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1252 Straits Tpke
C+ Composite 61.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,900

1252 Straits Tpke · Middlebury, CT 06762
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,848 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1929 0.28 ac lot Est $440k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SUBJECT TO PROBATE APPROVAL, AS-IS, WHERE-IS CONDITION NO FHA, CHFA OR VA LENDING AVAILABLE. NEEDS WORK. LOTS OF HARDWOOD FLOORS, DETACHED 2 CAR GARAGE WORKSHOP AND STORAGE LOFT. LARGE ROOMS, SHARED DRIVEWAY, 24 HOUR NOTICE SHOWINGTIME. SUBJECT TO PROBATE APPROVAL. AS-IS, WHERE-IS CONDITION. NO FHA, CHFA OR VA LENDING AVAILABLE. MAKE DEPOSIT CHECK(s) TO: ATTORNEY ANDREW PIANKA TRUSTEE 315 CENTER ROCK GREEN, SUITE #2 OXFORD, CT 06478

Key facts

  • Storage loft
  • Workshop
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSDETACHED 2 CAR GARAGEWORKSHOPSTORAGE LOFT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Paved surfaces; Off-street parking (3 total spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Domestic hot water
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Wood and shingle exterior siding; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Interior lot; Sloping lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired hot water system; Oil fuel tank located in the basement
  • Interior features: Mud room; Workshop; Full unfinished basement; Attic with floored storage and walk-up access; Potential in-law apartment with first-floor access
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the 2nd floor; Additional laundry/utility space on the lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Regional School District 15 (suburban): math 56% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #46 of 153 in CT (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 4% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Middlebury Elementary School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #118 of 553 statewide, top 23%, 319 students, 18% FRL); Pomperaug Regional High School (math 54% / reading 74%, grade B-, #37 of 194 statewide, top 19%, 1,039 students, 14% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $145k; list at $300k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $299,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.07%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$439,824
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
201 Crest St 0.32mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,840 (-0%) 12mo $385,000 $209 68
478 Lakeside Blvd W 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,864 (+1%) 14mo $482,300 $259 58
32 Yale Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,861 (+1%) 5mo $390,000 $210 57
1 Yale Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,788 (-3%) 11mo $425,000 $238 54
35 Deepwood Dr 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,836 (-1%) 13mo $306,000 $167 52
38 E Ridge Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,780 (-4%) 1mo $510,000 $287 50
1440 Straits Tpke 0.35mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,046 (+11%) 11mo $505,000 $247 46
25 Parkwood Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,602 (-13%) 5mo $340,000 $212 38
604 Lakeside Blvd W 0.57mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,088 (+13%) 6mo $495,000 $237 34
76 Three Mile Hill Rd 0.62mi 4/3.0 2,088 (+13%) 10mo $536,000 $257 33
332 Lakeside Blvd E 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,607 (-13%) 11mo $285,000 $177 31
43 Merideth Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,576 (-15%) 14mo $385,000 $244 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-21,453
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$16,479
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06762

Home prices YoY
-22.6%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,216 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$418 /mo · $5,011/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$675
Net cashflow
$425

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,678
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $595 -5% $510 +0% $425 +5% $340 +10% $255
Rent -10% $171 -5% $298 +0% $425 +5% $552 +10% $679
Rate -1.0pp $576 -0.5pp $501 base $425 +0.5pp $347 +1.0pp $268

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 440-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $299,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,011 · $418/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,714 · $476/mo
Expected delta
+$703/yr (+$59/mo · 14.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,586
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$5,011
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,087
− Management
−$3,087
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable income
$379
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$91
After-tax cash flow
$5,009/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Regional School District 15
NCES district ID
0903537
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$84,697
Composite
54.36/100
National rank
#1361
State rank
#46 of 153 in CT

Livability — Middlebury

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,736

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Asian 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Russian 5% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
12% · China, Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Arabic 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.23%
Current HPI
182.4523
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $299,900 Smart MLS
  • 1996-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2022): $5,011 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…