CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
646 W Washington St
B+ Composite 75.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$120,000

646 W Washington St · Petersburg, VA 23803
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,240 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1800 5,187 sqft lot $54/sqft · 37% below area ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.

Key facts

  • Exceptional exposure
  • Corner lot
  • 5,187 sq ft lot

Tags

CORNER LOTRENOVATING OPPORTUNITYHIGH VISIBILITY TRAFFICEXCEPTIONAL EXPOSURE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Alley access; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story residence; Approximate year built
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding construction; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Side porch; Chain link fencing in the backyard; Corner, level lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Wood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the first level, one on the second level) — each with tub and shower
  • Interior features: Wood flooring; Decorative fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Water heater included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $711 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 4.5% in Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#413 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Petersburg City Public School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #131 of 131 in VA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 118 units permitted in Petersburg city in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Petersburg County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $120k implies a 380% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1800 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 42% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1800 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
13.41%
Cash-on-cash
25.41%
DSCR
2.13
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$383,910
List price
$120,000
Delta
-68.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
935 Hinton St 0.28mi 4/3.5 2,240 (0%) 8mo $317,000 $142 74
224 S South St 0.19mi 4/2.0 2,114 (-6%) 9mo $90,250 $43 74
21 Pine St 0.07mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,388 (+7%) 8mo $309,000 $129 70
938 Rome St 0.31mi 4/3.5 2,116 (-6%) 1mo $328,375 $155 70
1012 W Wythe St 0.32mi 4/3.0 2,118 (-5%) 4mo $255,000 $120 69
904 Wilcox St 0.33mi 4/2.5 2,464 (+10%) 1mo $283,000 $115 65
1022 W High St 0.43mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,068 (-8%) 1mo $255,000 $123 59
206 S West St 0.42mi 4/3.5 2,484 (+11%) 1mo $325,000 $131 56
1348 Rome St 0.72mi 4/3.5 2,138 (-5%) 4mo $290,000 $136 49
243 High St 0.49mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,968 (-12%) 2mo $262,000 $133 48
1340 Rome St 0.71mi 4/3.0 1,929 (-14%) 2mo $210,000 $109 38
409 Mistletoe St 0.74mi 4/3.5 1,960 (-12%) 4mo $290,000 $148 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.45% appreciation · 5.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.8%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$55,594
Equity at exit
$43,793
10-year hold
IRR
34.2%
Equity multiple
5.65×
Total profit
$156,074
Equity at exit
$60,449

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23803

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
5.9%
Active inventory
290
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,812 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $494/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$711

Break-even live

Break-even rent $912
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $779 -5% $745 +0% $711 +5% $677 +10% $643
Rent -10% $568 -5% $640 +0% $711 +5% $783 +10% $855
Rate -1.0pp $772 -0.5pp $742 base $711 +0.5pp $680 +1.0pp $649

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 Pine St Unit 115 Petersburg, VA 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,462 $1.04 44d 1 0.11mi
922 Wilcox St Petersburg, VA 5.0 2.5 1985 $1,799 $0.91 3d 1 0.35mi
1137 Willcox St Petersburg, VA 4.0 3.0 1872 $2,600 $1.39 44d 1 0.51mi
608 Halifax St Unit 608 Petersburg, VA 5.0 2.5 2288 $1,699 $0.74 3d 1 0.64mi
212 E Wythe St Unit 1 Petersburg, VA 4.0 1.5 1400 $1,295 $0.93 24d 1 0.85mi
212 E Wythe St Unit 1 Petersburg, VA 4.0 1.5 1400 $1,295 $0.93 44d 1 0.85mi
1021 Melville St Petersburg, VA 5.0 2.0 2014 $1,899 $0.94 16d 1 0.92mi
315 St Mark St Petersburg, VA 5.0 2.0 1508 $2,500 $1.66 44d 1 0.96mi
616 S Jefferson St Petersburg, VA 3.0 2.0 2400 $1,957 $0.82 3d 1 1.01mi
1740 Randolph Ave Petersburg, VA 4.0 2.0 1400 $2,000 $1.43 11d 1 1.21mi
211 Jefferson Ave Colonial Heights, VA 4.0 2.0 1507 $1,900 $1.26 2d 1 1.23mi
462 Reservoir Hts Petersburg, VA 4.0 2.0 1640 $1,895 $1.16 24d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    listed $120,000 Active 1191-char remark
  2. 2024-06-13
    listed $60,000 Active
  3. 2023-02-23
    soldstatus $25,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.

  4. 2023-01-04
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.

  5. 2022-11-05
    price $30,000
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.

  6. 2022-11-01
    price $45,000
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.

  7. 2022-10-18
    price $55,000
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.

  8. 2022-07-23
    price $70,000
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.

  9. 2022-06-27
    price $80,000
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.

  10. 2022-06-05
    listed $110,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Great Lot! 2,240 square foot house on 5,190 square foot lot . Property will convey As-Is condition.

  11. 1989-11-14
    soldstatus $135,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$494 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$984 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$490/yr (+$41/mo · 99.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 42% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,750
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$494
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,740
− Management
−$1,740
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$6,963
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,671
After-tax cash flow
$6,866/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Petersburg City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102910
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$34,362
Composite
28.78/100
National rank
#6670
State rank
#131 of 131 in VA

Livability — Petersburg

Score
61/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#17309

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety B- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Petersburg, VA
County
Chesterfield County · 406,988 people
City population
63,420
Metro
Richmond, VA
Population (ZIP)
42,012
Household income
$57,813
Rent vs Own
48.9% rent · 51.1% own
Severe rent burden
2485.0

Population outlook (Petersburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,488 people
By 2030
29,771 · -2.4%
By 2040
28,401 · -6.8%
By 2050
27,279 · -10.5%
By 2075
25,877 · -15.1%
By 2100
24,288 · -20.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Petersburg

2024 margin
Solid D (+72.8) · D 85.8% · R 13.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 72.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+72.8 2020: D+76.5 2016: D+77.0 2012: D+80.4 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.45%
Current HPI
480.5365
Rent YoY
▲ 5.89%
Metro
Richmond, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $120,000 CVRMLS
  • 2024-06-13 Listed $60,000 CVRMLS
  • 2023-02-23 Sold (MLS) $25,000 CVRMLS
  • 2023-01-04 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2022-11-05 Price Changed $30,000 CVRMLS
  • 2022-11-01 Price Changed $45,000 CVRMLS
  • 2022-10-18 Price Changed $55,000 CVRMLS
  • 2022-07-23 Price Changed $70,000 CVRMLS
  • 2022-06-27 Price Changed $80,000 CVRMLS
  • 2022-06-05 Listed $110,000 CVRMLS
  • 1989-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $494 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…