707 W 1st St · Gladwin, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located at Gladwin, this 2 bed 1 bath home, sitting on a generous lot and a half, it offers plenty of outdoor space. Inside, you will find a beautifully updated interior featuring fresh flooring and brand-new carpet throughout. The bathroom boasts a stunning, modern tile shower. Designed for peace of mind and long-term comfort, the property features a reliable, updated heating system and a solid, durable roof structure overlaying the home. Ideally located near local schools, this property blends comfort, style, and convenience.
Key facts
- Updated interior
- Modern tile shower
- Outdoor space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.43 acres; Lot dimensions listed as 18,731
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No central cooling
- Interior features: Has a basement; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $692 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 7.7% in Gladwin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#253 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Gladwin Community Schools (town): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #232 of 540 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 287 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Gladwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gladwin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $115k implies a 219% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.81%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $117,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 W 4th St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (-2%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $136 | 78 |
| 301 W Fourth St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (0%) | 10mo | $127,000 | $141 | 72 |
| 525 N Antler St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-7%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $125 | 70 |
| 308 W Fourth St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (+10%) | 3mo | $158,500 | $160 | 67 |
| 508 N Silverleaf St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (+3%) | 10mo | $92,500 | $100 | 62 |
| 1100 N State St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-8%) | 9mo | $53,000 | $64 | 60 |
| 3408 Clendening St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+4%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $150 | 57 |
| 302 N Erie St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+7%) | 14mo | $125,000 | $130 | 57 |
| 310 N Ionia St | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 | 1,006 (+12%) | 13mo | $115,000 | $114 | 54 |
| 140 E Beech St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 847 (-6%) | 14mo | $83,000 | $98 | 53 |
| 1306 N Antler St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+7%) | 17mo | $108,000 | $113 | 50 |
| 440 Quarter St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+7%) | 15mo | $164,900 | $172 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $25,437
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.45×
- Total profit
- $78,858
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48624
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Active inventory
- 287
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,809 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,039/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $692
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 533-char remark
-
2026-06-12$114,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,039 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,404 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$365/yr (+$30/mo · 35.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,703
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,039
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,736
- − Management
- −$1,736
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $6,839
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,641
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,661/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gladwin Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2615990
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,917
- Composite
- 32.93/100
- National rank
- #5595
- State rank
- #232 of 540 in MI
Livability — Gladwin
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #253
- US rank
- #6296
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gladwin, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,269
Population outlook (Gladwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,440 people
- By 2030
- 22,281 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 19,867 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 17,667 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 12,909 · -44.9%
- By 2100
- 8,629 · -63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gladwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -40.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+7.2 2008: D+1.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.67%
- Current HPI
- 238.0744
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+219.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $114,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-11 Listed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,039 · -22.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…