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1418 Park Ave
B- Composite 69.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

1418 Park Ave · Hannibal, MO 63401
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 962 sqft · Other public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1928 0.93 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss this solid brick bungalow offering a fantastic opportunity for investors, or anyone looking to put their personal touch on a home. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a full basement, this classic bungalow has great bones and the kind of timeless curb appeal that's hard to find at this price point. The brick exterior means low long-term maintenance, and the full basement provides valuable additional storage or the potential for future finished space. A new roof and some cosmetic updating are needed, but the hard part is already done — the structure is there, the character is there, and the opportunity to create something truly special is waiting. Whether you're looking to

Key facts

  • Brick bungalow
  • Full basement
  • 0.93 acre lot

Tags

BRICK BUNGALOWFULL BASEMENTVALUABLE ADDITIONAL STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private ownership; Living area reported as 962 (source: assessor); Lot approximately 0.926 acre
  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: No HOA details provided

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Single phase electric; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($865 rent vs $25k).
  • Cap rate 30.6% vs local median 3.4% in Hannibal — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#81 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Hannibal 60 (town): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #142 of 324 in MO (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: A. D. Stowell Elem. (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 209 students, 72% FRL); Hannibal Sr. High (math 29% / reading 37%, grade F, #351 of 521 statewide, top 68%, 1,052 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $25,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.46%
Cap rate
30.57%
Cash-on-cash
86.70%
DSCR
4.86
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
87.2%
Equity multiple
5.03×
Total profit
$28,176
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
90.3%
Equity multiple
10.44×
Total profit
$66,077
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63401

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$865 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $436/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$182
Net cashflow
$506

Break-even live

Break-even rent $225
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $25,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-05-26
    listed $25,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$436 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$436 · $36/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,383
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$436
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$831
− Management
−$831
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$6,034
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,448
After-tax cash flow
$4,621/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hannibal 60
NCES district ID
2913650
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,349
Composite
34.39/100
National rank
#5208
State rank
#142 of 324 in MO

Livability — Hannibal

Score
73/100
State rank
#81
US rank
#5358

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hannibal, MO
Population (ZIP)
21,125

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,640 people
By 2030
28,432 · -0.7%
By 2040
27,597 · -3.6%
By 2050
26,203 · -8.5%
By 2075
21,931 · -23.4%
By 2100
15,765 · -45.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.1% · R 76.0%
2008→2024 swing
-29.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+32.0 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.01%
Current HPI
189.6907
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $25,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $436 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…