943 Della Tobias Ave · Harlem, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.5/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in a quiet Clewiston neighborhood! This inviting property features a spacious open layout with abundant natural light, a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space, and comfortable living and dining areas perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite offers privacy with its own en-suite bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy outdoor living with a generous yard—ideal for relaxing, gardening, or gatherings. Conveniently situated near local schools, shopping, and dining. A great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Schedule your showing today! * * * This pro
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Generous yard
- Primary suite
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential, single-family; Zoning: RG3M; Lot size about 0.17 acres (0 to less than 1/4 acre)
- Financial info:
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking:
- Security:
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with approximately 1,050 square feet of living area
- Exterior features: Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Other appliances
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area (Other)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#822 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 404 active listings in the ZIP; 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.32%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $189,000
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910 Harlem Academy Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-5%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $190 | 80 |
| 1032 Arkansas Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-5%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $185 | 56 |
| 1006 Virginia Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 916 (-13%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $180 | 54 |
| 1053 Arkansas Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-5%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $155 | 52 |
| 1101 Mississippi Ave | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+10%) | 9mo | $129,000 | $112 | 50 |
| 602 S Berner Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,075 (+2%) | 16mo | $325,000 | $302 | 48 |
| 2305 13th St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (-9%) | 16mo | $150,000 | $158 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-11,888
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $10,932
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33440
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 404
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,858 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$219 /mo · $2,626/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $258
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $357 | -5% $308 | +0% $258 | +5% $209 | +10% $159 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $111 | -5% $185 | +0% $258 | +5% $332 | +10% $405 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $346 | -0.5pp $303 | base $258 | +0.5pp $213 | +1.0pp $167 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $175,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $185,000
-
2026-04-01$195,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,626 · $219/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,626 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,292
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,626
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,783
- − Management
- −$1,783
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $331
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$80
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,018/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hendry
- NCES district ID
- 1200780
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,043
- Composite
- 31.16/100
- National rank
- #6054
- State rank
- #65 of 73 in FL
Livability — Harlem
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #822
- US rank
- #20089
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harlem, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,119
Population outlook (Hendry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,866 people
- By 2030
- 38,558 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 37,743 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 36,117 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 30,070 · -22.6%
- By 2100
- 21,966 · -43.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% Two or more races 26% White 23% Black 18% Native American 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 18%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 48% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hendry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.3) · D 30.4% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -38.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.3 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+5.9 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.08%
- Current HPI
- 414.9243
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-5.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,626 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…