3144 Bart Ave · Warren, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 3144 Bart in Warren, a fantastic opportunity for homeowners and investors alike! This well-maintained property offers a functional layout with spacious living areas, abundant natural light, and plenty of potential to make it your own. The home features comfortable bedrooms, a generous kitchen space, and a yard perfect for outdoor entertaining or relaxing.
Key facts
- Functional layout
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.3% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
- Fitzgerald Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #503 of 540 in MI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.11%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,458
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -20.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3590 Dallas Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 766 (-2%) | 5mo | $41,000 | $54 | 75 |
| 2484 Waltz Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+3%) | 17mo | $114,000 | $143 | 70 |
| 2120 Pearl Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (-3%) | 1mo | $113,000 | $149 | 63 |
| 23442 Melville Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 729 (-6%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $123 | 61 |
| 23532 Eureka Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-1%) | 10mo | $157,500 | $205 | 59 |
| 23815 Dormont Ave Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-8%) | 8mo | $122,000 | $169 | 58 |
| 23906 Ada Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 894 (+15%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $145 | 54 |
| 23753 Davey Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 749 (-4%) | 11mo | $172,000 | $230 | 52 |
| 1780 Maplelane Ln | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+3%) | 18mo | $125,000 | $156 | 48 |
| 23448 Davey Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 730 (-6%) | 16mo | $139,995 | $192 | 45 |
| 1761 E Otis Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-6%) | 16mo | $148,000 | $203 | 41 |
| 24152 Eureka Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 877 (+13%) | 14mo | $199,900 | $228 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-491
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $18,586
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48091
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,380 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,684/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2709 Capitol Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,649 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3840 Bart Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Unit E3 Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Unit C6 Hazel Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,100 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Unit C1 Hazel Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,350 | $2.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,400 | $1.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,525 | $1.79 | 12d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1771 E Woodward Heights Blvd #8 Hazel Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $990 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 23077 Davey Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,895 | $2.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1731 E Pearl Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,500 | $1.78 | 20d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 22580 Masch Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,375 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 25151 Dequindre Rd Madison Heights, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,279 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4652 E 10 Mile Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3974 Berkshire Ave Warren, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,029 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 749 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1045 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,209 | $1.69 | 24d | 3 | 1.14mi |
| 2034 John B Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,261 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $6,448 | $5.88 | 1d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 23345 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 11d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 22622 Panama Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 920 | $1,395 | $1.52 | 11d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 23115 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,375 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 23773 Hazelwood Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 671 | $1,400 | $2.09 | 12d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4385 Frazho Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,305 | $1.58 | 3d | 6 | 1.35mi |
| 1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 20255 Harned St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,374 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-04statusdays on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-02statusdays on market $105,000 Pending 74 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-04-23price $110,000 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Welcome to 3144 Bart in Warren, a fantastic opportunity for homeowners and investors alike! This well-maintained property offers a functional layout with spacious living areas, abundant natural light, and plenty of potential to make it your own. The home features comfortable bedrooms, a generous kitchen space, and a yard perfect for outdoor entertaining or relaxing.
-
2026-04-23price $110,000 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Welcome to 3144 Bart in Warren, a fantastic opportunity for homeowners and investors alike! This well-maintained property offers a functional layout with spacious living areas, abundant natural light, and plenty of potential to make it your own. The home features comfortable bedrooms, a generous kitchen space, and a yard perfect for outdoor entertaining or relaxing.
-
2026-03-19$115,000 Active 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Welcome to 3144 Bart in Warren, a fantastic opportunity for homeowners and investors alike! This well-maintained property offers a functional layout with spacious living areas, abundant natural light, and plenty of potential to make it your own. The home features comfortable bedrooms, a generous kitchen space, and a yard perfect for outdoor entertaining or relaxing.
-
2026-03-19$115,000 Active 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Welcome to 3144 Bart in Warren, a fantastic opportunity for homeowners and investors alike! This well-maintained property offers a functional layout with spacious living areas, abundant natural light, and plenty of potential to make it your own. The home features comfortable bedrooms, a generous kitchen space, and a yard perfect for outdoor entertaining or relaxing.
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2025-02-26historical $1,200
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2025-01-18$1,200
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2025-01-18historical $1,200
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2024-12-18$1,200
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2024-12-18historical $1,200
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2024-12-16historical $1,200
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2024-12-16$1,200
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2024-12-07$1,200
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2024-12-07historical $1,200
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2024-12-06$1,200
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2024-12-06historical $1,200
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2024-12-05$1,200
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2023-09-01historical
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2022-06-22soldstatus $101,000
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2022-06-02soldstatus $101,000 Sold
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2022-06-02soldstatus $101,000 Closed
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2022-05-10status Pending
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2022-05-10status Pending
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2022-05-06$100,000 Active
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2022-05-06$100,000 Active
-
2022-05-05historical $100,000
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2022-05-05historical $100,000
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2007-06-29historical
-
2007-06-29historical
-
2007-04-20$79,900
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2007-04-20$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,684 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,684 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,562
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$2,684
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,325
- − Management
- −$1,325
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $1,767
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$424
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,843/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fitzgerald Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2614460
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,828
- Composite
- 12.67/100
- National rank
- #9608
- State rank
- #503 of 540 in MI
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 114,937
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,696
- Household income
- $54,230
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1296.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 25% Asian 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.66%
- Current HPI
- 177.9273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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||
Price history
+37.7% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-19 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-19 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-26 Rental Removed $1,200 REALSOURCE
- 2025-01-18 Listed for Rent $1,200 REALSOURCE
- 2025-01-18 Rental Removed $1,200 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-18 Listed for Rent $1,200 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-18 Rental Removed $1,200 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-16 Rental Removed $1,200 SWMMLS
- 2024-12-16 Listed for Rent $1,200 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-07 Listed for Rent $1,200 SWMMLS
- 2024-12-07 Rental Removed $1,200 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-12-06 Listed for Rent $1,200 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-12-06 Rental Removed $1,200 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-12-05 Listed for Rent $1,200 SHOWMOJO
- 2023-09-01 Rental Removed — REALSOURCE
- 2022-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-02 Sold (MLS) $101,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-06-02 Sold (MLS) $101,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-05-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-05-10 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-05-06 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-05-06 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-05-05 Coming Soon $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-05-05 Coming Soon $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-06-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-06-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-04-20 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-04-20 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+11.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,684 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…