750 Lighthouse Dr #3313 · Ocean Acres, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- Cash flow +8.4/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$296,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into Coastal Woods, an exclusive community tailored for active adults aged 55 and above, where contemporary living takes on a fresh perspective. Nestled in the captivating landscapes of Barnegat, NJ, Coastal Woods offers a haven of sophistication and charm. Elevate your lifestyle by owning one of our 148 exceptional 1 and 2-bedroom condominiums, each designed to redefine not just your living space but your entire way of life. Experience the simplicity of hassle-free homeownership, turning every day into a rejuvenating escape. Immerse yourself in an array of community amenities meticulously crafted to enhance your daily routine.
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 27 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $297k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-264 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (15.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (20.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $236k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.3% in Ocean Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#425 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Barnegat Township School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #285 of 472 in NJ (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cecil S. Collins Elementary (784 students, 38% FRL); Russell O. Brackman Middle School (math 22% / reading 51%, grade F, #226 of 431 statewide, top 55%, 579 students, 33% FRL); Barnegat High School (math 20% / reading 45%, grade F, #265 of 399 statewide, top 67%, 983 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: 348 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($293k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.82%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $318,469
- List price
- $296,990
- Delta
- -6.74%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1113 | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 963 (-3%) | 9mo | $269,990 | $280 | 82 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1201 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 963 (-3%) | 12mo | $274,990 | $286 | 81 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1313 | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 963 (-3%) | 11mo | $279,990 | $291 | 80 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1108 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,095 (+10%) | 1mo | $311,990 | $285 | 74 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1102 | 0.08mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-14%) | 9mo | $234,990 | $275 | 60 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1202 | 0.08mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-14%) | 9mo | $239,990 | $281 | 60 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1302 | 0.02mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-14%) | 12mo | $229,990 | $270 | 60 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1307 | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-14%) | 10mo | $239,990 | $281 | 59 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1306 | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,095 (+10%) | 11mo | $314,990 | $288 | 58 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1207 | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-14%) | 12mo | $234,990 | $275 | 56 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1312 | 0.11mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-14%) | 12mo | $239,990 | $281 | 56 |
| 6 Avast Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,103 (+11%) | 1mo | $460,000 | $417 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-64,880
- Equity at exit
- $44,282
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-77,837
- Equity at exit
- $25,678
Cash invested: $83,157 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 20 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $257,490 ($294/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 111 d
- This list price
- 60% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +8.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 08005
- Active inventory
- 348
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,363 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,557
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,387/yr
- Insurance
- −$124
- HOA
- −$334
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$496
- Net cashflow
- $-264
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-96 | -5% $-180 | +0% $-264 | +5% $-348 | +10% $-432 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-451 | -5% $-358 | +0% $-264 | +5% $-171 | +10% $-78 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-115 | -0.5pp $-189 | base $-264 | +0.5pp $-341 | +1.0pp $-420 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,248
- Closing costs
- $8,910
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Potomac Ct Barnegat, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 54d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Monthly HOA feeHOA amenities include exercise room, community room, clubhouseHOA covers common area maintenance, lawn maintenance, snow removal
Exterior
- Parking
- No garage
- Utilities
- Public sewer
- Home design
- CondominiumAttached propertyNew constructionModel: Sandbar
- Construction
- New construction
- Exterior features
- Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen
- StoveMicrowaveDishwasherRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Light fixturesNo fireplace
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryer
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $296,990 Active 28 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $296,990 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $296,990 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $296,990 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $296,990 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $296,990 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $296,990 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $296,990 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $296,990 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $296,990 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $296,990 Active 13 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $296,990 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $296,990 Active 11 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $296,990 Active 10 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $296,990 Active 9 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $296,990 Active 7 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $296,990 Active 6 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $296,990 Active 5 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $296,990 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $296,990 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $296,990 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $296,990 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $296,990 Active 158 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $296,990 Active 157 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $296,990 Active 155 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $296,990 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $296,990 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $296,990 Active 152 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $296,990 Active 151 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $296,990 Active 150 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $296,990 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $296,990 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $296,990 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $296,990 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $296,990 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $296,990 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $296,990 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $296,990 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $296,990 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $296,990 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $296,990 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $296,990 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $296,990 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $296,990 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $296,990 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $296,990 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $296,990 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $296,990 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $296,990 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $296,990 Active 121 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,387 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,391 · $366/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,004/yr (+$250/mo · 216.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,351
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,636
- − Property taxes
- −$1,387
- − Insurance
- −$1,485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,268
- − Management
- −$2,268
- − HOA
- −$4,008
- − Depreciation
- −$8,640
- Taxable loss
- −$8,341
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,002
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,171/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This modern and well-maintained condo is move-in ready with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a great value for both buyers and renters with its updated features and well-maintained exterior.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the overall appearance and make the space feel more inviting. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — New flooring can improve the look and feel of the bathrooms, making them more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value by making it more convenient and energy-efficient for both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, high-end appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance the curb appeal and make the home more attractive to potential buyers or renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Barnegat Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416470
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,645
- Composite
- 31.15/100
- National rank
- #6059
- State rank
- #285 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Ocean Acres
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #425
- US rank
- #15187
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocean Acres, NJ
- County
- Ocean County · 586,991 people
- City population
- 25,936
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,866
- Household income
- $93,584
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.01%
- Current HPI
- 344.3189
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+1.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-11 Listed $296,990 MOMLS
- 2026-02-02 Listed $296,990 MOMLS
- 2025-10-20 Listed $291,990 MOMLS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,387 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…