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5622 Hobson St NE 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

5622 Hobson St NE · St. Petersburg, FL 33703
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 723 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1960 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very clean and is in move-in condition. Newer dual pane fold out windows, screen porch, 10 x 10 storage shed with electric and A/C and in-ground fiberglass pool. Great floor plan with vaulted ceilings. The laundry room is just off of the kitchen. There is a double gate into backyard for boat or R/V parking. Flood insurance required, but has never flooded while this owner has lived there. Conveniently located, close to St. Petersburg and Tampa. Note: The home is largerthan it appears.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Construction materials: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: One total room; Other flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $5,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$252,327) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
  • Cap rate 370.6% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 457 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
39.31%
Cap rate
370.64%
Cash-on-cash
1301.23%
DSCR
58.90
GRM
0.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$252,327
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
765 60th Ave NE 0.53mi 2/1.0 692 (-4%) 2mo $209,000 $302 67
151 SE Monroe Cir N 0.26mi 2/1.0 802 (+11%) 3mo $328,000 $409 67
400 61st Ave NE 0.33mi 2/1.0 770 (+6%) 9mo $178,000 $231 66
225 SE Jefferson Cir N 0.41mi 2/1.0 648 (-10%) 0mo $220,000 $340 63
487 49th Ave N 0.62mi 2/1.0 759 (+5%) 10mo $287,000 $378 54
763 60th Ave NE 0.52mi 2/1.0 786 (+9%) 10mo $205,000 $261 53
520 48th Ave N 0.72mi 1/1.0 (-1) 692 (-4%) 15mo $300,000 $434 42
334 50th Ave N 0.48mi 2/1.0 816 (+13%) 22mo $285,000 $349 38
494 49th Ave N 0.65mi 2/2.0 806 (+12%) 21mo $350,000 $434 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
49.18×
Total profit
$67,453
Equity at exit
$746
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
103.27×
Total profit
$143,182
Equity at exit
$432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33703

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
457
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,965 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $75/yr
Insurance
$2
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$413
Net cashflow
$1,092

Break-even live

Break-even rent $584
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,095 -5% $1,093 +0% $1,092 +5% $1,090 +10% $1,088
Rent -10% $936 -5% $1,014 +0% $1,092 +5% $1,169 +10% $1,247
Rate -1.0pp $1,094 -0.5pp $1,093 base $1,092 +0.5pp $1,090 +1.0pp $1,089

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
375 54th Ter N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 966 $3,323 $3.44 3d 13 0.28mi
5364 4th St N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 570 $1,150 $2.02 25d 1 0.44mi
4880 Locust St NE St Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0–2.0 840 $1,375 $1.64 25d 3 0.46mi
363 48th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,900 $2.53 25d 1 0.56mi
120 47th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 914 $1,999 $2.19 3d 8 0.60mi
209 NW Jefferson Cir N Unit JEFFERSON209-15 St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 740 $1,275 $1.72 4d 1 0.63mi
209 NW Jefferson Cir N Unit 15 St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 740 $1,275 $1.72 25d 1 0.63mi
550 50th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 765 $1,700 $2.22 8d 2 0.65mi
660 62nd Ave N #1204 Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 656 $1,400 $2.13 24d 1 0.71mi
468 44th Ave N Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 693 $1,900 $2.74 25d 1 0.88mi
111 73rd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0–1.5 695 $1,883 $2.71 25d 1 1.09mi
500 75th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 602 $1,195 $1.99 25d 1 1.30mi
200 78th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0 810 $1,610 $1.99 5d 1 1.37mi
600 76th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 775 $1,849 $2.39 5d 10 1.38mi
252 33rd Ave N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,995 $2.85 18d 1 1.47mi
344 33rd Ave N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 560 $1,200 $2.14 5d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $5,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $5,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    remarks 304-char remark
  5. 2026-06-13
    listed $5,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,585
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$75
− Insurance
−$5,144
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,887
− Management
−$1,887
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$14,167
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,400
After-tax cash flow
$9,699/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Petersburg

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Petersburg, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
249,151
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
25,264
Household income
$95,224
Rent vs Own
19.1% rent · 80.9% own
Severe rent burden
509.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -617.95%
Current HPI
352.2886
Rent YoY
▲ 2.21%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-88.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2005-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
  • 2005-08-15 Sold (MLS) $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-04-30 Listed $165,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
  • 1996-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 1995-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $27,285 Public Records
  • 1988-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1988-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $748 · -21.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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