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1631 McConihe St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 64.46
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$112,000

1631 McConihe St · Jacksonville, FL 32209
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,246 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1947 5,227 sqft lot Est $167k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming home located near Edwards Water College. This is the perfect investment home or starter home. Property is currently rented for $850/mo by long term tenants. They would like to stay but currently on a month to month lease. 24 hour notice to view home, no exceptions. DO NOT BOTHER TENANTS!

Key facts

  • New paint
  • New roof
  • 5,227 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW PAINTNEAR EDWARD WATER COLLEGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Used as an investment property
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.12 acres; No private pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Central heating; Electric heating; Central air; Cable available
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $112,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$166,964) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,179/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2921% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $774 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $112k implies a 700% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,320 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.64%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,964
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1350 McConihe St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,253 (+1%) 1mo $190,000 $152 78
1318 W 5th St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,224 (-2%) 3mo $52,500 $43 73
1015 Powhattan St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,252 (+0%) 3mo $175,000 $140 66
1932 College Cir N 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,298 (+4%) 4mo $174,000 $134 66
1327 7th St W 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-8%) 2mo $215,017 $187 64
1314 Rushing St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,147 (-8%) 4mo $183,000 $160 61
1478 W 11th St 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,360 (+9%) 2mo $152,000 $112 61
1783 W 10th St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,084 (-13%) 3mo $211,020 $195 59
1723 University St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,356 (+9%) 1mo $137,000 $101 57
1404 W 18th St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-10%) 2mo $80,000 $71 53
2905 Pearce St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,404 (+13%) 3mo $74,000 $53 48
1447 20th St W 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,094 (-12%) 4mo $80,000 $73 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-6,837
Equity at exit
$16,700
10-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$4,797
Equity at exit
$9,684

Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32209

Home prices YoY
-22.1%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
394
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,179 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$587
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,169/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$200

Break-even live

Break-even rent $926
Max offer price $112,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $263 -5% $231 +0% $200 +5% $168 +10% $136
Rent -10% $107 -5% $153 +0% $200 +5% $246 +10% $293
Rate -1.0pp $256 -0.5pp $228 base $200 +0.5pp $171 +1.0pp $141

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,000
Closing costs
$3,360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1570 Mc Conihe St Unit B Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 714 $875 $1.23 24d 1 0.10mi
1538 Ella St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 24d 1 0.13mi
1740 W 9th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1148 $1,285 $1.12 20d 1 0.15mi
1537 W 7th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 8d 1 0.15mi
1537 7th St W Unit B Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 24d 1 0.16mi
1640 W 4th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1119 $1,675 $1.50 20d 1 0.32mi
1788 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 948 $1,295 $1.37 24d 1 0.34mi
1478 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 960 $1,225 $1.28 5d 1 0.34mi
1478 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 960 $1,225 $1.28 24d 1 0.34mi
1776 Spires Ave Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,125 $1.41 5d 1 0.34mi
1460 W 5th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 12d 1 0.36mi
2306 Fairfax St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $650 $0.93 24d 1 0.37mi
2306 Fairfax St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 900 $700 $0.78 24d 1 0.37mi
2310 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 726 $600 $0.83 24d 1 0.38mi
2312 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 726 $650 $0.90 17d 1 0.38mi
1934 Ella St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1045 $1,095 $1.05 20d 1 0.40mi
1845 W 13th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 24d 1 0.41mi
1783 W 3rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 816 $650 $0.80 24d 1 0.42mi
1525 W 15th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 24d 1 0.43mi
1666 Myrtle Ave N Unit 1666 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $925 $1.32 24d 1 0.43mi
1437 Prince St Unit 1437 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,120 $1.60 24d 1 0.45mi
1355 Grothe St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.0 1312 $1,350 $1.03 17d 1 0.45mi
1866 W 6th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,120 $1.05 4d 1 0.45mi
1710 W 2nd St Unit A Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 939 $800 $0.85 24d 1 0.47mi
1319 Woods St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1103 $1,221 $1.11 24d 1 0.48mi
2210 Pullman Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 940 $1,050 $1.12 3d 1 0.49mi
1464 N Myrtle Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1136 $1,400 $1.23 24d 1 0.51mi
1376 Prince St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 8d 1 0.55mi
1733 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1211 $1,265 $1.04 5d 1 0.55mi
2016 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 812 $650 $0.80 24d 1 0.55mi
1934 W 6th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 948 $1,125 $1.19 24d 1 0.55mi
1911 W 3rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,050 $1.15 5d 1 0.56mi
2116 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,425 $1.27 21d 1 0.56mi
1730 W 19th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1323 $1,100 $0.83 2d 1 0.57mi
1358 Prince St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 3.5 1044 $1,350 $1.29 21d 1 0.57mi
1358 Prince St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1044 $1,350 $1.29 24d 1 0.57mi
2008 Palafox St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 21d 1 0.60mi
2012 Palafox St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 20d 1 0.60mi
1901 Pullman Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 969 $1,295 $1.34 8d 1 0.60mi
1721 Campus St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 909 $1,400 $1.54 24d 1 0.61mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $112,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $112,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $112,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $112,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $112,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $112,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $112,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $112,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $112,000 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $112,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $112,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $112,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $112,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $112,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-21
    listed $112,000 Active
  16. 2021-12-31
    historical 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Charming home located near Edwards Water College. This is the perfect investment home or starter home. Property is currently rented for $850/mo by long term tenants. They would like to stay but currently on a month to month lease. 24 hour notice to view home, no exceptions. DO NOT BOTHER TENANTS!

  17. 2021-12-31
    historical 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Charming home located near Edwards Water College. This is the perfect investment home or starter home. Property is currently rented for $850/mo by long term tenants. They would like to stay but currently on a month to month lease. 24 hour notice to view home, no exceptions. DO NOT BOTHER TENANTS!

  18. 2021-08-10
    price $115,000 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Charming home located near Edwards Water College. This is the perfect investment home or starter home. Property is currently rented for $850/mo by long term tenants. They would like to stay but currently on a month to month lease. 24 hour notice to view home, no exceptions. DO NOT BOTHER TENANTS!

  19. 2021-08-10
    price $115,000 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Charming home located near Edwards Water College. This is the perfect investment home or starter home. Property is currently rented for $850/mo by long term tenants. They would like to stay but currently on a month to month lease. 24 hour notice to view home, no exceptions. DO NOT BOTHER TENANTS!

  20. 2021-06-12
    listed $125,000 Active 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Charming home located near Edwards Water College. This is the perfect investment home or starter home. Property is currently rented for $850/mo by long term tenants. They would like to stay but currently on a month to month lease. 24 hour notice to view home, no exceptions. DO NOT BOTHER TENANTS!

  21. 2021-06-12
    listed $125,000 Active 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Charming home located near Edwards Water College. This is the perfect investment home or starter home. Property is currently rented for $850/mo by long term tenants. They would like to stay but currently on a month to month lease. 24 hour notice to view home, no exceptions. DO NOT BOTHER TENANTS!

  22. 2014-02-28
    soldstatus $14,000
  23. 2014-02-28
    listed $15,000
  24. 2014-01-21
    listed $21,999
  25. 2011-07-13
    soldstatus $40,000
  26. 2007-03-21
    soldstatus $44,000
  27. 2002-03-19
    historical
  28. 2001-03-20
    listed $52,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,169 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,169 · $97/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,142
− Mortgage interest
−$6,274
− Property taxes
−$1,169
− Insurance
−$560
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,131
− Management
−$1,131
− Depreciation
−$3,258
Taxable income
$619
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$149
After-tax cash flow
$2,247/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
34,657
Household income
$30,514
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2921.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.92%
Current HPI
189.5977
Rent YoY
▲ 1.81%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+113.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $112,000 realMLS
  • 2021-12-31 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2021-12-31 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2021-08-10 Price Changed $115,000 realMLS
  • 2021-08-10 Price Changed $115,000 realMLS
  • 2021-06-12 Listed $125,000 realMLS
  • 2021-06-12 Listed $125,000 realMLS
  • 2014-02-28 Listed $15,000 realMLS
  • 2014-02-28 Sold (MLS) $14,000 realMLS
  • 2014-01-21 Listed $21,999 realMLS
  • 2011-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2007-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
  • 2002-03-19 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2001-03-20 Listed $52,500 realMLS

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,169 · +31.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…