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358 Smith Creek Rd
B Composite 70.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,000

358 Smith Creek Rd · Blacksville, WV 15362
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,892 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1940 0.82 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This beautiful country home has 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, and tons of opportunity! On the main street for easy access with a detached garage and lots of on the property parking , under 20 mile radius from bigger town. A little under of an acre, there is a 2 sheds in the back to store all your belongings. Giant yard to enjoy all of your outdoor activities, entertainment, and barbecues can be enjoyed as well on the large front porch, where you can sit and enjoy whatever you have going on during the day, work, playtime with kids, the possibilities are endless. The property sits far away from the main road for privacy and safety. . If you're looking for a peaceful place away from the city to

Key facts

  • Large front porch
  • 2 sheds
  • Giant yard

Tags

DETACHED GARAGE2 SHEDSGIANT YARDLARGE FRONT PORCHMOVE IN READY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Two parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Resale property
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.82-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning; Gas-powered cooling system
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Carpet and vinyl flooring; Living room fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#244 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Central Greene SD (town): math 24% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #434 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 30 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Greene County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,665 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
9.99%
Cash-on-cash
13.20%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$24,774
Equity at exit
$40,018
10-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
3.76×
Total profit
$68,869
Equity at exit
$61,673

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,279 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$233 /mo · $2,791/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$219

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,002
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,000 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 2 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  15. 2026-06-02
    listed $89,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,791 · $233/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,791 · $233/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,350
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$2,791
− Insurance
−$1,112
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,228
− Management
−$1,228
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$1,417
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$340
After-tax cash flow
$2,283/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central Greene SD
NCES district ID
4205430
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$48,139
Composite
27.62/100
National rank
#6926
State rank
#434 of 539 in PA

Livability — Blacksville

Score
58/100
State rank
#244
US rank
#21091

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
609

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,975 people
By 2030
33,554 · -4.1%
By 2040
30,615 · -12.5%
By 2050
27,819 · -20.5%
By 2075
21,678 · -38.0%
By 2100
16,318 · -53.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.6% · R 71.5% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-44.4pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+17.6 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $89,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,791 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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