95k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.99%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $88,704
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3107 Darnea Ln | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 672 (0%) | 0mo | $89,000 | $132 | 92 |
| 7704 Terra Siesta Blvd | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 612 (-9%) | 2mo | $81,000 | $132 | 80 |
| 3102 Terra Siesta Blvd | 0.03mi | 2/1.5 | 768 (+14%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $104 | 72 |
| 3109 Cynthia Pl | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 600 (-11%) | 1mo | $87,000 | $145 | 71 |
| 3401 Glenda Ln | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 | 768 (+14%) | 10mo | $80,000 | $104 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $27,076
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.96×
- Total profit
- $78,610
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34222
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Active inventory
- 182
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,872 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $780/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$211
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $665
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5942 Factory Shops Blvd Ellenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $2,362 | $2.48 | 1d | 67 | 1.24mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $211 · $2,532/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-13$139,900 Active
-
2024-09-25soldstatus $40,000 Closed 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
2 Bedroom Home in the Lovely 55+ Terra Siesta Community. Home is being Sold 'As Is'. Close to Shopping, Dr's Offices, Restaurants, Ellenton Outlet Mall, 301 & I75.
-
2024-09-12status Pending 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
2 Bedroom Home in the Lovely 55+ Terra Siesta Community. Home is being Sold 'As Is'. Close to Shopping, Dr's Offices, Restaurants, Ellenton Outlet Mall, 301 & I75.
-
2024-09-07$75,000 Active 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
2 Bedroom Home in the Lovely 55+ Terra Siesta Community. Home is being Sold 'As Is'. Close to Shopping, Dr's Offices, Restaurants, Ellenton Outlet Mall, 301 & I75.
-
1992-12-16soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $780 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $788 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9/yr (+$1/mo · 1.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$780
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,797
- − Management
- −$1,797
- − HOA
- −$2,532
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $6,994
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,679
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,300/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bradenton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #1528
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 227,091
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,819
- Household income
- $64,355
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 313.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.75%
- Current HPI
- 293.2597
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+656.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-25 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-12 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-07 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $780 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…