646 W Washington St · Petersburg, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 42.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.
Key facts
- Exceptional exposure
- Corner lot
- 5,187 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Alley access; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story residence; Approximate year built
- Construction: Brick and wood siding construction; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch; Side porch; Chain link fencing in the backyard; Corner, level lot
Interior
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the first level, one on the second level) — each with tub and shower
- Interior features: Wood flooring; Decorative fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Water heater included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $711 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 4.5% in Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#413 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Petersburg City Public School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #131 of 131 in VA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 118 units permitted in Petersburg city in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Petersburg County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $120k implies a 380% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1800 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 42% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1800 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.41%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $383,910
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -68.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 935 Hinton St | 0.28mi | 4/3.5 | 2,240 (0%) | 8mo | $317,000 | $142 | 74 |
| 224 S South St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 2,114 (-6%) | 9mo | $90,250 | $43 | 74 |
| 21 Pine St | 0.07mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,388 (+7%) | 8mo | $309,000 | $129 | 70 |
| 938 Rome St | 0.31mi | 4/3.5 | 2,116 (-6%) | 1mo | $328,375 | $155 | 70 |
| 1012 W Wythe St | 0.32mi | 4/3.0 | 2,118 (-5%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $120 | 69 |
| 904 Wilcox St | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,464 (+10%) | 1mo | $283,000 | $115 | 65 |
| 1022 W High St | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,068 (-8%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $123 | 59 |
| 206 S West St | 0.42mi | 4/3.5 | 2,484 (+11%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $131 | 56 |
| 1348 Rome St | 0.72mi | 4/3.5 | 2,138 (-5%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $136 | 49 |
| 243 High St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,968 (-12%) | 2mo | $262,000 | $133 | 48 |
| 1340 Rome St | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 1,929 (-14%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $109 | 38 |
| 409 Mistletoe St | 0.74mi | 4/3.5 | 1,960 (-12%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $148 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.45% appreciation · 5.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $55,594
- Equity at exit
- $43,793
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.65×
- Total profit
- $156,074
- Equity at exit
- $60,449
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23803
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,812 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $494/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $711
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $779 | -5% $745 | +0% $711 | +5% $677 | +10% $643 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $568 | -5% $640 | +0% $711 | +5% $783 | +10% $855 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $772 | -0.5pp $742 | base $711 | +0.5pp $680 | +1.0pp $649 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Pine St Unit 115 Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,462 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 922 Wilcox St Petersburg, VA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1985 | $1,799 | $0.91 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1137 Willcox St Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1872 | $2,600 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 608 Halifax St Unit 608 Petersburg, VA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2288 | $1,699 | $0.74 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 212 E Wythe St Unit 1 Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,295 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 212 E Wythe St Unit 1 Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,295 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1021 Melville St Petersburg, VA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2014 | $1,899 | $0.94 | 16d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 315 St Mark St Petersburg, VA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $2,500 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 616 S Jefferson St Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2400 | $1,957 | $0.82 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1740 Randolph Ave Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 11d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 211 Jefferson Ave Colonial Heights, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1507 | $1,900 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 462 Reservoir Hts Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,895 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-12$120,000 Active 1191-char remark
-
2024-06-13$60,000 Active
-
2023-02-23soldstatus $25,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.
-
2023-01-04status Pending
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.
-
2022-11-05price $30,000
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.
-
2022-11-01price $45,000
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.
-
2022-10-18price $55,000
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.
-
2022-07-23price $70,000
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.
-
2022-06-27price $80,000
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.
-
2022-06-05$110,000 Active
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.
-
1989-11-14soldstatus $135,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $494 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$490/yr (+$41/mo · 99.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 42% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,750
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$494
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,740
- − Management
- −$1,740
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $6,963
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,671
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,866/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Petersburg City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102910
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,362
- Composite
- 28.78/100
- National rank
- #6670
- State rank
- #131 of 131 in VA
Livability — Petersburg
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #17309
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Petersburg, VA
- County
- Chesterfield County · 406,988 people
- City population
- 63,420
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,012
- Household income
- $57,813
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2485.0
Population outlook (Petersburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,488 people
- By 2030
- 29,771 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 28,401 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 27,279 · -10.5%
- By 2075
- 25,877 · -15.1%
- By 2100
- 24,288 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Petersburg
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+72.8) · D 85.8% · R 13.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 72.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+72.8 2020: D+76.5 2016: D+77.0 2012: D+80.4 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.45%
- Current HPI
- 480.5365
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.89%
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-11.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $120,000 CVRMLS
- 2024-06-13 Listed $60,000 CVRMLS
- 2023-02-23 Sold (MLS) $25,000 CVRMLS
- 2023-01-04 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2022-11-05 Price Changed $30,000 CVRMLS
- 2022-11-01 Price Changed $45,000 CVRMLS
- 2022-10-18 Price Changed $55,000 CVRMLS
- 2022-07-23 Price Changed $70,000 CVRMLS
- 2022-06-27 Price Changed $80,000 CVRMLS
- 2022-06-05 Listed $110,000 CVRMLS
- 1989-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $494 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…