1418 Park Ave · Hannibal, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don't miss this solid brick bungalow offering a fantastic opportunity for investors, or anyone looking to put their personal touch on a home. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a full basement, this classic bungalow has great bones and the kind of timeless curb appeal that's hard to find at this price point. The brick exterior means low long-term maintenance, and the full basement provides valuable additional storage or the potential for future finished space. A new roof and some cosmetic updating are needed, but the hard part is already done — the structure is there, the character is there, and the opportunity to create something truly special is waiting. Whether you're looking to
Key facts
- Brick bungalow
- Full basement
- 0.93 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private ownership; Living area reported as 962 (source: assessor); Lot approximately 0.926 acre
- Financial info: Lease not considered
- HOA & community: No HOA details provided
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Single phase electric; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($865 rent vs $25k).
- Cap rate 30.6% vs local median 3.4% in Hannibal — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#81 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
- Hannibal 60 (town): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #142 of 324 in MO (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: A. D. Stowell Elem. (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 209 students, 72% FRL); Hannibal Sr. High (math 29% / reading 37%, grade F, #351 of 521 statewide, top 68%, 1,052 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 86.70%
- DSCR
- 4.86
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 87.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.03×
- Total profit
- $28,176
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- 90.3%
- Equity multiple
- 10.44×
- Total profit
- $66,077
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63401
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $865 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $436/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$182
- Net cashflow
- $506
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-31status $25,000 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$25,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $436 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $436 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,383
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$436
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$831
- − Management
- −$831
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $6,034
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,448
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,621/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hannibal 60
- NCES district ID
- 2913650
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,349
- Composite
- 34.39/100
- National rank
- #5208
- State rank
- #142 of 324 in MO
Livability — Hannibal
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #81
- US rank
- #5358
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hannibal, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,125
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,640 people
- By 2030
- 28,432 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 27,597 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 26,203 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 21,931 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 15,765 · -45.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.1% · R 76.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -52.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+32.0 2008: R+23.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.01%
- Current HPI
- 189.6907
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $25,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $436 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…